Will the trend of rookie QBs covering the spread on Thursday Night Football continue? Plus, other best bets

Do you get pleasure from mendacity to strangers? I do. Not large lies, however little lies that don’t have any influence on anyone. As an illustration, whereas strolling the canine this morning, I wore a Stanford soccer T-shirt. It is one in all roughly 100 college football-related shirts or hoodies that I personal as a result of, nicely, I do not know why I personal so many. Possibly I am simply addicted to purchasing shirts.

However that is not the purpose. Whereas strolling my canine, I got here throughout an individual strolling their canine, and we stopped as a result of our canines wished to smell one another’s butts like canines are hooked on doing. That is all the time awkward for me as a result of I do not get pleasure from making small speak with absolute strangers, however this particular person whose title I do not know — the canine’s title was Bella — requested me about my shirt.

“You do not see many Stanford soccer shirts round right here, did you go there,” he requested.

“I performed there, yeah,” I lied.

Why did I misinform this particular person? Why not? I am sufficiently big to move as a former soccer participant, and it appeared like a extra simple reply than “no, really, I simply personal a trillion totally different school shirts as a result of I am a weirdo.”

So, should you’re Bella’s proprietor and studying this, I am sorry I lied to you. It was nothing private.

Now let’s break down Thursday’s evening’s slate.

All occasions Japanese, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook

🔥 The Sizzling Ticket

🏈 Panthers at Texans, 8:20 p.m. | TV: NFL Community
The Choose: Panthers -8 (-110)
: It is a difficult state of affairs, as the road opened with Carolina favored by 4 earlier than Houston misplaced Tyrod Taylor. It shortly moved to Carolina -7, the place I obtained it earlier within the week, but it surely’s now been Carolina -8. I nonetheless prefer it there, but when it will get any bigger than this by the point you are capable of get your guess in, I would keep away from it.

A part of the issue is that the general public can have a extra appreciable affect on the road for highlight video games like this one. Proper now, everybody sees a foul Houston workforce with a backup QB and kilos the Panthers, however there’s one other stat on the market to take discover of. Within the historical past of Thursday Night time Soccer, quarterbacks making their first profession begin have gone 10-0 ATS. That is a development you should not ignore — but it surely’s not sufficient to affect my feeling on this sport.

Simply because Houston has exceeded expectations doesn’t suggest it has performed nicely. The Texans have benefitted from some turnover luck in addition to a sport towards one of many few groups that may be worst than it’s. Whereas I am not right here to let you know Carolina is a good workforce, I do suppose it is adequate to get a playoff spot this season, so I am laying the factors with the Panthers.

Key Development: Carolina has lined seven straight on the highway.

This is what SportsLine is saying in regards to the sport: SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein is 30-18-3 in his final 51 against-the-spread picks involving the Texans, and he has released his pick for the Thursday Night Football game between Carolina and Houston.

💰 The Picks

🏈 School Soccer

Marshall at Appalachian State, 7:30 p.m. | TV: ESPN
The Choose: Underneath 58.5 (-110) — 
These groups are off to good begins to the 2021 season, and each have their defenses to thank for it. Appalachian State comes into tonight ranked thirty fifth nationally in factors allowed per possession (pre-garbage time) at 1.59, whereas Marshall is 54th at 1.88. Marshall has been extra explosive offensively between the 2, however a few of that benefit will probably be misplaced enjoying on the highway as Appalachian State has all the time been sturdy at house, the place it is 28-4 straight up because the 2016 season.

I additionally suppose Marshall’s lack of a run sport will damage it on this spot. The Herd common 5.1 yards per carry however run the ball solely 44.2% of the time, rating 106th nationally for highest rush frequency. The Mountaineers move protection has appeared sturdy to begin the season and will restrict the Herd in that space, and when App State does have the ball, it’s going to be completely satisfied to take the air out of it and run clock.

Key Development: The below is 8-5 in Appalachian State’s final 13 video games as a favourite.


Astros at Angels, 9:38 p.m. | TV: MLB Community
The Choose: Astros -1.5 (-105) — 
I may get all technical right here, however I haven’t got to. The very fact is that generally baseball groups method the top of the season the identical means I do. Earlier this week, I advised you I am prepared for the common season to finish, and so are the Angels. They have been formally eradicated from the postseason already and have gained two of their final 10 and misplaced six straight. They appear like a workforce that is prepared for some relaxation and leisure earlier than getting guys like Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon again subsequent spring.

In the meantime, Houston is seeking to end off the AL West and ensure it will get house area in its doubtless sequence towards the Chicago White Sox. I am betting on the Astros enjoying with a objective and the Angels enjoying like a workforce with out one.

Key Development: Of Los Angeles’ final 15 losses, 13 have come by at the least two runs.

🔒 SportsLine Choose of the Day: Riley Gates has his finger on the heartbeat of golf, and he has revealed his best bets for this week’s Ryder Cup at Whistling Straits.

 🏈 Thursday Night time Prop Parlay

Let’s get form of silly with a multi-prop parlay for tonight’s NFL sport paying +390. | Will the development of rookie QBs protecting the unfold on Thursday Night time Soccer proceed? Plus, different finest bets


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