The Monday After: What to make of college football overtime rules after Penn State-Illinois marathon

For the reason that begin of the 2017 school soccer season, the 130 groups on the FBS degree of the game have determined to go for 2 factors following a landing 1,312 occasions, and 1,000 of these makes an attempt got here throughout time beyond regulation of Illinois‘ 20-18 upset win over Penn State on Saturday. All proper, it wasn’t 1,000 of them. It was solely 14 however felt like 1,000. It was additionally one thing we’re unlikely to see once more.

You see, of these 1,312 two-point makes an attempt since 2017, 499 of them have been profitable (three of these 499 coming between Illinois and Penn State … in 14 makes an attempt), or 38%. Meaning 62% of two-point conversions over the past 5 seasons have been failures, however even when that looks as if rather a lot, what occurred on Saturday stays a statistical improbability.

After buying and selling discipline targets within the first two overtimes, the Illini and Nittany Lions traded 10 consecutive failed conversion makes an attempt. Utilizing the maths shared above in regards to the success price of conversions, the chance of two groups failing on 10 straight two-point conversions was 0.84%, which is not practically as unlikely as two groups changing 10 straight. No, that is down at 0.006%.

That is what makes so most of the reactions to the nine-overtime fail fest so amusing. As is the case with practically every thing in college football, some individuals hate it and demand change whereas some adore it; nevertheless, no person thinks any of those emotions by earlier than loudly proclaiming them. 

As I sat and watched it, I felt nothing totally different than what I felt in April when the brand new format was introduced. I perceive the intent behind the choice to alter the format. Security is on the coronary heart of all of it, and the NCAA needs to restrict the variety of performs in a sport to scale back accidents. Sarcastically, Illinois misplaced quarterback Artwork Sitkowski to a wrist harm throughout time beyond regulation, and it was Brandon Peters who threw the game-winning move to Casey Washington.

However the NCAA can do this whereas additionally offering a extra logical — and nonetheless entertaining — finish to a sport that is tied after 60 minutes. Here is a simple fix that I wrote about back in April:

My largest query in regards to the new format is why wait till the second time beyond regulation to pressure groups to go for 2? If we’re snug having video games finish in two-point conversion shootouts, why cannot we pressure groups to go for 2 within the first time beyond regulation? Doing that alone would considerably cut back the possibilities of attending to the shootout portion of time beyond regulation to start with whereas shortening the video games general. That is higher for broadcast companions attempting to squeeze video games into tighter home windows, and it is fewer performs for the gamers.

Odds are this format will not impression many video games general, and I most likely will not thoughts seeing some Friday night time sport between Mountain West groups ending barely sooner due to it. The rule is perhaps silly, however stupidity has been part of school soccer simply so long as marching bands and sneaking flasks into the coed part have been. It is extra of a function than a bug.

The opposite tweak I discussed again in April — and the one I wish to see made greater than something — is for the NCAA to desert this format within the Faculty Soccer Playoff. We see it in different main sports activities. The NHL removes its three-on-three time beyond regulation format and shootouts as soon as the Stanley Cup Playoffs start. MLB lately carried out a rule for further innings that sees every inning start with a runner on second base however scrapped it for the postseason.

The Faculty Soccer Playoff must do the identical as a result of no person must see a nationwide title determined this manner.

Formation of the Week

I don’t know what this personnel package deal is named, nor the formation. All I do know is that it options seven offensive linemen, two tight ends, a quarterback and a working again. And that it’s lovely.

I additionally know that Illinois rushed for 357 yards towards Penn State within the sport, which is essentially the most the Illini have rushed for in a sport since 2018 when it put up 384 yards on Nebraska, and essentially the most Penn State has allowed in a sport since Ohio State rushed for 408 yards towards it in 2013.

Maybe Penn State had such problem stopping the Illini dashing assault as a result of, when it noticed a formation together with seven offensive linemen, two tight ends, a quarterback and a working again, it put solely eight defenders within the field. There is not any must have three gamers that far off the road of scrimmage, fellas.

Advertising Plan of the Week

Kansas was a 38-point underdog towards Oklahoma on Saturday, so you may think about the shock everybody felt when the Jayhawks led the Sooners 10-0 at halftime and 17-7 late within the third quarter. It was a outcome no person may see coming, and even fewer deliberate on seeing in individual.

Contemplating the early 11 a.m. native kick, the unlikelihood of the Kansas devoted seeing their crew win, and general years of apathy a few soccer program with little success, you could not decide Kansas followers for staying residence. That is why there have been so many empty seats in David Sales space Kansas Memorial Stadium, however the place stuffed in as the sport went on due to an ingenious transfer by the varsity.

When Kansas realized that one thing unbelievable is perhaps occurring, it despatched out this tweet:

It additionally sent an email to students at halftime to allow them to know what was occurring and requested their attendance. And it labored! Folks confirmed up! Sadly, their presence wasn’t sufficient to assist the Jayhawks maintain on because the Sooners got here again to win 35-23, but it surely was good to see. It felt like a throwback to a time when school sports activities have been extra in regards to the group of the colleges themselves and never merely a car to extend income.

Grizzled Veteran of the Week

Pitt QB Kenny Pickett is barely 23 years previous and has his total life forward of him, however he is been Pitt’s beginning QB because the Reagan Administration (OK, solely since 2017). And with age comes the knowledge of figuring out find out how to rejoice a 27-17 win over Clemson and preserve issues in perspective.

Critically, what a season Pickett is having. In a yr when practically each QB who was purported to be good has been something however — together with the QB he beat Saturday, D.J. Uiagelelei, who was benched through the sport — Pickett has taken his sport to a different degree. He is gone from a man who would most likely get an opportunity on an NFL roster subsequent yr to a participant at the moment on monitor to be a Heisman finalist and presumably one of many first QBs off the board within the 2022 NFL Draft.

Inventory Recommendation of the Week

BUY — Iowa State: After the Cyclones began the season 2-2 with losses to Iowa and Baylor, they escaped the nationwide consciousness. They started the season ranked within the prime 10, considered as a Faculty Soccer Playoff dark-horse, however shortly turned an afterthought. Now, as we strategy the tip of October, Iowa State’s playoff hopes is perhaps lifeless, however they’re wanting like critical contenders within the Massive 12.

It isn’t simply that Iowa State knocked off undefeated Oklahoma State 24-21 Saturday — it is how they’ve seemed in latest weeks. My largest concern about this crew all alongside was a scarcity of explosive performs on offense. Whereas I am not able to say the Cyclones are explosive but (my numbers have their offense ranked fortieth in that division), there’s been a noticeable uptick recently.

By way of Iowa State’s first 5 video games this season, the offense had managed solely 13 performs of 25 yards or extra. Over the past two weeks towards Kansas State and Oklahoma State, they’ve had eight. Moreover, the Cyclones did not have a single play of higher than 50 yards of their first 5 video games however have had one in every of their final two. Iowa State nonetheless has to get by each Texas and Oklahoma to achieve the Massive 12 Championship Sport, and whereas each groups have their flaws, you want to rating factors towards each to beat them. This Cyclones offense is lastly beginning to present indicators it’s able to doing so.

SELL — Justin Fuente: I used to be questioning if we would see a press launch from Virginia Tech on Sunday saying the dismissal of coach Justin Fuente. The Hokies’ 41-36 loss at residence to Syracuse dropped them to 3-4 on the season and was their third consecutive residence loss. That is not one thing that has occurred usually at Virginia Tech over the previous few many years.

Fuente is now 41-30 at Virginia Tech and solely 8-10 because the begin of final season. His general lack of success with the Hokies has stunned me as a result of I assumed he was an excellent rent when he moved to Blacksburg. Whereas Memphis has develop into a longtime program within the AAC lately, it was virtually non-existent when Fuente took over. This system was nonetheless in Convention USA with a 5-31 report within the three seasons earlier than Fuente’s arrival. He gained 4 video games in his first season and had the Tigers going 10-3 by his third. I felt that if he may do this at Memphis, then he was destined for achievement at Tech. Now I am unable to assist however really feel the one future he has with the Hokies is a pink slip.

BUY — Northern Illinois: The one factor on the core of the MAC that makes the convention gratifying is its unpredictable nature. Nonetheless, even figuring out that you could by no means ensure what to anticipate from the MAC, I didn’t see this season coming from Northern Illinois. The Huskies got here again from an 18-point deficit to beat Central Michigan 39-38 on Saturday, enhancing to 6-2 on the season. It is a crew that had its season-long win complete set at 4 earlier than the yr started, and it is already 4-0 within the MAC.

It has been an unbelievable turnaround for Thomas Hammock’s program after the Huskies went 0-6 final season. Now they’re coming into the house stretch of the 2021 season with a two-game lead on everyone else of their division.

Worst Rule of the Week

It isn’t simply that the refs introduced again a landing by Iowa State’s Xavier Hutchinson for barely celebrating a landing too early that bothers me. It is attempting to determine why the rule exists within the first place.

Truthfully, what goal does the rule serve? Who precisely was damage by Hutchinson turning round, slowing down and mildly high-stepping earlier than reaching the tip zone? Each rule ought to serve a goal, and I am unable to fairly pinpoint what goal the taunting penalty serves.

It is a sport during which we ask human beings to hurl their our bodies into different our bodies at full pace for 4 hours, but we’re afraid of any person getting their emotions damage? It is so monumentally silly, and I am fairly positive it solely exists as a result of one individual in cost someplace received mad when an opponent celebrated beating their favourite crew.

Fortunately, Hutchinson scored a number of performs later, and it was all a moot level. However are you able to think about if Iowa State had misplaced this sport as a result of a participant was glad he scored a landing?

Faculty Soccer Playoff Projection of the Week

  1. Alabama
  2. Georgia
  3. Ohio State
  4. Oklahoma

Till the following Monday After! | The Monday After: What to make of school soccer time beyond regulation guidelines after Penn State-Illinois marathon


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