Why nobody deserves to be favored in a game between two NFC East teams, other best bets for Monday

Why should the Chicago Bears insist on making me depressing? Am I doomed to a lifetime of soccer distress due to this hapless franchise? Will they ever give me a cause to be ok with myself on Sundays within the fall?

I had a weekend that, by all accounts, ought to have been an excellent weekend. The White Sox clinched the AL Central and are going to the playoffs in consecutive seasons for the primary time in franchise historical past. Aston Villa beat Manchester United at Outdated Trafford for the primary time in like a billion years. My different favourite soccer workforce, Napoli, has gained its first six matches and sits in first place in Serie A. Each of my fantasy football groups will win this weekend, and I gained cash with my bets throughout soccer, college football and the NFL.

However I am depressing. I am depressing due to the rattling Bears. I did not count on them to enter Cleveland and win on Sunday. I am practical that approach. I knew it was a rookie QB making his first begin and doing it on the street in opposition to a superb protection. I did suppose they’d end with multiple yard passing, although, and I additionally thought Justin Fields would full extra passes than the Browns would sack him.

By the way in which, do you when the final time a workforce allowed extra sacks than had passes accomplished was? It was again in 2010 when Jay Cutler was sacked 9 occasions and accomplished eight passes in opposition to the New York Giants whereas enjoying for the Chicago Bears.

I am doomed ceaselessly.

All proper, let’s examine if we are able to make life rather less depressing by profitable cash on the final NFL recreation of the week.

All occasions Japanese, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook

🔥 The Scorching Ticket

🏈 Eagles at Cowboys, 8:15 p.m. | TV: ESPN
The Choose: Eagles +3.5 (-115): Dearest reader, it’s time to reintroduce an outdated basic to the HQ PM e-newsletter. The precept that began all of it. That is proper earlier than there have been issues just like the NL Least and #OperationFadeGrom, there was the NFC Least Precept. The precept that gave delivery to all of them. The precept that taught us that, generally, no one deserves to be favored.

And it is again tonight in a primetime recreation as a result of there’s nothing tv networks love greater than hundreds of thousands of individuals tuning in to look at unhealthy NFC East soccer. Tonight, the precept tells us to wager on the underdog Eagles. Tonight’s recreation gives a great opportunity to reap the benefits of public notion.

I am absolutely conscious that the Cowboys have performed a way more tough schedule than the Eagles up to now, having misplaced an in depth recreation to Tampa Bay and edging out the Chargers, each on the street. However I haven’t got a lot religion in any respect on this Dallas protection from what I’ve seen, and I believe there’s lots the Eagles can exploit right here. That is why I do not suppose the Cowboys will have the ability to draw back and win this comfortably, so give me the Eagles and the factors.

Key Development: For the reason that begin of final season, underdogs in NFC East divisional video games have gone 12-1.

Here is what SportsLine is saying in regards to the recreation: Am I not ok for you? Properly, SportsLine’s Emory Hunt is 60-36-2 on ATS picks involving the Eagles and Cowboys.

💰 Extra MNF Picks

The Choose: Eagles Over 23.5 factors (-125): As I mentioned above, the Cowboys protection hasn’t proven a lot by means of the primary two weeks of the season. It enters tonight permitting 2.4 factors per possession, and has allowed factors on 45% of opponent possessions. These numbers rank twenty second and twenty third within the league, respectively.

Now, if you wish to, you may argue that it is principally a results of going through the Bucs and Chargers. It is a cheap argument to make. It is also one I might counter with by mentioning Tampa scored only one.78 factors per drive the next week in opposition to the lowly Falcons, and the two.5 factors per possession the Chargers had in opposition to Dallas had been increased than they’ve had of their different two video games (1.78 in opposition to Washington and a pair of.4 in opposition to Kansas Metropolis).

The Cowboys protection hasn’t gotten a lot strain on opposing quarterbacks but. The workforce’s strain fee of 27.4% by means of two video games ranks twenty eighth within the league, and their sack fee of two.2% ranks thirty first. As of late, it is fairly easy on protection. You both get to the QB, otherwise you surrender first downs and factors. Dallas is not attending to the QB; due to this fact, the Eagles are going to attain factors. It is easy science!

Key Development: The Cowboys have allowed a minimum of 24 factors in 12 of 18 video games because the begin of final season.

The Choose: Dak Prescott Underneath 2.5 passing touchdowns (-170): This play is lots just like the one we made on Jared Goff‘s landing complete final week, however hopefully, it really works out higher this time. The Eagles have been probably the most zone-heavy protection within the league by far up to now. Philadelphia has been in zone on a exceptional 85.6% of its defensive snaps this season, effectively above the league common of 66.9%. Dak Prescott performs effectively in opposition to zone defenses for probably the most half, however they hinder his potential to throw touchdowns.

In his profession, Prescott averages extra yards per try (7.84 to 7.75) and completes a a lot increased fee of passes (70.1% to 61.1%) in opposition to zone than he does man protection, however his landing fee plummets from 6.4% in opposition to man to 2.7% in opposition to zone.

Key Development: In eight begins in opposition to Philadelphia, Prescott has eight TD passes, and has solely thrown for 3 in a recreation in opposition to them as soon as. 

🔒 SportsLine Choose of the Day: SportsLine’s Superior Projection Mannequin, which is up virtually $7,800, has five strong player prop bets for Monday Night Football.

⚽ Champions League Parlay

A pleasant, straightforward four-leg moneyline parlay for Tuesday afternoon’s Champions League motion. It pays +157.

• Ajax (-750)
• Actual Madrid (-1000)
• Borussia Dortmund (-260)
• RB Leipzig (-205)