SEC college football picks, odds in Week 3: Alabama rolls Florida, Auburn upsets Penn State

Week 3 within the SEC brings a full slate of huge video games that not solely may influence the convention championship race however drastically shift the panorama for the Faculty Soccer Playoff. No. 1 Alabama will play No. 11 Florida in Gainesville, Florida, within the SEC on CBS Recreation of the Week, which shall be a rematch of the terrific 2020 SEC Championship Recreation. No. 22 Auburn will sq. off with No. 10 Penn State within the conventional “white out” recreation in Pleased Valley. 

There are different vital video games across the league as properly. No. 2 Georgia is in search of revenge on South Carolina, which upset the Bulldogs at residence two years in the past. That marked Georgia’s solely lack of the common season, which proved expensive later within the playoff race after it fell to eventual nationwide champion LSU within the SEC Championship Recreation. 

Let’s break down the largest storylines and make some picks on this week’s version of SEC Smothered & Lined

Appetizer: Auburn’s dynamic offense

The college football world was launched to Auburn operating again Tank Bigsby final 12 months, however he was actually the one recognized commodity exterior of quarterback Bo Nix on the Tigers’ offense. That has modified over the past two weeks. Freshman Jarquez Hunter has emerged as a really stable backup to Bigsby. The freshman, who squats 600 kilos, leads the Tigers with 257 yards speeding and confirmed his breakaway velocity in a 62-0 win over Alabama State with a 94-yard landing run.

“I am enthusiastic about his future and the way a lot he can proceed to maintain creating, and that should occur because the season goes on,” coach Bryan Harsin mentioned, via 247Sports. “However he is received a task on this group, and it may proceed to develop and he’ll have alternatives that manner.”

Nix has 5 passing touchdowns — he solely had 12 final 12 months — and has developed chemistry with Demetris Robertson and Shedrick Jackson. That has supplied much-needed stability and allowed the Tigers to appear to be a totally practical offense for the primary time in a number of years. 

No, Akron and Alabama State weren’t precisely difficult opponents, however Auburn hasn’t been taking part in right down to its competitors. That occurred lots beneath Gus Malzahn, nevertheless it would not appear to be the case thus far within the Harsin period.

Important course: What’s Florida’s offense?

Florida has a number of issues heading into its showdown with Alabama. Essentially the most urgent one is at quarterback the place Emory Jones and Anthony Richardson are nonetheless vying for the highest spot on the depth chart. Jones has tossed 4 picks — two every vs. FAU and South Florida — whereas Richardson is nursing a hamstring damage that popped up as he crossed the aim line on an 80-yard landing run towards the Bulls. 

The query going through coach Dan Mullen is whether or not he ought to begin the man who will give the ball to the Tide … or begin the man who might be a famous person however is not 100%. The reply would possibly rely upon what we’ve not seen the Gators do offensively. Extensive receiver Jacob Copeland mentioned this week that the Gators’ playbook has been shrouded in secrecy. 

“I really feel like camp was the factor that confirmed all the pieces for us. We have seen what we needed to see throughout camp. We got here in, all people is saying this and that about us within the first two video games,” he said, “however they have not seen all the pieces.”

Will it matter, although? The mixture of a dicey quarterback competitors and a playbook that hasn’t been absolutely unleashed is a tough state of affairs heading into the sport towards Alabama, a group that may flip a recreation sideways in a rush. 

Dessert: Payback in thoughts

Georgia fell at residence to South Carolina two years in the past in a surprising upset that prevented the Bulldogs from having an ideal common season. Do not let coach Kirby Good idiot you. That shall be at the back of his thoughts, particularly for the reason that coach of that South Carolina group, Will Muschamp, is on Good’s workers. 

Bulldogs QB JT Daniels missed final week’s recreation vs. UAB, however all backup Stetson Bennett IV did was throw 5 touchdowns and win SEC Co-Offensive Participant of the Week honors. South Carolina’s protection has been stable by two video games, nevertheless it’s not like UAB’s is a cupcake. Georgia would not must make an announcement, nevertheless it most likely needs to actual a bit little bit of revenge in the identical constructing the place its goals of perfection got here crashing down.

SEC picks, Week 3

Straight up: 23-4 | Towards the unfold: 11-9
Odds through Caesars Sportsbook

New Mexico at No. 7 Texas A&M

Newest Odds:

Texas A&M Aggies

Backup quarterback Zach Calzada struggled final week towards Colorado, however discovered a strategy to get the job carried out late with a landing go to Isaiah Spiller. Calzada will possible have to start out vs. Arkansas subsequent week and Alabama on Oct. 9, which makes this recreation an ideal alternative for coach Jimbo Fisher to develop the offense to suit his quarterback’s strengths now that Haynes King is out for an prolonged time period. Translation: He’ll hold his foot on the fuel for a full 4 quarters. Decide: Texas A&M (-28.5)

No. 1 Alabama at No. 11 Florida

Newest Odds:

Alabama Crimson Tide

Are you kidding me? Alabama is just laying 15.5 factors? That is simply disrespectful. Florida’s offense is a multitude and operating up towards the Alabama protection on the worst attainable time. Crimson Tide quarterback Bryce Young will not be fazed by the Gators protection. Anticipate him to hit massive play after massive play thanks partially to Florida defensive coordinator Todd Grantham’s outstanding capacity to name blitzes on the worst attainable instances. Decide: Alabama (-15.5)

Georgia Southern at No. 20 Arkansas

Newest Odds:

Arkansas Razorbacks

The Razorbacks speeding assault was unreal towards Texas and now’s the time for coach Sam Pittman to determine be greater than one-dimensional. The sport towards Georgia Southern will current that probability. This shall be extra of a pass-heavy assault towards the Eagles with a view to get quarterback KJ Jefferson prepared for Week 4’s matchup vs. Texas A&M. He’ll make sufficient errors to at the least hold Georgia Southern throughout the quantity however not get it the outright win. Decide: Georgia Southern (+23)

Mississippi State at Memphis

Newest Odds:

Mississippi State Bulldogs

I used to be shocked to see the Bulldogs throttle NC State, however that momentum will come to a screeching halt by the hands of a Tigers group that may mild it up offensively. Mississippi State defensive coordinator Zach Arnett did an important job final weekend, however this can be a a lot totally different activity. Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers will not have the ability to sustain on this observe meet. Decide: Memphis (+3)

South Carolina at No. 2 Georgia

Newest Odds:

Georgia Bulldogs

The Bulldogs discovered their big-play magic final weekend towards UAB however will not have sufficient to cowl this huge quantity towards the Gamecocks. Shane Beamer’s crew might be getting quarterback Luke Doty again and so they rank third nationally on protection at 3.48 yards per play allowed. Do not get me improper …. Georgia will cruise to a straightforward win … however not by 32 or extra factors. Decide: South Carolina (+31)

No. 22 Auburn at No. 10 Penn State

Newest Odds:

Penn State Nittany Lions

The Tigers are second within the nation in rush protection (23 yards per recreation), and Colby Wooden and Derick Hall have been superior up entrance. The linebackers are skilled and proficient, which is able to restrict the influence that Nittany Lions quarterback Sean Clifford and operating again Noah Cain have on the bottom. Give me Auburn for the straight-up win on the heels of a Heisman-caliber efficiency from Bigsby. Decide: Auburn (+6)

Central Michigan at LSU

Newest Odds:

LSU Tigers

Central Michigan gave Missouri a scare within the season-opener. That ought to give it some confidence heading into Dying Valley to play an LSU group that has been less-than-stellar over its first two video games. The Tigers offensive line struggled final week vs. McNeese State and Central Michigan is second within the MAC with 18 tackles for loss. This shall be a sluggish efficiency by the Tigers and the Chippewas will discover a strategy to at the least hold it throughout the quantity. Decide: Central Michigan (+20)

Tulane at No. 17 Ole Miss

Newest Odds:

Ole Miss Rebels

The Rebels have been phenomenal partially as a result of its protection is not horrendous, which is a large enchancment from final season. The Inexperienced Wave gave Oklahoma a scare within the first recreation of the season, nevertheless it’s not like their offense cruised up and down the sphere (396 whole yards). Ole Miss will dangle a 50-burger on the Inexperienced Wave and snag a straightforward cowl. Decide: Ole Miss (-14)

Stanford at Vanderbilt

Newest Odds:

Stanford Cardinal

The Commodores received previous Colorado State final Saturday … however Stanford was busy annihilating USC and placing an finish to the Clay Helton period. One in every of these items shouldn’t be like the opposite. Former hot-shot recruit Tanner McKee was superior by the air, averaging 10.2 yards per completion and tossing two touchdowns. He’ll be even higher this week in a blowout win over the ‘Dores. Decide: Stanford (-11)

FCS video games: Kentucky over Chattanooga, Missouri over Southeast Missouri State, Tennessee over Tennessee Tech

Which picks are you able to make with confidence, and which prime 25 favourite goes down onerous? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread this week, all from a confirmed pc mannequin that has returned $3,500 in revenue over the previous five-plus seasons. | SEC school soccer picks, odds in Week 3: Alabama rolls Florida, Auburn upsets Penn State


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