Run-heavy NFL offenses with fantasy football value in 2021

There are a restricted variety of run-heavy NFL offenses every season able to supporting a number of related working backs for fantasy football. This text will prioritize offenses with working backs projected to have a big alternative (dashing makes an attempt plus targets) share in 2021.

The Baltimore Ravens, Tennesee Titans, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Cleveland Browns, and Arizona Cardinals are all projected to lean closely on their working backs. Let’s start with the AFC groups.

Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens ranked first within the NFL final season with 34.6 dashing makes an attempt per sport. Quarterback Lamar Jackson averaged an excellent 10.6 dashing makes an attempt whereas Baltimore’s working backs averaged 22.7 makes an attempt. Baltimore’s backs solely averaged 4 targets per sport.

Over the past two seasons below offensive coordinator Greg Roman, the Ravens’ working backs have averaged 27.6 alternatives per sport. This development will proceed in 2021.

J.Ok. Dobbins will lead Baltimore’s backfield this season. We have now him projected for round 240 alternatives. Gus Edwards will stay a key contributor to the Ravens’ backfield. He tasks for round 145 alternatives. If Dobbins have been to overlook an prolonged period of time, Edwards would take in his alternative share behind the Ravens’ stout offensive line.

Tennessee Titans

The Titans ranked second within the league with 32 dashing makes an attempt per sport. Tennessee’s working backs averaged 3.6 targets per sport. Derrick Henry averaged 25.6 alternatives per sport. He led all working backs in 2020 with 21 dashing makes an attempt of 15+ yards.

Tennessee promoted tight ends coach Todd Downing to offensive coordinator. The final time the Titans made an inner promotion of a good ends coach, it was Arthur Smith. Smith is now the pinnacle coach of the Falcons, however his offense ranked second in dashing yards per sport. The Titans will doubtless proceed to lean closely on Henry and its working sport.

Henry might obtain 340+ alternatives in 2021. Darrynton Evans will function as a change-of-pace possibility. As a reminder, the Titans drafted him No. 93 total within the 2020 NFL Draft.

He was a two-time Solar Belt Championship Sport Most Precious Participant and the Most Precious Participant in final yr’s New Orleans Bowl. The 2019 Solar Belt Offensive Participant of the Yr completed his collegiate profession ranked No. 9 all time with 2,884 dashing yards. Evans additionally owns the Appalachian State file for many profession dashing makes an attempt with out a fumble (482) and the single-season dashing try file with out a fumble (255 in 2019).

If Henry have been ever to overlook time, Evans could be a key beneficiary behind its strong offensive line.

New England Patriots

The Patriots ranked third within the NFL with a mean of 31.4 dashing makes an attempt final season. New England offered its working backs a wholesome 7.6 targets per sport final season.

New England’s offensive line has traditionally been strong. That can proceed in 2021. The Patriots have strong starters at each place on the road.

Operating again James White is anticipated to proceed to function because the workforce’s receiving again. We have now him projected for round 45 dashing makes an attempt and 65 targets.

Damien Harris is underrated. He acquired off to a sluggish begin in 2020 due to an ankle damage. In 10 video games performed, Harris averaged almost 14 dashing makes an attempt and 69 dashing yards per sport.

His flooring in 2021 is somewhat over 200 dashing makes an attempt, however it could not be a shock if he’s given a bigger workload with Sony Michel being a probable lower candidate. Harris’ ceiling shall be even increased if Mac Jones is called the Patriots’ beginning quarterback.

Cleveland Browns

The Browns averaged 30.4 dashing makes an attempt per sport, rating fifth. Cleveland’s working backs averaged 5 targets per sport and have the most effective offensive strains within the NFL.

Operating backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will proceed to share alternatives in 2021. Chubb averaged 15.8 dashing makes an attempt and only one.5 targets per sport. He tied Jonathan Taylor (14) for the second-most dashing makes an attempt of 15+ yards in 2020.

Hunt averaged 12.4 dashing makes an attempt and three.2 targets per sport in 2020. We undertaking Chubb to build up round 290+ alternatives in 2021, with Hunt stockpiling round 180. The Browns ought to proceed to depend on its working sport in 2021. We undertaking quarterback Baker Mayfield to have round 510 go makes an attempt this season.

The Cardinals and Saints are the run-heavy offenses from the NFC that present vital worth in fantasy soccer.

Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals common 30 dashing makes an attempt per sport final season. Quarterback Kyler Murray averaged an astounding 8.3 dashing makes an attempt per sport. Arizona’s working backs averaged 21 makes an attempt and 6.3 targets per sport.

Arizona’s offensive line continues to enhance. Excessive-quality line play advantages the whole offense, particularly a workforce’s run sport. Offensive line coach Sean Kugler has carried out an amazing job of enhancing the OL since arriving within the desert. Common supervisor Steve Keim has additionally been proactive in making an attempt to enhance the unit — and it exhibits.

Pro Soccer Community’s NFL Insider Adam Beasley wrote in his Five At 5 column on July 7 that Cardinals working again Chase Edmonds is ready to be the RB1 over free-agency addition James Conner. Edmonds is someone to target over Conner in fantasy soccer drafts.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints ranked fourth in dashing makes an attempt per sport (31) in 2020, and the cohort averaged 9 targets per sport. The working backs in Sean Payton’s offense have traditionally been closely used within the Saints’ offense since arriving within the Crescent Metropolis again in 2006.

New Orleans working backs have averaged 34 alternatives per sport from 2006 to 2020. This development will proceed in 2021, even with Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill below middle.

Over the past two seasons, Alvin Kamara has averaged 19.4 alternatives per sport. Latavius Murray, however, has averaged 11.6 alternatives per sport over that very same timeframe.

We have now Kamara projected for 280+ alternatives and Murray for 155+ in 2021. Kamara is the working again to roster in New Orleans, however Murray can even fill his footwear if he misses time.

The Saints below Payton have sometimes invested premium capital in its offensive line, and that’s mirrored statistically on the soccer discipline. This development may also proceed in 2021.

Need extra fantasy soccer evaluation and information?

You should definitely observe us on Twitter (@PFN365) to remain present with all issues across the NFL and the upcoming 2021 fantasy soccer season. Additionally, proceed to go to Pro Football Network for NFL information and in-depth evaluation whereas additionally visiting our fantasy soccer part for extra protection and up-to-date rankings.

Eric is a Senior Fantasy Analyst for Pro Soccer Community and a member of the FSWA (Fantasy Sports activities Writers Affiliation). You’ll be able to read more of his work right here and observe Eric on Twitter @EricNMoody.

Run-heavy NFL offenses with fantasy football value in 2021


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