SEC college football picks, odds in Week 10: Auburn over Texas A&M, LSU covers in Alabama showdown

No. 13 Auburn will go to No. 14 Texas A&M this weekend in a large SEC West showdown that will probably be featured because the SEC on CBS Recreation of the Week. The Tigers are tied atop the SEC West standings, and a win over the Aggies can be the ultimate huge hurdle towards an Iron Bowl showdown with Alabama that would determine the division.

Elsewhere, No. 2 Alabama will look to remain scorching towards an LSU group that has had extra ups and downs this 12 months than mile-long curler coaster. With that stated, it is nonetheless a heated rivalry, and the Tigers would love nothing greater than to wreck Alabama’s College Football Playoff possibilities by handing the Tide their second lack of the season. 

Let’s now take a spin across the convention and makes picks straight up and towards the unfold for the SEC video games in Week 10. 

Appetizer: Be careful for LSU’s passing sport

The LSU offense has been decidedly one-dimensional exterior of the Florida sport when Tyrion Davis-Price ran for 593 miles. Regardless of that, it is had success by way of the air. Quarterback Max Johnson was averaging 8.5 yards per try and tossed 15 of his 20 landing passes in September, however issues tailed off in October — particularly when the Tigers misplaced star vast receiver Kayshon Boutte for the season on Oct. 9 vs. Kentucky.

Johnson has averaged simply 6.2 yards per try during the last two video games and managed simply 146 towards the porous Ole Miss protection his final outing. That is going to have to alter if LSU goes to have an opportunity this weekend towards an Alabama protection that gave up 10.8 yards per try and three touchdowns towards Tennessee two weeks in the past.

Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban has had two weeks to repair his go protection, so anticipate Johnson to be challenged in a wide range of methods on Saturday evening.

Important course: What to make of Zach Calzada

The backup-turned-starting quarterback of the Aggies turned the speak of the faculty soccer world when he threw for 285 yards and three touchdowns on 21-of-31 passing (67.7%). However that was, by far, his greatest passing efficiency. He accomplished simply 52% of his passes and averaged 5.9 yards per try vs. Missouri, 50% of his passes and seven.8 yards per try towards South Carolina and is final within the convention amongst certified quarterbacks at 6.6 yards per try for the season.

Auburn is permitting simply 3.29 yards per rush this season, and it will doubtless decelerate Isaiah Spiller and Co. sufficient to pressure Calzada into conditions the place he has to win together with his arm. Can he do this? Aggies coach Jimbo Fisher is aware of simply how good that secondary is.

“Exterior, [Roger] McCreary is a good nook on the sting,” he said. “Smoke Monday, nice there. [Zion] Puckett’s a fantastic participant. [Nehemiah] Pritchard is a good participant.

This sport will probably be on Calzada. If he completes 60% of his passes, the Aggies will win going away. If not, issues will get sketchy in Aggieland. 

Dessert: It does not matter who’s Georgia’s quarterback

Stetson Bennett IV did not play properly towards Florida final week, but it surely’s not like he needed to. Georgia mainly throttled right down to first gear within the second half and went on the Kirby Sensible dying march within the fourth quarter. Bennett remains to be averaging 11.5 yards per try and has developed a crucial chemistry with a number of receiving targets, together with star tight finish Brock Bowers. He additionally brings the operating component to his sport in a means that JT Daniels cannot.

Daniels, then again, has the larger arm, could make all the throws and is extra more likely to have a long-term NFL profession. 

This is the factor, although. Georgia’s stellar protection re-defines the definition of the phrase “shootout”. If it falters, it isn’t going to be like Bennett or Daniels are going to should put up 45 factors to win. It’s going to be extra like a high-20s or low-30s affair, and each of these guys can handle that. Plus, Sensible can simply make a change if his starter has an off day. It actually is not that huge of a deal.


Straight up: 64-14 | Towards the unfold: 34-33

Missouri at No. 1 Georgia

Missouri’s rush protection is flat out atrocious and Georgia’s dashing assault led by Zamir White and James Cook is brutal, punishing and versatile. With that stated, 38 factors is simply an insane unfold contemplating that Georgia will doubtless run the ball 50 occasions and drain the clock. Give me the Tigers to cowl however the Bulldogs to cruise to a simple win. Decide: Missouri (+38)

Liberty at No. 16 Ole Miss

Newest Odds:

Ole Miss Rebels

This sport was dubbed the “Hugh Freeze Bowl” when it was introduced that Freeze, the previous Ole Miss coach, will return to his outdated stomping grounds for the primary time since dropping the job earlier than the 2017 season. Now that it is right here, no one cares. Flames quarterback Malik Willis hasn’t lived as much as unrealistic expectations whereas Freeze’s squad has fallen out of the nationwide highlight. There is a purpose for that. Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral and the receiving corps will make this a shootout and Willis will not be capable to sustain. Decide: Ole Miss (-9.5)

No. 13 Auburn at No. 14 Texas A&M

Newest Odds:

Texas A&M Aggies

Tigers quarterback Bo Nix has discovered a pleasant stability between being a essentially sound passer and the yard wild card since he acquired benched vs. Georgia State. That will probably be too robust for the Texas A&M protection to cope with. Nix, mixed with a newfound dedication to the operating sport, will probably be an excessive amount of for the Aggies and Calzada. Take the factors, however you will not want them as a result of Auburn will win straight up. Decide: Auburn (+4.5)

Newest Odds:

Arkansas Razorbacks

Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers has quietly emerged as one of many convention’s greatest passers, and that will not change this week towards a Razorbacks protection that has allowed convention foes to finish 66% of their passes and common 8.5 yards per try. Rogers can have a discipline day by way of the air — which has grow to be fairly frequent today — and lead Mike Leach’s group to the minor upset. Decide: Mississippi State (+5.5)

LSU at No. 2 Alabama

Newest Odds:

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide will win with ease, however I will seize these 4 touchdowns and take the Tigers to cowl. LSU quarterback Max Johnson will hit two or three huge performs by way of the air to a minimum of get the Tigers within the excessive teenagers or decrease 20s. At that time, it will be all about what number of errors Bryce Young makes and when coach Nick Saban decides to take his foot off of the gasoline. Saban will wish to get out of this as shortly as doable and will not cowl the quantity. Decide: LSU (+28.5)

Tennessee at No. 18 Kentucky

Newest Odds:

Kentucky Wildcats

The Wildcats have been demoralized by Mississippi State final week after they have been formally eradicated from the SEC East race. That disappointment will proceed this week when they’re upset by a Tennessee group that has shortly grow to be one of many extra entertaining groups within the nation. Quarterback Hendon Hooker will put up 350 whole yards and the Wildcats offense will not be capable to sustain. Decide: Tennessee (+1)

Florida at South Carolina

Newest Odds:

South Carolina Gamecocks

The Gators are an absolute mess, however not sufficient of a large number to be surprised by the Gamecocks. With that stated, you’d should be out of your thoughts to put 18 factors with a Gators group that not solely has a large number at quarterback, however has a head coach who’s teetering on the point of touchdown on the new seat. Florida won’t break 20 factors, which ought to make a Gamecocks cowl stress-free. Decide: South Carolina (+18)

Which faculty soccer picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 10, and which High 25 group will get surprised? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a confirmed laptop mannequin that has returned virtually $3,700 in revenue over the previous five-plus seasons — and discover out. | SEC faculty soccer picks, odds in Week 10: Auburn over Texas A&M, LSU covers in Alabama showdown


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