Why both the Rams and Seahawks defenses are overrated, plus other best bets for Thursday

I’m reminded right this moment that considered one of my favourite elements of caring about sports activities is the anxiousness. It appears unusual, as I might want to eradicate that feeling from each different a part of my life, however I welcome it in the case of sports activities.

I imply, what is the level of caring a few workforce if there’s by no means something to really feel nervous about? I have been nervous all day, and I am nervous as you are studying this as a result of the White Sox are within the playoffs and beginning their sequence towards the Houston Astros quickly. And I am concentrating intently on each single pitch, anticipating and dreading what’s about to return with every one. When it is throughout, I am both going to be thrilled or depressed.

It may be superior. I can not watch for it, nor can I wait to get to my picks for tonight’s video games, however we are going to as a result of we now have to learn these tales first.

All proper, now let’s make some bets whereas I proceed to sweat this White Sox playoff sport.

All occasions Japanese, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook

🔥 The Sizzling Ticket

🏈 Rams at Seahawks, 8:20 p.m. | TV: FOX
The Decide: Over 54 (-110)
: We have a tendency to think about each the Rams and Seahawks as two groups with strong defenses. For Seattle, it is a results of these Super Bowl groups and the Legion of Growth, however the actuality is the Seahawks protection is not excellent proper now and hasn’t been for some time.

With the Rams, we consider star gamers like Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey, however nearly as good as they’re, the Rams protection hasn’t been nice itself.

The Rams come into tonight’s sport ranked twenty third within the league in factors allowed per drive. The quantity is skewed due to final week’s efficiency towards Arizona, however Tampa moved the ball, too. The Rams protection has performed properly towards dangerous defenses and regarded susceptible towards good ones. Seattle’s offense has not been nice this yr, nevertheless it does nonetheless have Russell Wilson. And with Chris Carson‘s standing doubtful, Seattle is likely to be compelled to let Russ cook dinner greater than it will like, and I believe that might be helpful for each the Seahawks and the over.

So, to summarize, I do not assume a Rams offense that ranks second within the league in offensive success charge may have hassle transferring the ball towards a Seattle protection that ranks thirty first in defensive success charge. I believe Russ will make issues occur towards a Rams protection that ranks twenty sixth in defensive success charge. It may be scary taking an over on a Thursday night time sport, however we do not typically get Thursday night time video games like this one.

Key Pattern: The over is 5-1 within the Rams final six street video games.

This is what SportsLine is saying concerning the sport: SportsLine’s R.J. White is 35-17-1 together with his final 53 ATS picks involving the Rams and has a spread play for tonight’s game.

💰 The Picks

Getty Photos


Crimson Sox at Rays, 8:07 p.m. | TV: FS1
The Decide: Below 8 (-120) — 
I’m not ashamed of my penchant for taking unders in MLB playoff video games. It really works! The video games are decrease scoring as a result of groups now not want to make use of their weaker beginning pitchers, and they are much extra aggressive with the bullpens. Then you’ve got a sequence like this one between division rivals. There aren’t any secrets and techniques between the Crimson Sox and Rays. They’ve already performed 19 occasions this season!

What provides much more confidence to this play is that Dan Bellino might be behind the plate for Recreation 1, and he is one of many extra pitcher-friendly umpires in baseball. Additionally, whereas Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 4.74 on the season, his underlying metrics are similar to Tampa’s Shane McClanahan, and McClanahan sports activities a 3.43 ERA. Each strike out hitters over 27% of the time, and each stroll them round 7%. McClanahan permits lots more durable contact total, nevertheless it’s virtually solely on the bottom, so it would not value him as a lot. This might be a good, low-scoring sequence, and, so long as the whole is over 7, I will most likely take the underneath in every sport.

Key Pattern: The underneath is 4-1 within the final 5 conferences in Tampa.

🏈 Faculty Soccer

Houston at Tulane, 7:30 p.m. | TV: ESPN
The Decide: Below 60 (-110) — 
I haven’t got plenty of belief in both of those offenses. It isn’t essentially that they are dangerous — they only aren’t explosive. In my metric, Tulane ranks 52nd nationally in offensive explosiveness, whereas Houston is 99th. Because of this when these offenses do put collectively landing drives, they’re lengthy drives.

The common Houston landing drive lasts 7.57 performs, rating thirty fourth nationally for many performs per landing drive. Tulane is over 7.09 performs itself, which can also be above the nationwide common of 6.94. Additionally, Houston’s protection has been fairly strong! The Cougars rank thirteenth nationally in factors allowed per drive and second behind Georgia in success charge. I’ve extra religion in Houston to win this sport, however I do not belief the Coogs sufficient to put the factors on the street on this spot. The underneath appears extra doubtless.

Key Pattern: The underneath is 4-1 in Tulane’s final 5 convention video games.

🔒 SportsLine Decide of the Day: SportsLine’s Superior Projection Mannequin is up virtually $7,800 and has five strong player prop bets for tonight’s game.

 ⚾🏈 Thursday Night time Prop Bonanza

  • Rams WR Robert Woods to attain TD (+128)
  • Seahawks QB Russell Wilson Below 23.5 dashing yards (-115)
  • Crimson Sox P Eduardo Rodriguez Below 5.5 strikeouts (-137)

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/why-both-the-rams-and-seahawks-defenses-are-overrated-plus-other-best-bets-for-thursday/ | Why each the Rams and Seahawks defenses are overrated, plus different greatest bets for Thursday


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