Total is too high for Bulls vs. Warriors, plus five other best bets for the weekend

Welcome to a different version of Soccer Friday, probably the most superior publication you are studying proper now. I am certain most of you watched final night time’s Dolphins victory over the Ravens as a result of, even when it was an unpleasant recreation, it was nonetheless a soccer recreation. Whereas the sport stunk — particularly for anyone who had fantasy gamers going — there was one a part of it that boggled my thoughts.

What precisely is Miami’s plan with Tua Tagovailoa? The group drafted him with the fifth total choose final season, nevertheless it would not appear to be anyone within the group desires him. The entrance workplace is rumored to be eager about buying and selling for Deshaun Watson, whereas the coaches refuse to call Tagovailoa their starter. Final night time, Jacoby Brissett began as a result of Tagovailoa was coping with a damaged finger, but Tagovailoa was on the lively roster as a backup.

Then, after Brissett injured his knee early within the second half, Tagovailoa got here in and sparked the offense. He stayed in regardless of Brissett seemingly having the ability to return to the sport.

So which means the Dolphins both determined to place a QB who wasn’t wholesome sufficient to play on the lively roster and have been then caught unexpectedly, or they benched the man they took within the first spherical final season as a result of that they had extra religion within the journeyman backup. I have no idea if Tagovailoa will ever reside as much as his draft place, but when he does, I am betting it will must be in a unique uniform. There would not appear to be any growth plan for him in Miami.

Now let’s begin Soccer Friday with two basketball picks, as a result of Soccer Friday is about branding, not accuracy.

All instances Japanese, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook

🔥 The Sizzling Ticket

🏀 Bulls at Warriors, 10 p.m. | TV: ESPN

Newest Odds:

Below 222.5

The Decide: Below 222.5 (-110): Two of the very best groups within the NBA meet tonight when the 10-1 Golden State Warriors conflict with the 8-3 Chicago Bulls. The winner shall be topped The Biggest Dynasty of All Time for at the least every week, perhaps even two. Now, the NBA has thrown us some curveballs early within the season as a result of no one anticipated the three groups with the very best data within the league at this level to be the Warriors, Bulls and Washington Wizards, however you recognize what these three have in frequent?

They play protection.

The Warriors enter the night time ranked first within the league in defensive ranking, whereas the Wizards are fourth and the Bulls are sixth. The distinction between these two groups and the Wizards is that each Golden State and Chicago have been glorious offensively too, and we’re making the most of that tonight. It is their offensive scores which have bumped this complete up a bit of too excessive.

The Bulls are taking part in the primary recreation of a protracted highway journey and shall be with out Nikola Vucevic because of COVID-19 protocols. This not solely hinders the Bulls offense barely, nevertheless it ought to assist their protection too. Among the many Bulls regulars, Vucevic has been the weakest spot defensively. The one space of concern tonight is that Golden State is a wonderful three-point taking pictures group, and if there’s been a weak point with the Bulls protection, it has been guarding the three-point line. So there’s all the time the chance we get Steph’d to demise.

Key Development: The below is 10-2 in Chicago’s final 12 video games as an underdog.

This is what SportsLine is saying concerning the recreation: The SportsLine Projection Model’s favorite play in this game is on the spread.

💰 The Picks


Getty Pictures

Nets at Pelicans, 8 p.m. | TV: NBA League Move

Newest Odds:

Over 215

The Decide: Over 215 (-110) — It is time to bust out our first NBA over play of the season. As I’ve gone over right here a couple of instances already, the below has been a strong guess within the NBA to start out the season as groups and gamers alter to the way in which the sport is being officiated. We have not seen practically as many free throws, and gamers who earned big contracts pretending to get fouled are getting pissed off. 

Consequently, we have seen books reply with decrease totals for video games, and now I’ve lastly discovered a line the place the correction is just too giant.

The Nets are actually a type of groups adjusting to life within the new NBA, however they’re going to be going through a horrible New Orleans protection tonight. The Pelicans are tied with Memphis for the worst defensive ranking within the league at 112.4. They’ve additionally developed a behavior of sending opponents to the free-throw line, as they rank twenty second within the league in opponent’s free-throw price. I’ve a sense we’ll see one in all Brooklyn’s finest offensive outputs of the season tonight, and it may assist us cruise previous this complete.

Key Development: The over is 15-3 in Brooklyn’s final 18 video games towards groups with a dropping report.


Browns at Patriots, Sunday, 1 p.m. | TV: CBS

Newest Odds:

Cleveland Browns

The Decide: Browns +2.5 (-110) — It is onerous to argue that Mac Jones hasn’t been probably the most constant rookie QB within the NFL this season. And that hasn’t stopped me from betting towards him and the Patriots when favored. The Pats are 3-3 ATS as favorites this season however have coated their final two. The factor is, these covers have come towards the Jets and Panthers — two groups with a really questionable QB scenario.

The Browns wouldn’t have that, and with or with out Nick Chubb, I contemplate them reside canines this weekend.

The Patriots’ protection has not been nice towards the run, and it is on the coronary heart of what Cleveland does offensively. Plus, we noticed how nicely this group carried out final week towards Cincinnati with out the Odell Beckham distraction. Moreover, like most younger QBs, Jones has struggled when pressured. That is not nice information contemplating he’ll be going through a Cleveland protection that ranks second within the league in stress price (34.2%).

Key Development: Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its final six highway video games.

Seahawks at Packers, Sunday, 4:25 p.m. | TV: CBS

Newest Odds:

Seattle Seahawks

The Decide: Seahawks +3.5 (-120) — We all know Russell Wilson shall be again for Seattle this weekend, and we will assume that Aaron Rodgers will most likely be again for the Packers. Nicely, even when Rodgers is again, I like Seattle getting three factors right here, and there is nonetheless an opportunity Rodgers will not play, which makes Seattle much more interesting!

Wilson will not be the one participant Seattle will get again this weekend, both, as Chris Carson has been designated to return off injured reserve. Meaning Seattle is getting wholesome on the proper time. In the meantime, Rodgers cannot be across the group till Saturday on the earliest. He hasn’t been working towards with the group or engaged on the sport plan, even when he’s taking part in.

Now, he is nonetheless Aaron Rodgers, and he is been there some time, so I do not suppose the impression shall be that extreme, nevertheless it might result in a slower begin, which may be all we want. Nor does it damage my confidence that the Packers’ protection has been principally mediocre this season and has actually struggled within the purple zone. When you may’t maintain opponents to discipline objectives, it is harder to cowl spreads as a favourite.

Key Development: Seattle is 14-5 in its final 19 as an underdog.

🏈 Faculty Soccer


No. 8 Oklahoma at No. 13 Baylor, Saturday, 12 p.m. | TV: Fox

Newest Odds:

Oklahoma Sooners

The Decide: Oklahoma -5.5 (-110) — I’ve a sense we will see a robust efficiency from the Sooners. They’re coming off a bye, which allowed them some additional time to not solely additional cement quarterback Caleb Williams into the offense, but additionally work on all the issues that they had defensively. Nonetheless, it is a group that does not fairly have that additional gear we have seen in latest seasons — the gear that permits it to blow out high quality opponents just like the one it will face this weekend.

Thankfully, we do not want Oklahoma to blow out Baylor. Profitable by a landing will do exactly high-quality and it may try this. Whereas Oklahoma has severe issues within the secondary, Baylor does too. We noticed TCU expose a few of these flaws final week, and whereas Baylor’s offense has been higher than most individuals understand, Oklahoma is best outfitted to reap the benefits of the scenario. Additionally, whereas Baylor has had success with its vertical passing recreation, it is largely because of its means to run the ball. Oklahoma’s protection has been strong towards the run, rating 54th in success price. That might hinder Baylor’s means to harm it deep.

Key Development: Oklahoma is 9-4 ATS in its final 13 convention video games.

No. 19 Purdue at No. 4 Ohio State, Saturday, 3:30 p.m | TV: ABC

Newest Odds:

Purdue Boilermakers

The Decide: Purdue +21 (-110) — I do not doubt that Ohio State is without doubt one of the 4 finest groups within the nation, however we should contemplate the context of the scenario. This can be a superb Buckeyes squad, nevertheless it’s removed from dominant. Due to this, it is tough for me to belief it to cowl spreads this huge towards competent groups — notably sturdy defensive groups like Purdue.

The Boilermakers rank twelfth nationally in defensive success price and twenty fifth in defensive EPA. Granted, they have not confronted many offenses like Ohio State’s, however their outcomes haven’t been opponent-based. Simply final week, they held an explosive Michigan State offense in test. What’s most attention-grabbing about this recreation is the purple zone matchup.

There isn’t any purpose for a group as gifted because the Buckeyes to rank forty second nationally in purple zone effectivity, however they do, and Purdue’s protection ranks fifteenth in purple zone effectivity. Purdue’s protection additionally ranks ninth in stress price and Ohio State QB C.J. Stroud has regarded shaky when pressured. Do not get me fallacious, Ohio State is the higher group, nevertheless it is not blowing the doorways off this Boilermakers squad typically sufficient to put the factors.

Key Development: Purdue is 20-7 ATS in its final 27 video games as an underdog.

🔒 SportsLine Decide of the Day: SportsLine skilled Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) is up 119 items on NFL futures and NFL prop bets the previous two seasons, and now he has released his coveted and profitable top props for Week 10.

🏈 The Improper Group Is Favored Parlay

This is a easy two-team cash line parlay that includes two underdogs that must be favored this weekend. It pays +440.

  • Boston Faculty (+100)
  • Utah State (+170) | Whole is just too excessive for Bulls vs. Warriors, plus 5 different finest bets for the weekend


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