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No One Is Sure Who Won the Latino Vote in Virginia, But It’s Not Looking Good for Democrats

Two exits polls from the Virginia gubernatorial election present vastly totally different distributions of the Latino vote between the candidates.

An Associated Press VoteCast exit ballot confirmed that Republican Glenn Youngkin, who received the race on Tuesday, secured 55 p.c of the Latino vote.

Nonetheless, an Edison Research exit ballot confirmed that McAuliffe acquired 66 p.c of the demographic’s votes.

“At this time, polling on the whole has an actual drawback: We’re getting low response charges throughout the board, and that’s not restricted to Hispanic voters, nevertheless it’s even more durable if you ballot smaller teams,” Eduardo Gamarra, a Latino vote pollster, informed Politico.

“The actual fact is, we most likely don’t know who received the Hispanic vote or by how a lot on Tuesday,” he added.

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“However I can inform you from my analysis that what we’ve got been seeing is an actual message for the Democrats, who should not getting behind points that basically communicate to Latinos. It’s a purpose we’re seeing the shift.”

The Latino group makes up lower than 10 p.c of the Virginia’s registered voters, however the excessive degree of scrutiny over the group’s vote stems from former President Donald Trump’s positive factors within the demographic within the 2020 presidential election.

Although President Joe Biden received a majority of the Latino vote, his share shrunk from Democrats’ numbers in 2016.

Plenty of Hispanic-heavy precincts in New Jersey, the place the Democratic incumbent managed a slim victory towards his opponent, shifted to the fitting in comparison with the 2017 gubernatorial election. Nonetheless, not all precinct-level knowledge within the state is available, Politico reported.

Will extra Latino voters end up for Republicans in 2022?

The Edison Analysis ballot additionally confirmed white women swung extra in the direction of Republicans than in 2020, with 57 p.c voting for Youngkin.

White ladies with no faculty diploma additionally shifted proper from the presidential election, swinging 13 factors.

“There’s little question now that somebody not named Trump can recreate the Trump coalition — and make positive factors amongst suburban voters,” Patrick Ruffini, a Republican knowledge analyst, informed the AP.

“It means quite a lot of states are in play.”

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https://www.westernjournal.com/no-one-sure-won-latino-vote-virginia-not-looking-good-democrats/ | No One Is Certain Who Received the Latino Vote in Virginia, However It is Not Trying Good for Democrats

Huynh Nguyen

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