Hi everyone, Chris Bengel will be back with you another Tuesday. I hope everyone is as ready for Thanksgiving as I am. All food and loads of soccer and basketball over the next few days. Sign me up for that.
The only catch is that there may not be exactly a ton of money to be made on a Thursday NFL slate. The day kicks off with the Detroit Lions taking on the Chicago Bears and we get to watch the quarterfinals between Tim Boyle and Andy Dalton. The Las Vegas Raiders against the Dallas Cowboys, could end up being a good contest. However, the Cowboys don’t have famous stars Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb could also be out because of the concussion.
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In the night recap, we have the New Orleans Saints hosting the Buffalo Bills in a game of two teams that are going through tough losses. In fact, all six teams playing on Thursday are close to losing in Week 11. Personally, I would probably feel more comfortable throwing some money at college basketball or NBA scheduled for Thursday and Friday, but Tom Fornelli will get back to you tomorrow to tell you what he thinks about the NFL blocking vehicle.
Right now, I have a couple of plays that I feel great about on Tuesdays.
All Eastern Times, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook
🔥 Hot ticket
Los Angeles Clippers -3.5
Pick: Clippers -5.5 (-110): The Clippers were really nice to us last week, so I’m going back to the well. This is also a great point for the Clippers considering that Luka Doncic is currently listed as suspect because he aggravated an already injured knee during a practice match on Monday. Since Doncic’s slump last week, the Mavericks have dropped all three games they’ve been forced to play without him – including one against the Clippers.
In spite of Kawhi Leonard still haven’t played a game this season, Paul George has really picked his game at the attack end. George is currently averaging 26.4 points per game, ranking fourth in the NBA just behind Kevin Durant, Stephen the curry, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. As a team, the Clippers are one of the better three-shot teams with 35.5% clipping while the Mavericks are in the middle of the group in terms of their perimeter defense. Clippers usually shoot well and can close this relatively small number at home.
Main trend: The Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites
Heat compare to Piston, 7 pm | TV: NBA.TV
Selection: Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 points (-110) – Piston starter hub Isaiah Stewart is expected to miss the game as he accepts his two-match pause stemming from his change to LeBron James on Sunday. With Stewart out of the lineup, Bam Adebayo props are definitely the way to go. Without Stewart, the Pistons’ journey ahead includes Jerami Grant, Trey Lyles, Luke Garza, and Josh Jackson. There will certainly be a size advantage for Adebayo.
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the Heat, Adebayo has scored at least 20 points. During the season, the Heat giants are averaging 19.4 points per game and over 18.5 points in seven games. While that may not seem like much, Adebayo finds himself in a unique situation against a smaller battlefield he can exploit. Look for Adebayo to eat Pistons.
Main trend: Adebayo has scored at least 20 points in three of his last five games
Oilers vs. Stars, 8:30pm | TV: ESPN+
Edmonton Oilers +1.5
Choice of: Oilers (-105) – Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’ve noticed how impressive the Oilers have been throughout the first part of the 2021-22 season. One of the biggest reasons for the team’s stellar start was their success at the attacking end. This is a team that is averaging 3.9 goals/game and that’s not a hard mark to maintain when you have two of the most talented setters in Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl.
The Oilers have scored seven goals in the past two games and McDavid has scored at least one point in every game this season.
Meanwhile, the Stars simply do not possess the same scoring power. Dallas is averaging just 2.6 goals per game and has scored just over three goals in three appearances this season. On Tuesday, the Stars will put young goalkeeper Jake Oettinger in the net, who has recorded a 2-0 record with an average of 1.43. Oettinger has been fantastic since being called up earlier this month, but he has yet to face a dangerous offense like the Oilers. It could be a close contest, but I’m confident in favor of the Oilers with some great odds.
Main trend: Oilers are 11-1 in their last 12 games against Western Conference teams
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/the-mavericks-really-miss-luka-doncic-plus-bam-adebayo-set-for-big-night-vs-pistons-and-other-best-bets/ The Mavericks Really Miss Luka Doncic, Plus Bam Adebayo Set For The Big Night Against The Pistons And Other Best Bets