The Seahawks shouldn’t be home underdogs against Jameis Winston, plus other best bets for Monday

Howdy, I’m penning this to you from a barge at the moment crusing via the streets of Chicago, the place it has been raining for seemingly 36 hours. I’ve spotty web protection right here, so I cannot waste your time with an exceedingly lengthy introduction. I’ve picks I need to share with you, and I might prefer to be sure to get them earlier than I float away into the ocean and disappear ceaselessly.

I hope your weekend was good, and I hope you get pleasure from these tales.

OK, let’s make some cash to assist construct a brand new underwater society.

All instances Japanese, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook

🔥 The Scorching Ticket

Saints at Seahawks, 8:15 p.m. | TV: ESPN
The Decide: Seahawks +4 (-110)
: OK, so I can already hear you pulling again out of your display yelling, “I do not need to wager on Geno Smith!” I get it, however Smith has performed considerably higher than you notice. Since changing the injured Russell Wilson, Smith has accomplished over 67% of his passes for 340 yards. Positive, he is solely averaging 6.9 yards per try, however he is doing a great job of being a recreation supervisor and never making silly errors.

Apart from, you should not consider this as betting on Geno Smith. You must consider it as betting in opposition to Jameis Winston as a street favourite. Jameis Winston makes plenty of silly errors! Whereas Sean Payton has helped him clear some issues up, Winston remains to be finishing solely 60.3% of his passes and has an interception price over 2.6%, which is increased than the league common. He is additionally been a lot worse on the street.

In two residence video games, Winston has a passer score of 138, a completion price of 72.1% and 6 touchdowns to … zero interceptions. In three street begins, his score drops to 86.4, his completion price plummets to 53.4% and he has six touchdowns to 3 interceptions. He is additionally been sacked 9 instances on the street, in comparison with none at residence.

Lastly, now we have to think about the climate. It isn’t simply raining in Chicago! Whereas it isn’t as more likely to be as dangerous because it was in San Francisco Sunday evening, the forecast in Seattle requires rain and plenty of wind. Which crew do you assume shall be extra impacted by that? The one from Seattle that spends 99% of its life in rain and wind or the crew that normally performs in a dome? If you wish to wager on Jameis Winston on a moist, windy evening on the street, extra energy to you. I will be on the opposite aspect.

Key Pattern: Seattle is 13-5 ATS in its final 18 as an underdog.

This is what SportsLine is saying in regards to the recreation: SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein is 25-9 in his final 34 NFL ATS picks and has a play on tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup.

💰 The Picks

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Celtics at Hornets, 7 p.m. | TV: NBA.TV
The Decide: Celtics (-110) — 
The Celtics will not have Jaylen Brown tonight, and I believe that is skewing the unfold on this recreation just a bit an excessive amount of. In spite of everything, the Hornets shall be with out Terry Rozier, and, whereas he is not Jaylen Brown, Rozier’s an vital a part of Charlotte’s rotation. Additionally, in an Japanese Convention with loads of contenders, I believe the Hornets have been a bit misplaced within the shuffle. That is an ascending crew.

Nevertheless, that does not imply I am prepared to purchase them in opposition to the Celtics simply but. The Hornets are 3-0 to start out the season and are taking part in very properly, however, even when I am increased on them than most, I do not assume this roster is constructed to maintain this degree of play. I believe we’ll see each groups regress to the imply tonight as a result of Boston is not as dangerous because it has regarded thus far. By way of three video games, the Celtics rank twenty fourth within the league in true capturing share, twenty third in efficient FG% and twenty fifth in offensive score. I do not assume that is an elite Boston offense, however it’s not practically as dangerous because it has regarded.

Key Pattern: The Celtics have lined 19 of the final 26 conferences. 

Blazers at Clippers, 10:30 p.m. | TV: NBA TV
The Decide: Underneath 230.5 (-110) — 
That is one other occasion the place I believe early outcomes are skewing the numbers a bit an excessive amount of. Neither of those groups has been good defensively to start the yr, as Portland is nineteenth in defensive score whereas the Clippers are twenty eighth. Additionally, whereas Portland has the best offensive score within the league proper now (122.6 factors per 100 possession), that is means above league common, so except you assume the Blazers can proceed capturing 51.3% from the sector, it is more likely to come down.

As for the Clippers protection, it is a concern, however it’s additionally to be anticipated with out Kawhi Leonard. Plus, we have to contemplate that the Clippers have opened the season with two difficult video games in opposition to Golden State and Memphis. Damian Lillard is not any simpler a defensive task than Steph Curry or Ja Morant, however there’s nonetheless wiggle room beneath this complete.

Key Pattern: The over has hit in 4 straight between these two groups, so the underneath is due?

🔒 SportsLine Decide of the Day: The Projection Mannequin’s favourite NBA play of the evening is in the game between the Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls.

 🏈 Monday Night time Soccer Similar Recreation Parlay

A 3-leg parlay paying +360 to additional whet your urge for food.

  • Seahawks +14.5 (-500)
  • Jameis Winston Underneath 201.5 passing yards (-120)
  • Tyler Lockett Over 46.5 receiving yards (-115) | The Seahawks should not be residence underdogs in opposition to Jameis Winston, plus different finest bets for Monday


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