NFL Week 9 picks: 49ers upset Cardinals, Aaron Rodgers outduels Patrick Mahomes as Packers top Chiefs

With Week 9 upon us, which means we at the moment are formally midway via the 2021 NFL season, which makes proper now the right time handy out some midseason awards. Really, I am solely handing out one award and it is going to me and I do not even need it: It is the award for worst picker from Week 8. 

I clearly spent manner an excessive amount of time making an attempt discover a Halloween costume final week and never sufficient time researching my picks, as a result of that is the one technique to clarify how horrible I used to be final week. Subsequent 12 months for Halloween I’ll go as somebody who’s good at picks. The excellent news for me is that regardless of going 6-9, I nonetheless have the highest straight-up document round right here at CBSSports.com. Nonetheless, my lead is now down to at least one recreation, so no extra making dumb picks. For example, after selecting the Lions to win final week, I can guarantee you that I’ll by no means be selecting the Lions to win ever once more. 

I’ll take the bye week to cowl. 

Who else will I be taking to cowl this week? Let’s get to the Week 9 picks and discover out. 

Really, earlier than we try this, here is your weekly reminder which you could try the NFL picks from everybody right here at CBSSports.com by clicking here. When you want proof that I’ve one of the best picks document, you are going to wish to click on right here. Additionally, for the remainder of the season, I will be podcasting three days per week — Monday, Tuesday and Friday — with Will Brinson and Ryan Wilson. My family cannot even deal with hanging out with me three days per week, so I am not fairly certain how Brinson and Wilson do it. We obtained collectively for a present on Tuesday and you may take heed to it under. The explanation you are going to wish to hear is as a result of we spent an inordinate period of time debating whether or not the Chiefs are going to make the playoffs this 12 months. That being mentioned, when you’re a Chiefs fan, it’s possible you’ll not wish to hear. 

Alright, let’s get to the picks as a result of the earlier we try this, the earlier I can get extra followers to hate me after I choose in opposition to your staff. 

NFL Week 9 Picks

Cleveland (4-4) at Cincinnati (5-3)

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals
-3

When you watched the Browns lose to the Steelers on Sunday, then you definately already know that there is just one particular person responsible for his or her loss and that particular person is, yup, you guessed it, TONY ROMO.

Romo is without doubt one of the three most likable guys on the planet and I do not know how anybody may blame something on him ever, however because it seems, it appears Browns followers have an honest motive for not liking him. For the previous three years, any time that Romo and Jim Nantz have confirmed as much as name a Browns recreation, the Browns have misplaced. 

Together with the loss to the Steelers, the Browns at the moment are 0-8 since 2018 when Romo and Nantz are at one in every of their video games. 

Because the resident Bengals homer right here at CBSSports.com, I made certain to tug a number of strings in order that Romo and Nantz could be on the Browns-Bengals recreation this weekend to make sure one other Cleveland loss. Simply kidding, I haven’t got any strings and I would not even know the place to begin pulling, so though Romo and Nantz WILL be in Cincinnati on Sunday, I had nothing to do with it. Nonetheless, in the event that they’re in search of any suggestions on the place to get some tasty Cincinnati chili, I can positively assist with that. 

Talking of assist, the Browns may positively use some assist at quarterback. Since Baker Mayfield injured his shoulder again in Week 6, Cleveland’s offense has been an absolute mess. Over the previous three weeks, the Browns have scored 14, 17 and 10 factors, and that 17-point efficiency did not even come from Baker as a result of it got here in the one recreation that Case Keenum began. 

I believe the Browns pass-rush will give the Bengals some bother, however not sufficient bother for the Browns to win this recreation. I truly did take into consideration taking Cleveland right here, but when Browns followers assume a Tony Romo jinx exists, then who am I to argue with them. 

The choose: Bengals 23-20 over Browns

Atlanta (3-4) at New Orleans (5-2)

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

New Orleans Saints
-6

I will be sincere right here, 10 minutes earlier than I used to be set to ship my Week 9 picks into my editor, I used to be going to choose the Falcons on this recreation, however then I remembered that it is a recreation involving the Saints, which suggests I am purported to do the alternative of what my intestine tells me to do. We’re headed into Week 9 of the NFL season and by some means, I am 1-6 selecting Saints video games this season and I do not even be ok with the one recreation I obtained proper as a result of I picked them to beat a Seahawks staff that did not have Russell Wilson. Even my 18-month previous daughter knew the Saints have been going to win that recreation. 

As a point out right here each different week, I am horrible at selecting Saints video games. The Saints at the moment are formally residing rent-free in my head. It doesn’t matter what I do, my choose at all times finally ends up being mistaken. I’ve picked the favourite. I’ve picked the underdog. I’ve executed the alternative of what my intestine instructed me to do. I’ve executed the alternative of what my first intuition instructed me to do, which was to do the alternative of no matter my intestine instructed me to do. As you possibly can see, I’ve now fully psyched myself out and there is now a 97% likelihood that I am by no means going to choose a Saints recreation accurately ever once more.

Each week, simply after I assume I am beginning to be ok with my Saints choose for his or her upcoming recreation, one thing loopy occurs. This week, the loopy factor that occurred is Jameis Winston being out for the season. If Jameis was beginning on this recreation, I might choose the Saints to win by double-digits. Nonetheless, with no Jameis, that implies that Saints will both be beginning Taysom Hill or Trevor Siemian. The issue with Taysom Hill is that he is been out the previous three weeks with a concussion. The issue with Trevor Siemian is that he is Trevor Siemian. 

The excellent news for me (and the Saints) is that it should not matter who the beginning quarterback is on this recreation as a result of I do not assume the Falcons are going to have the ability to transfer the ball on New Orleans’ protection. The dangerous information for the Saints is that I am selecting them to win this week and if historical past is any indication, which means they’ll lose. 

The choose: Saints 19-16 over Falcons

Houston (1-7) at Miami (1-7)

1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Miami Dolphins
-7

On paper, that is simply the worst recreation of Week 9 and probably the worst recreation that is ever been on any NFL schedule ever. At this level, Texans followers barely wish to watch the Texans play, Dolphins followers barely wish to watch the Dolphins play and nobody needs to look at them play one another. Nonetheless, I ought to most likely level out that the watchability of this recreation will shoot up by roughly 5000% if Deshaun Watson will get traded to the Dolphins this week.

The Texans buying and selling Watson to the Dolphins by Tuesday’s commerce deadline solely to must face him 5 days later would positively be probably the most becoming manner for Watson’s profession in Houston to finish. That being mentioned, I do not know if a commerce will truly get executed. 

The issue with a Tuesday commerce deadline is that I flip my picks column in on Monday evening, which suggests I do not know which staff Watson will likely be taking part in for on Sunday. To be sincere, I do not know who’s going to be taking part in for both staff on Sunday as a result of there is a 70 p.c likelihood that one or each of those groups will find yourself buying and selling away half their roster earlier than the commerce deadline hits at 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday. In fact, the excellent news for me is that neither staff actually appears to have any thought what they’re doing this season, so I can most likely safely assume that if the Dolphins or Texans do make a commerce this week, they may virtually actually lose that commerce and their staff will worsen. 

The excellent news for me is that I used to be planning on selecting the Dolphins whether or not or not that they had Watson, in order that makes this choose simple. 

The choose: Dolphins 24-16 over Texans

Arizona (7-1) at San Francisco (3-4)

4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals
-2.5

The Cardinals have gained seven video games this season and in six of these wins, they scored 31 or extra factors. The one time they did not hit the 30-point mark in a win this 12 months got here again in Week 5 once they beat the 49ers simply 17-10. That recreation was bizarre as a result of the 49ers went up and down the sphere for 4 straight quarters, however they simply could not rating any factors, which is type of a difficulty whenever you’re taking part in a sport the place the staff with the very best rating wins. Within the first half alone, the 49ers obtained into Arizona territory on their first three offensive drives, however they scored ZERO factors due to an interception and two failed fourth downs. 

This time round, there are going to be three large variations and I believe all of them favor the 49ers. 

  1. Kyler Murray is banged up. The Cardinals quarterback sprained his ankle in Week 7 and that is one thing that might doubtlessly gradual him down. If the harm limits Murray’s mobility, that makes him a way more beatable quarterback. 
  2. No J.J. Watt. The primary time round, Watt terrorized the 49ers. He made a number of large performs and led the Cardinals in tackles for a loss within the recreation with two. With no Watt, that is one much less defensive participant the 49ers should fear about. 
  3. Jimmy Garoppolo is again. Kyle Shanahan has mentioned all season that Garoppolo offers his staff a greater likelihood to win than Trey Lance and at this level, I believe I consider him. Lance virtually led the 49ers to an upset win over Arizona in Week 5 and I really feel like Jimmy may do even higher this week. 

Additionally, there’s an opportunity the 49ers are going have George Kittle again on the sphere. Kittle did not play within the first assembly with the Cardinals and even when he isn’t 100% on Sunday, the Playing cards protection should account for him on each play. 

I’ve positively talked myself into taking San Francisco right here and there is not any turning again. I’ve obtained an ideal document selecting 49ers video games this 12 months and let’s hope I did not simply blow it by selecting them to beat an offended Cardinals staff that will likely be coming off of 10 days of relaxation. 

The choose: 49ers 27-24 over Cardinals

Inexperienced Bay (7-1) at Kansas Metropolis (4-4)

4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
-2.5

Have you learnt who gained the final time Aaron Rodgers confronted Patrick Mahomes? NO ONE, as a result of it has by no means occurred earlier than. For the previous three years, the Soccer Gods have been mocking us by not giving us Rodgers vs. Mahomes. I have been mocked by lots of people, however let me simply say that nothing is extra painful than being mocked by the Soccer Gods. 

We virtually obtained Mahomes-Rodgers within the 2019 common season, however Mahomes injured his knee and missed the Chiefs’ recreation in opposition to the Packers, which Inexperienced Bay ended up profitable 31-24. Additionally in 2019, we virtually obtained Mahomes-Rodgers in Tremendous Bowl LIV, however the Packers misplaced within the NFC title recreation we have been caught watching Mahomes play the 49ers. One 12 months later, we virtually obtained Mahomes-Rodgers in Tremendous Bowl LV, however as soon as once more, the Packers misplaced within the NFC title recreation and we obtained caught with Mahomes-Brady. Mahomes-Brady has been executed earlier than, I wished Mahomes-Rodgers. 

I’ve written Roger Goodell a letter every single day for the previous three years asking him if the Packers and Chiefs may play within the common season extra usually and he should have learn a kind of letters as a result of that is the one technique to clarify how this recreation occurred. The one motive the Chiefs and Packers are taking part in one another this 12 months is as a result of the seventeenth recreation was added to the schedule. This was one of many video games that was added to the schedule as a part of the 17-game components. I am 57% certain Goodell solely added this recreation so we may lastly see Mahomes vs. Rodgers. 

Sadly, now that we’re getting this recreation, I am unsure I even need it. Mahomes hasn’t seemed nice this 12 months and the Chiefs protection has been horrible. I really feel like Rodgers may throw for 500 yards on this recreation. Additionally, the schedule-makers clearly hate the Chiefs as a result of the Packers will likely be going into this recreation on 10 days relaxation — as a result of they performed on Thursday in Week 8 — whereas the Chiefs will going into this recreation on a brief week as a result of they performed on Monday. I will take the well-rested staff that is not giving up almost 400 yards per recreation. 

The choose: Packers 34-27 over Chiefs

NFL Week 9 picks: All the remainder

Colts 27-16 over Jets
Cowboys 30-17 (If Dak performs)
Cowboys 20-17 over Broncos (If Dak would not play)
Raiders 30-23 over Giants
Patriots 27-17 over Panthers
Bills 34-13 over Jaguars
Ravens 30-20 over Vikings
Chargers 31-24 over Eagles
Rams 30-22 over Titans
Steelers 20-13 over Bears

BYES: Lions, Seahawks, Buccaneers, Washington

Final Week

Finest choose: Final week, I predicted that the Steelers would upset the Browns in Cleveland and guess what occurred? The Steelers upset the Browns in Cleveland. Now, did I do know that the sport was going to set soccer again 30 years with a last rating of 15-10? In fact, I did. This recreation featured a one-armed quarterback (Baker Mayfield) going up in opposition to  a quarterback (Ben Roethlisberger) who has the mobility of a child sloth. Additionally, Tony Romo was calling the sport, so there was no manner the Browns have been going to win.

Worst choose: It took eight weeks, however I lastly hit all-time low within the picks division. Really, to say I hit all-time low could be an insult to each rocks and bottoms. I went decrease than that. Final week, not solely did I predict that the Lions would upset the Eagles, however I additionally predicted that the Jaguars would go into Seattle and shock the Seahawks. These two groups ended up shedding by a mixed rating of 75-13. I knew my overzealous help of cat groups would blow up in my face sooner or later, however I did not assume it will occur like this. Even the Bengals misplaced. I went 6-9 selecting video games final week and that is largely as a result of I went 0-4 selecting cat groups. If cats did not exist, I might have dominated final week. I hate cats. I’m now formally anti-cat. 

Please ignore that tweet. I used to be younger and ignorant after I despatched that out. 

Lastly, when you guys have ever questioned which groups I am truly good at selecting, here is a fast look: 

Groups I am 8-0 selecting this 12 months: Texans, Colts, 49ers (7-0). 

Groups I have been the worst at selecting this 12 months: Saints (1-6), Washington (2-6), Falcons (2-5). 

Picks Document

Straight up in Week 8: 6-9
SU general: 79-43

In opposition to the unfold in Week 8: 7-8
ATS general: 61-58-3

Precise rating predictions: 2
Precise rating, mistaken winner: 2


Yow will discover John Breech on Facebook or Twitter and if he isn’t doing a kind of issues, he is most likely emailing CBS to see if Tony Romo can name each Browns recreation for the remainder of the season. 



https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/nfl-week-9-picks-49ers-upset-cardinals-aaron-rodgers-outduels-patrick-mahomes-as-packers-top-chiefs/ | NFL Week 9 picks: 49ers upset Cardinals, Aaron Rodgers outduels Patrick Mahomes as Packers high Chiefs

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