NFL Week 9 against the spread picks: Ravens vanquish Vikings, Bengals rebound vs. Browns, Chargers beat Eagles

I want to thank Mike White for simply including onto what was a foul week for me. Then once more, it is type of scary for New York Jets followers that one other man can are available in and throw for 400 yards to beat among the best groups within the AFC whereas your No. 2 general decide is struggling. Even with the unhealthy week general, #DajaniDimes once more had a successful file with the highest 5 locks, and that is a very powerful aim of this column. The opposite, after all, is to be means forward of .500 on the entire ATS file, which is one thing we are going to work on this week. We’re at present center of the street amongst CBS Sports activities consultants. Anticipate that to vary. 

We acquired caught up in some narratives final week. With out Davante Adams, Allen Lazard and defensive coordinator Joe Barry, I believed the Arizona Cardinals may cowl towards the Green Bay Packers, Tom Brady can also be formally cursed in terms of dealing with the New Orleans Saints, after which everybody’s horny decide of Detroit Lions +3 over the Philadelphia Eagles flopped within the largest means doable. 

There are a number of spots that will journey up bettors this week as properly. Do the Indianapolis Colts need to be double-digit favorites over the Jets? Can Jordan Love step in for Aaron Rodgers and canopy towards the Kansas City Chiefs? And do the Tennessee Titans have an opportunity to problem the Los Angeles Rams with out Derrick Henry? It is positive to be an attention-grabbing week.

Let’s bounce into the picks. Peep the season stats under. 

High 5 picks file: 24-16
Total ATS file: 61-60-1
Straight up file: 78-44
2020 ATS file: 125-120-9 
(2 official picks missed on account of COVID rescheduling)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Baltimore Ravens

The Vikings ought to be embarrassed of their loss to the Dak Prescott-less Dallas Cowboys. They transformed only one third down on 13 makes an attempt — which was the worst third-down efficiency by a Vikings workforce for the reason that stat was first tracked again in 1991. Minnesota scored a landing on its opening drive after which all the things went downhill from there. The Ravens’ final outing towards the Cincinnati Bengals was shocking as properly, however they’d a bye week to regroup for the second half of the season.

The Ravens are going to attempt to stress Kirk Cousins this week, and they need to. Cousins is averaging 3.5 yards per try when underneath stress — which is by far the fewest of any quarterback within the NFL. Lamar Jackson is a lot better than Cooper Rush, and he’ll discover success towards this protection. 

The decide: Ravens -6 
Projected rating: Ravens 30-17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Buffalo Payments

The Payments didn’t have an excellent displaying towards the Miami Dolphins final week, because it was a one-score sport heading into the ultimate quarter. Nonetheless, Buffalo out-scored Miami by eight factors within the fourth to cowl. I believe we are going to see a extra full efficiency from the Payments right here on the street as they proceed to construct their case for being the very best workforce within the NFL. 

Buffalo leads the NFL in each scoring offense (32.7) and scoring protection (15.6). The Payments are tied for first within the NFL with 18 takeaways they usually have been dominant on the street. In his final six begins away from Buffalo, Josh Allen is 5-1 and is averaging a whopping 37.3 factors per sport. Geno Smith simply outscored Trevor Lawrence by 24 final week and I believe Allen can do one thing related. 

Purchase a full level if it makes you’re feeling extra snug, however I am going to take this as one among my ATS picks. 

The decide: Payments -14.5 
Projected rating: Payments 31-14

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals

Yikes. What’s going on in Cleveland? The Browns had been one among my losers of the trade deadline, as Odell Beckham despatched out his father and LeBron James to marketing campaign for a change of surroundings. Properly … allegedly. That is simply how I noticed it. However now unexpectedly it seems to be like Beckham could have performed his final snap in Cleveland. What a multitude. 

As for the Bengals, they embarrassed themselves final week towards the Jets however that could be a throwaway sport. It was by far their worst defensive efficiency of the season, and it got here after one among their finest after they defeated Lamar Jackson and the Ravens two weeks in the past. After a 3-1 begin, Cleveland has misplaced three out of its previous 4 video games. The move sport is damaged and the run sport should dominate the seventh-best run protection within the league Sunday if the Browns wish to emerge victorious. I am going to say the Bengals bounce again. 

The decide: Bengals -2.5 
Projected rating: Bengals 27-23

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

New England Patriots

Other than the Jets upsetting the Bengals, the Panthers upsetting the Atlanta Falcons was what burned me in my prime 5 picks final week. I suppose it was dumb of me to select the Falcons as one among my most assured picks of the week, however as I said, it was extra me fading the Panthers. Carolina really has made my prime 5 picks in six out of 9 weeks now, and I am 1-1 choosing towards them.

The Stephon Gilmore revenge sport is an intriguing storyline however Sam Darnold is banged up with a concussion and proper shoulder accidents. The Patriots aren’t a Super Bowl contender, however they’ve received two straight video games and rookie quarterback Mac Jones has regarded fairly respectable. Darnold’s performances have been rather more up-and-down, plus Invoice Belichick is aware of him very properly from his days with the Jets. 

New England is undefeated on the street this season and Carolina’s offense is not constant. Throw in Darnold being banged-up and I’ve to take the Patriots this week.

The decide: Patriots -3.5 
Projected rating: Patriots 24-17

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers discover themselves on a two-game skid they usually want this win to maintain tempo within the AFC West. There is not any denying Justin Herbert has struggled over his final two outings. He has thrown the identical variety of interceptions (three) in his final two video games as he did within the first 5 video games of the season. Nonetheless, I believe this L.A. workforce is best than Philly.

I’m anxious in regards to the Chargers’ blatant incapability to defend the run, however is Nick Sirianni assured sufficient to lean on the bottom sport with out Miles Sanders if the Eagles go down early? The stats say that the Eagles have the No. 6 dashing assault within the league, however I believe that is largely due to final week’s historic outing towards a really unhealthy Lions workforce. Let’s not child ourselves: quarterback Jalen Hurts is the primary participant it is advisable fear about on the bottom for the Eagles. The Chargers have received 4 of their previous 5 video games on the street whereas the Eagles have misplaced 4 straight residence video games. The truth is, the Eagles have not crushed an AFC workforce since 2019.

The decide: Chargers -1.5 
Projected rating: Chargers 26-20

Different Week 9 picks

Colts 27-20 over Jets (+10.5)
Raiders (-3) 28-23 over Giants
Dolphins (-6.5) 30-23 over Texans
Cowboys (-10) 31-20 over Broncos
Saints 21-17 over Falcons (+6)
Cardinals (-1) 28-24 over 49ers
Chiefs (-7.5) 28-20 over Packers
Rams (-7.5) 35-24 over Titans
Steelers 24-20 over Bears (+6.5) | NFL Week 9 towards the unfold picks: Ravens vanquish Vikings, Bengals rebound vs. Browns, Chargers beat Eagles


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