With one NFL sport left in September (Jaguars-Bengals tonight), let’s simply say my NFL picks had a nasty month.
Let’s go, October.
After three weeks of stumbling round, it is time to decide it up. I went 7-9 towards the unfold final week, dropping my season file to 22-24-2, whereas my 10-6 straight up file introduced my season mark to 26-22.
What actually acquired me final week was the Finest Bets on the Choose Six Podcast. I went 2-4 to drop my season file to 10-9. That, fairly merely, is not adequate. How did the Vikings-Seahawks sport not go over?
Now that October is right here, it is time to get it going. The objective for Halloween is to be nicely above .500 with my Finest Bets and towards the unfold total.
Let’s get on with Week 4.
The Bengals are 2-1 and have an actual shot to go to 3-1 on this sport. Cincinnati is taking part in strong protection and the offense is doing sufficient within the passing sport. Search for Joe Burrow, final yr’s high decide, to barely outplay Trevor Lawrence, this yr’s high decide. The Bengals are 6-2 towards the unfold of their final eight at dwelling. However the quantity is just too huge right here. They win, but it surely’s shut.
Choose: Bengals 28, Jaguars 24
The Jets have main points on offense proper now, however the Titans have defensive points. So is that this the sport Zach Wilson will get it going? I do not assume so. The Titans will go into New York and win their third straight to get to 3-1 as Derrick Henry runs wild.
Choose: Titans 30, Jets 10
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
The Eagles appeared terrible in dropping to the Cowboys Monday night time, whereas the Chiefs are coming off a turnover-plagued loss to the Chargers. The Eagles tried to get right into a shootout with the Cowboys, and it backfired. They cannot try this right here, however they’ll don’t have any selection when they’re compelled into it. Patrick Mahomes will get again on observe to steer the Chiefs to a giant victory.
Choose: Chiefs 34, Eagles 21
The Panthers are undefeated, however they have not precisely confronted a tricky schedule. This shall be their proving floor. The Cowboys appeared nice in beating up the Eagles Monday night time. With out Christian McCaffrey, the Panthers will not be the identical workforce. Dallas will pressure Sam Darnold into some turnovers that flip into factors. Dak Prescott will play nicely once more.
Choose: Cowboys 27, Panthers 20
New Orleans Saints
The Saints are lastly taking part in an actual dwelling sport after having their opener moved to Jacksonville, adopted by two straight street video games due to hurricane harm. They impressed final week profitable at New England, whereas the Giants have not received a sport but. The Saints are nice in October, profitable 22 of their final 24 within the month. The Saints may have the Superdome rocking as they blow out the Giants.
Choose: Saints 27, Giants 13
The Vikings are coming off their first victory, and the offense has been on hearth the final two weeks. The Browns had been spectacular on protection final week towards the Bears, however it is a a lot larger problem. I believe the Vikings keep scorching on offense and pull off a light upset.
Choose: Vikings 27, Browns 26
The Lions are coming off that heartbreaking loss to the Ravens, whereas the Bears stunk it up towards the Browns. Rookie Justin Fields had a tough go of it. I believe being again dwelling towards a Lions workforce that does not rush in addition to the Browns will assist him get going a bit. Chicago is the higher workforce. They’ll win it behind their protection.
Choose: Bears 21, Lions 13
This would be the first street begin for Texans rookie quarterback Davis Mills. That is a problem any time, however much more so towards this protection. The Texans even have defensive points, which Josh Allen will abuse. That is ugly.
Choose: Payments 33, Texans 10
It is a must-win early sport for each groups. The Colts are taking part in consecutive street sport. However they do get a break dealing with their former quarterback in Jacoby Brissett, who begins once more rather than Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins performed nicely at instances towards the Raiders and I believe they’ll right here as nicely.
Choose: Dolphins 26, Colts 20
Washington Soccer Group (-1.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Washington Soccer Group
The Falcons received on the street towards the Giants, displaying some life after being down within the fourth quarter. Washington has been the largest disappointment thus far this season. Their protection has been unhealthy. In some unspecified time in the future, you’d count on extra from that unit. This shall be that sport. Washington will win behind a protection that comes alive — lastly.
Choose: Washington 21, Falcons 17
San Francisco 49ers
The Seahawks are taking part in consecutive street video games and did not look good on protection once more final week. The 49ers are coming off a tricky loss to the Packers, dropping on a discipline objective on the ultimate play. The 49ers confirmed life on offense within the second half, solely to fall quick. This needs to be a high-scoring sport. 49ers take it.
Choose: 49ers 30, Seahawks 24
That is the sport of the week, that includes two undefeated groups. The Rams are taking part in the higher soccer, greatest within the NFL. They’re additionally at dwelling, in order that they have a giant edge. However Arizona can rating factors in a rush. Their offense will preserve this shut, however Matt Stafford will get the very best of the Arizona protection.
Choose: Rams 37, Cardinals 33
Inexperienced Bay Packers
The Packers have received two straight, whereas the Steelers have misplaced two in a row. Pittsburgh’s offense has been dreadful the previous few video games. Inexperienced Bay’s offense has actually come to life after a Week 1 stinker. The Steelers do not have the identical protection as they’ve had lately. Aaron Rodgers will get the very best of the Steelers on this one.
Choose: Packers 27, Steelers 17
The Broncos are undefeated, however they have not defeated a workforce with a victory but. This shall be their first main problem. However the Ravens are taking part in consecutive street video games and barely held on to beat the Lions final week. The Broncos protection will do an awesome job towards Lamar Jackson to restrict him some, and Denver will do exactly sufficient on offense.
Choose: Broncos 23, Ravens 20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
That is the Brady Bowl as Tom Brady faces his former workforce and former coach. The feelings shall be excessive for Brady. However when it will get all the way down to taking part in soccer, Tampa Bay is the significantly better workforce. They’re taking part in consecutive street video games, but it surely will not matter. Brady will get the very best of his former workforce and rookie quarterback Mac Jones struggles.
Choose: Bucs 28, Patriots 19
Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5)
Los Angeles Chargers
The Raiders are 3-0, and have defeated three groups that every received 10 video games a yr in the past. That is spectacular. Derek Carr is taking part in MVP soccer and the offense may be explosive. This has the makings of a shootout between Carr and Justin Herbert, who was excellent towards the Chiefs. I believe that continues right here because the Chargers give the Raiders their first lack of the season.
Choose: Chargers 36, Raiders 30
So which picks are you able to make with confidence? And which undefeated workforce goes down onerous? Visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,900 since its inception, and discover out.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/priscos-nfl-week-4-odds-picks-rams-win-but-cardinals-cover-in-a-thriller-tom-brady-reigns-over-patriots/ | Prisco’s NFL Week 4 odds, picks: Rams win however Cardinals cowl in a thriller, Tom Brady reigns over Patriots