Friday evening, the Houston Astros have the possibility to clinch their third AL pennant within the final 5 seasons, however they will must undergo a Boston Red Sox workforce that has proven nice mettle this postseason. The Astros have a 3-2 sequence lead and solely must win one residence recreation to advance, however the Crimson Sox are feisty. Additionally, we have seen the Astros lose Video games 6 and seven at residence earlier than, proper? The 2019 World Sequence is when.
As has been and can proceed to be the case, I am doing the sport picks over on SportsLine. I’ve gone 17-9-1 so far within the playoffs — and that was after an 0-1-1 (moneyline and over/underneath choose) begin within the AL Wild Card Sport — so hop on over there and subscribe.
On this house, we’ll deal with props, the over/underneath and different enjoyable.
All odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Over 8.5, -115
The over has been gold on this sequence. Within the final three video games, one of many two high-powered offenses was shut down every time and the profitable workforce nonetheless piled on sufficient offense to win the over. In actual fact, we may loop in Sport 2 as nicely, as a result of the Astros solely had three runs earlier than two meaningless ninth-inning homers.
This over is decrease than the others (as soon as we would have liked over 10 and it nonetheless hit), too. I think that is due to Nathan Eovaldi pitching. He is good, however is he actually the knockout punch wanted to take the underneath? He gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings final time in opposition to the Astros. He had a 3.75 regular-season ERA.
Additionally, with the Crimson Sox needing to win two video games to be able to keep alive, I think an early Astros rally can be the impetus for a fast hook from Alex Cora. Eovaldi higher be dealing or he is not going to final very lengthy.
The opposite aspect of that is easy. Astros starter Luis Garcia has allowed 5 runs in every of his playoff begins this yr, one lasting 2 2/3 and one lasting simply an inning-plus. It would not be shocking to see one other huge Crimson Sox rally early within the recreation.
The Astros bullpen has sufficient high quality items that will likely be rested sufficient to outlive a really quick Garcia begin and it is totally potential that Eovaldi and, say, Tanner Houck may maintain down the Astros offense. It is simply that there are such a lot of nice hitters right here on each groups that even only one aspect’s pitching faltering means we might hit the over, simply as was the case in Video games 2-5.
Solely two gamers have ever hit extra playoff residence runs than the diminutive-yet-powerful Altuve and so they each performed in much more postseason video games than Altuve has thus far. We all know he is good with the large second. Lots of his playoff homers had been clutch. His two-run shot within the sixth inning of Sport 1 tied issues up. In Sport 4, the Astros had been six outs away from being down 3-1 within the sequence and he hit a game-tying bomb to guide off the eighth. Bear in mind, he walked off the 2019 ALCS, too.
Additionally, there’s this: In Altuve’s profession in opposition to Eovaldi, he is 6 for 19 with a double and three residence runs.
It is robust to nail precisely one participant to homer in a given recreation, clearly, however there’s nice historical past right here for an Altuve choose.
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/information/red-sox-vs-astros-best-bets-props-for-alcs-game-6-another-jose-altuve-playoff-home-run/ | Crimson Sox vs. Astros greatest bets, props for ALCS Sport 6: One other Jose Altuve playoff residence run?