In an essay for the New York Occasions Journal, printed on Dec. 2, I hazarded 4 predictions. First, the necessity for larger ranges of home safety would remodel every day life, introducing a variety of intrusions and inconveniences that may be persistent. Second, 9/11 wouldn’t alter the nation’s heavy dependence on imported oil. A brand new oil shock was coming, I predicted, particularly if Osama bin Laden might obtain his objective of toppling the Saudi monarchy. Third, I advised that the U.S. would seemingly retaliate for the assaults by increasing its already appreciable navy presence overseas. I anticipated a “transition of American world energy from casual to formal imperialism.” Lastly, I foresaw much less a conflict of civilizations than a continued means of political fragmentation (“From Yugoslavia to Iraq to Afghanistan, what america retains having to confront just isn’t a united Islam however a succession of fractured polities, racked by internecine warfare”).
https://www.washingtonpost.com/enterprise/vitality/sept-11-and-the-future-of-american-history/2021/09/12/da1bd456-1397-11ec-baca-86b144fc8a2d_story.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=wp_business | Sept. 11 and the Way forward for American Historical past