Pleased Monday, everyone. I hope you loved your weekend, and I hope you loved the AM version of the CBS Sports activities HQ e-newsletter in the present day. I did, and I am excited that Zach Pereles has joined the group to take over the AM duties on the e-newsletter. I am additionally grateful to my colleagues Shanna McCarriston and Chris Bengel for filling in the previous couple of months, as they did a superb job of holding you knowledgeable of every little thing you wanted to know on this planet of sports activities.
As for that world, there’s fairly a bit occurring in the present day, and there is much more taking place tonight. Plus, do you know that school basketball begins in full pressure this week? It does! It catches me abruptly yearly, however as I used to be doing my prep for tonight’s e-newsletter, I seen school basketball strains hitting the board and felt a tinge of pleasure. Nothing will get the blood flowing fairly like betting on a bunch of youngsters lacking pictures, and I can not wait to have a profitable season betting on it on this e-newsletter alongside all of you.
However the video games do not begin till tomorrow. Right now you may need to make do with boring outdated NFL and NBA video games. Earlier than we do any of that, although, let’s compensate for in the present day’s information.
Now let’s get to these boring picks.
All instances Japanese, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook
🔥 The Scorching Ticket
🏈 Bears at Steelers, 8:20 p.m. | TV: ESPN
The Decide: Steelers Over 23.5 (+100): I’m dreading tonight. Being a Chicago Bears fan has been painful sufficient throughout my life, however there’s nothing worse than having the Bears in a primetime recreation when the entire world will probably be watching. These are the video games the place I not solely need to endure by means of watching the Bears, however the world laughs at me whereas doing so. I choose to endure alone in a darkish nook the place no one can see the tears.
And we’re all going to endure tonight. The whole for this recreation is 39.5 factors. If it holds till kickoff, it’s going to be solely the second recreation this season to shut with a complete under 40 and solely the third time for the reason that begin of final season. This occurs when two horrible offenses meet, however whereas the Steelers have been dangerous this season, I am anticipating extra from them tonight.
On the 12 months, the Steelers rank twenty fifth within the league in factors per drive at 1.67, however there have been enhancements just lately. That quantity climbs to a barely extra respectable 1.91 over Pittsburgh’s final 4 video games, and tonight the Steelers will face a Bears protection that has gotten progressively worse. The Bears rank twenty sixth on the 12 months with 2.66 factors allowed per possession, however that quantity has spiked to three.17 through the group’s present three-game dropping streak. The Bears are prone to be with out Khalil Mack once more this week, they will not have security Eddie Jackson and gamers like Akiem Hicks and Tashaun Gipson will probably be restricted in the event that they handle to play.
It is a banged-up protection that will get thinner by the week and one Pittsburgh can benefit from. Lately, Najee Harris has turn out to be extra of a focus within the Steelers offense, and the Bears will not be good towards the run.
Plus, whereas Justin Fields has improved, he and the Bears offense have struggled mightily towards defenses that may stress quarterbacks. Pittsburgh’s protection has allowed opposing QBs 2.64 seconds to throw on dropbacks this season, which ranks fifth within the league. I count on this Bears offense to wrestle and for that stress to result in turnovers and horrible subject place, which is able to solely assist the Steelers offense additional.
Key Development: The Bears have allowed at the very least 24 factors in three straight video games.
Here is what SportsLine is saying concerning the recreation: SportsLine’s R.J. White is 47-27-3 ATS in his final 77 Steelers picks and he has a spread play for tonight’s game available.
💰 The Picks
Knicks at 76ers, 7 p.m. | TV: NBA League Move
The Decide: Below 213.5 (-110) — Hey, look, it is two of the highest 4 offenses within the NBA going head-to-head tonight; let’s take the beneath! I am beginning to sound like a damaged document right here, however whereas these groups have been nice offensively, protection remains to be on the core of what they do. Whereas neither group is ranked within the league’s prime half in defensive score, each do a superb job holding groups out of the paint
The Knicks rank fourth within the league with solely 41.4 factors allowed contained in the paint per recreation, whereas Philly is eleventh. In different phrases, to beat these groups, it’s a must to hit pictures. Whereas each groups are able to doing so, additionally they transfer slowly. The Knicks are twenty sixth in tempo, whereas the Sixers transfer slower than some other group within the league. Plus, each of those groups are banged up. The Sixers have been shorthanded for some time and will probably be without Joel Embiid tonight. The Knicks will not have Kemba Walker. This one may very well be sloppy.
Key Development: The beneath is 4-0 within the final 4 conferences.
Timberwolves at Grizzlies, 8 p.m. | TV: NBA League Move
The Decide: Timberwolves +6 (-110) — After a sizzling begin to the season, Minnesota has crashed again to earth, dropping its final 4. Whereas the Timberwolves have been busy discovering their degree, tonight’s unfold remains to be on the lookout for it. The Timberwolves rank twenty second within the NBA with a internet score of -3.4. That is consistent with their document. The identical can’t be stated of Memphis.
The Grizzlies are 5-4 this season and have picked up huge wins towards the Nuggets (twice), Warriors and Clippers, and people wins are inflicting them to be overvalued right here. You see, whereas Minnesota ranks twenty second in internet score, that is higher than the Grizzlies! Memphis is twenty fifth at -5.6, due to a protection that is been non-existent. Memphis’ defensive score of 112.7 is twenty ninth within the league, rating forward of solely the Charlotte Hornets. I do not wish to wager on dangerous defenses to cowl spreads like this one, not even towards the Timberwolves.
Key Development: Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its final seven video games as a house favourite.
🔒 SportsLine Decide of the Day: SportsLine’s Superior Projection Mannequin, which is up nearly $7,800, has five strong player prop bets for tonight’s game between the Bears and Steelers.
🏈 Monday Evening Props
The parlays have gone chilly, so let’s wager some props tonight as a substitute.
- Justin Fields Below 184.5 yards passing (-115)
- Justin Fields Over 0.5 interceptions (-160)
- Najee Harris Over 79.5 speeding yards (-115)
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/why-the-steelers-will-take-advantage-of-the-bears-defense-plus-other-best-bets-for-monday/ | Why the Steelers will benefit from the Bears protection, plus different greatest bets for Monday