Packers at Cardinals picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for ‘Thursday Night Football’ in Week 8

The Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals will kick off Week 8 within the NFL when these two NFC powerhouses meet at State Farm Stadium for “Thursday Night time Soccer.” That is arguably the most effective recreation on the slate, however will probably be lacking some key names. For the Packers, they’re anticipated to be with out star receiver Davante Adams, as he’s on the COVID-19 record. Fellow cross catcher Allen Lazard can also be out resulting from COVID. On the opposite facet, Arizona has dominated out cross rusher J.J. Watt resulting from a shoulder harm. 

Whereas the Cardinals roll into this recreation 7-0 and the Packers 6-1 on the season, each of those groups are 6-1 ATS, which is tied for second-best within the NFL. That is the angle we’ll be right here. On this area, we’ll particularly be trying on the completely different betting angles that this recreation has to supply. Together with the unfold and complete, we’ll additionally check out numerous participant props and hand in our picks for the way we see this prime-time matchup unfolding. 

All NFL odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

Easy methods to watch

Date: Thursday, Oct. 28 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Arizona)
TV: Fox | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Comply with: CBS Sports App
Odds: Cardinals -6.5, O/U 50

Line motion

Newest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals
-6.5

This has been one of many extra intriguing traces to observe main as much as a recreation all season. The road opened at Cardinals -3 and has jumped dramatically within the wake of Davante Adams touchdown on the COVID-19 record. At the moment, the road is Cardinals -6.5. Is Adams a 3.5-point difference-maker? That is a minimum of the way it’s been translating on the road. 

The decide: Cardinals -6.5. I like that I can get this beneath seven. Inexperienced Bay will probably be restricted with what it will possibly do offensively with out Adams (doubtless out) and Lazard within the fold. Arizona additionally boasts the No. 2-ranked protection in your entire NFL in DVOA, so it was already going to be powerful sledding for the Packers to start with. After all, Kyler Murray on the opposite facet is on an MVP tempo in the mean time and will be capable to discover success in opposition to a Packers defensive unit that’s ranked twenty fourth within the league. 

Key pattern: Cardinals are 5-0 ATS within the final 5 video games. 

Over/Underneath complete

Much like the unfold, the full has dropped significantly because the week has gone on. After opening at 53, it is tumbled all the best way to 50 within the wake of the Packers being down two key cross catchers. It additionally does not assist that Watt will probably be out for this recreation as properly. 

The decide: Underneath 50. While you consider the Cardinals and Packers offenses, you consider these models which might be blowing the doorways off opposing defenses and certain driving the full over. Nevertheless, that hasn’t been the case this season. The Underneath is 5-2 for the Packers this season and 4-3 within the seven video games Arizona has performed up to now. With the Cardinals’ protection being among the many finest within the league and the Packers down key items on offense, there is a path the place this can be a lower-scoring recreation. 

Key pattern: Underneath is 4-1 within the Cardinals final 5 video games as the favourite.

• Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -170, Underneath +140)
• Passing yards: 257.5 (Over -115, Underneath -115)
• Speeding yards: 8.5 (Over -125, Underneath -105)
• Passing makes an attempt: 35.5 (Over -125, Underneath -105)
• Longest cross completion: 35.5 (Over -110, Underneath -120)
• Completions: 24.5 (Over -105, Underneath -125) 
• Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +155, Underneath -190)

I’d lean towards the Underneath on Rodgers’ cross makes an attempt prop of 35.5. He is solely gone over that quantity twice this season and will probably be with out two of his most focused receivers. That would open the door for extra touches for Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon out of the backfield, limiting what number of instances Rodgers really drops again to cross. There’s additionally sturdy worth in Rodgers scoring the primary landing of the sport at +3500. 

Kyler Murray props

• Passing touchdowns: 2.5 (Over +150, Underneath -180)
• Passing yards: 276.5 (Over -120, Underneath -110)
• Speeding yards: 28.5 (Over -120, Underneath -110)
• Passing makes an attempt: 35.5 (Over -105, Underneath -125)
• Longest cross completion: 36.5 (Over -110, Underneath -120)
• Completions: 24.5 (Over -130, Underneath +100)
• Interceptions: 0.5 (+110, Underneath -140)

Murray has gone beneath this passing yards prop in 4 straight video games heading into Thursday. If you happen to imagine the Cardinals will win this recreation, that might correlate with Murray going beneath that passing yards mark as they might look to sluggish the sport down and management the clock within the second half. 

Participant props to think about

Aaron Jones complete receiving yards: Over 34.5 (-125). He is solely gone over this quantity twice this season, however Jones will doubtless see elevated work within the passing recreation with the Packers restricted at receiver. He is averaging 4 targets per recreation this season, however count on that quantity to be nearer to 6 on Thursday, which supplies us an important alternative to go over.  

Chase Edmonds complete speeding yards: Over 43.5 (-130). Inexperienced Bay’s run protection is ranked twenty third within the NFL in DVOA in opposition to the run and is permitting 4.9 yards per carry. In the meantime, Edmonds has topped this complete in 5 of his seven video games performed this season.