There are a restricted variety of pass-heavy NFL offenses every season which can be able to supporting a number of related extensive receivers for fantasy football. This text will prioritize offenses with quarterbacks who’re projected to exceed 600+ go makes an attempt in 2021.
The Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, Buffalo Payments, Dallas Cowboys, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Los Angeles Rams, and Pittsburgh Steelers are all projected to lean closely on their beginning quarterbacks and passing recreation. Let’s start with the AFC groups.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has averaged 36.7 go makes an attempt, 308 passing yards, and 27.4 fantasy factors per recreation over his final 45 lively video games in Kansas Metropolis. Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid’s offense is a match made in fantasy soccer heaven.
Large receiver Tyreek Hill and tight finish Travis Kelce every mission to obtain 140+ targets in 2021. Hill has averaged 8.3 targets, 84 receiving yards, and 20 PPR fantasy ppg since 2018. Kelce has had related success over that time-frame. He’s averaged 9.2 targets, 84.7 receiving yards, and 18.5 PPR fantasy ppg.
Mecole Hardman may also emerge as a extra dependable receiver for the Chiefs in 2021. This offseason, he continues to develop as a route runner, which may lead to extra structured targets relatively than manufactured touches. Hardman caught 41 of 62 targets for 560 yards and 4 touchdowns final season. Moreover, Mahomes had a 116.3 passer ranking when concentrating on him.
The Chiefs are a pass-heavy NFL offense you’ll definitely need publicity to in 2021.
The Payments have been one of many prime offenses within the NFL final season. Buffalo (385.4) ranked fourth in whole yards per recreation behind the Chiefs (414.7), Inexperienced Bay Packers (393.8), and Minnesota Vikings (393.2). Quarterback Josh Allen was an vital catalyst for the crew’s offensive success.
In 2020, Allen averaged 35.8 go makes an attempt, 284 passing yards, and 28.3 fantasy ppg. He was additionally deadly as a runner — averaging 6.4 dashing makes an attempt, 26.2 dashing yards, and 0.5 dashing touchdowns per recreation.
Final season, extensive receiver Stefon Diggs and Allen have been instantly calibrated. The veteran receiver averaged 10.5 targets, 96 receiving yards, and 20.5 PPR fantasy factors per recreation. In 2021, Diggs once more initiatives to obtain 150+ targets.
Cole Beasley was additionally stable in 2020. He completed as a WR3+ in 67% of his video games, averaging practically 14 PPR fantasy factors. In 2021, he initiatives to see 100+ targets.
Previous to the Payments signing Emmanuel Sanders, Gabriel Davis was positioned for a breakout season. Davis performed in all 16 video games final yr, beginning in 11 of them. He completed as a WR3 or higher in 81% of his video games in PPR codecs.
Davis generated 62 targets, 35 receptions, 599 receiving yards, 945 receiving air yards, and seven touchdowns. Had been you conscious that his receiving air yards ranked second on the crew behind Diggs (1,713)? He initiatives to see 70+ targets in 2021.
Ben Roethlisberger’s return from an elbow tear left a lot to be desired. He averaged 40.5 go makes an attempt, 252.3 passing yards, and 20.4 fantasy ppg. Roethlisberger solely produced 4 QB1 finishes and averaged a career-low 6.3 passing yards per try. Nonetheless, Roethlisberger did end 2020 with 72 go makes an attempt larger than 20 yards. The dangerous information is that he solely accomplished practically 28% of them.
This can seemingly be Roethlisberger’s closing NFL season. He has all three of his prime receivers returning in 2021, with Diontae Johnson main the group. He averaged 9.6 targets and 15 PPR fantasy factors per recreation in 2020. Because the Steelers WR1, he’s projected to obtain 140+ targets this season. Johnson’s drops are an space of his recreation that may be improved.
Moreover, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Chase Claypool every mission to obtain 120+ targets. Subsequently, all three Pittsburgh receivers may exceed 1,000 receiving yards in 2021.
Roethlisberger and the Steelers are prone to be a extra pass-heavy offense than you could suppose. The veteran quarterback could not have the arm power he did earlier in his profession, however all of his receivers are wonderful at producing yards after the catch.
The Cowboys, Buccaneers, and Rams are the pass-heavy offenses from the NFC that convey a ton of worth in fantasy soccer.
Dak Prescott averaged 50 go makes an attempt, 422.5 passing yards, and 36.3 fantasy factors per recreation in his first 4 video games final season. After his harm in Week 5, the Cowboys’ offense fell aside. The majority of the quarterback snaps have been taken by veteran Andy Dalton, and he solely averaged 192 passing yards per recreation.
The Cowboys scored 31 or extra factors in 4 out of their first 5 video games. Nonetheless, after Prescott’s harm, they reached that mark simply thrice over the remainder of the season. Prescott’s return elevates all the Cowboys’ offense in 2021.
Receivers Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, and Michael Gallup all have the potential in Dallas’ offense to exceed 100+ targets this season. Furthermore, they must proceed to lean closely on the offense.
The Cowboys’ protection has made enhancements this offseason however may nonetheless be examined in 2021. Along with the opposite groups within the NFC East, they may also face the AFC West and the NFC South. As a reminder, the Cowboys’ protection allowed the ninth-most fantasy factors per recreation to opposing offenses in 2020.
Cooper and Lamb are projected to every obtain 125+ targets whereas Gallup will obtain 100+ targets. As well as, tight ends Blake Jarwin and Dalton Schultz mission to mix for round 100 targets.
Thus, it’s straightforward to see that the Cowboys are one other high-powered pass-heavy NFL offense you’ll wish to goal this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady threw 4,633 passing yards and 40 TDs final season. The long run Corridor of Fame quarterback’s presence and mindset propelled Tampa Bay to a Tremendous Bowl win. Buccaneers head coach Bruce Arians’ vertical passing assault and the crew’s magnificent receiving weapons unlocked one of the best model of Brady we’ve seen since 2007.
Receiver Mike Evans has now accrued seven consecutive seasons with 1,000 or extra receiving yards. He’s completed as a WR2 or higher in 52% of his 106 profession video games. Chris Godwin, in the meantime, has averaged 8 targets, 83.6 receiving yards, and 18 PPR fantasy factors per recreation over the past two years. This dynamic duo ought to choose up the place they left off final season as they every mission to obtain 120+ targets.
Moreover, the Buccaneers have veteran receiver Antonio Brown — who initiatives for 90+ targets — and tight ends Rob Gronkowski and O.J. Howard on the roster.
The return of Howard hurts Gronkowski as he was outperforming Gronkowski earlier than his season-ending harm. Howard’s 146 receiving yards from Weeks 1-4 have been essentially the most by any tight finish and third-most on the crew behind receivers Evans and Scotty Miller. Howard scored 2 touchdowns in these 4 video games, becoming a member of Evans as the one Buccaneers with a number of landing receptions throughout that time-frame. In consequence, Howard completed as a TE1 in two of these 4 video games.
Los Angeles Rams
The addition of veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford to the Rams is certainly one of my prime signings of the offseason. Head coach Sean McVay lastly has a quarterback who could make any throw on the soccer subject and maximize his offensive scheme.
In 40 video games from 2018-2020, Stafford averaged 34.4 go makes an attempt, 259 passing yards, and 19 fantasy factors per recreation. Likewise, from 2015-2017, he averaged 36.5 go makes an attempt, 271.6 passing yards, and 21 fantasy ppg. He completed as a QB1 in 46% of these video games throughout that time-frame.
With the receiving weapons Stafford could have in Los Angeles, it’s attainable he has a profession season. Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp have prospered over the past three seasons catching passes from Jared Goff. Since 2018, Woods has completed as a WR2+ in 51% of his video games. Kupp, alternatively, has completed as a WR2+ in 41% of video games. Each gamers could obtain 130+ targets every in 2021.
Stafford has no drawback throwing the soccer deep, and it will mesh nicely with play-action, which McVay options closely in his offensive scheme.
Receivers DeSean Jackson and Van Jefferson will mix for round 100 targets. At this stage of his profession, Jackson could be considered as extra of a situational deep risk. In the meantime, Tyler Higbee ought to see round 70 targets.
Goff’s passing air yards per recreation dropped dramatically over the past two seasons. This negatively impacted Woods and Kupp’s statistical manufacturing. Nonetheless, each are ready to enormously exceed expectations in 2021 within the Rams pass-heavy offense.
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Eric is a Senior Fantasy Analyst for Pro Soccer Community and a member of the FSWA (Fantasy Sports activities Writers Affiliation). You may read more of his work right here and observe Eric on Twitter @EricNMoody.