Simply whenever you suppose you may have the NFL found out, a slate like Week 6 comes round and turns the sport on its head. Justin Herbert and the high-powered offense of the Chargers have been held to only six factors, the Titans pulled off the upset over Buffalo, and the Jaguars gained a recreation! Nicely, not less than we all know we’re not completely within the Twilight Zone as a result of Aaron Rodgers still owns the Chicago Bears.
Regardless of an general sluggish week for us right here in our little playing nook, we have been nonetheless in a position to keep scorching with our 5 locks of the week by going 4-1 ATS, bringing us to a powerful 20-7-3 ATS mark for the season. Beneath, we’ll spotlight a brand new crop of locks for Week 7 and provides our predictions on how the whole slate is shaping out.
Locks of the Week ATS: 20-7-3
Everyone knows that Baltimore’s offense has the flexibility to interrupt unfastened at any given second with Lamar Jackson below heart. What was spectacular about their Week 6 win over the Chargers, nevertheless, was how nicely they have been in a position to shut down Justin Herbert, who had simply 195 yards by means of the air. While you mix that kind of play on protection with an offense that ranks fourth within the NFL in yards per play, the Ravens develop into extraordinarily robust to beat and create 28-point margins of victory like we noticed them pull off final week. Cincinnati has been a shock group in 2021 with Joe Burrow in his second season, however Jackson and firm ought to clear this by a landing.
Projected rating: Ravens 30, Bengals 21
The decide: Ravens -6
San Francisco 49ers
Do not look now, however Carson Wentz is beginning to get scorching. Over his final three video games, he is finishing practically 69% of his passes, averaging roughly 285 yards by means of the air and has six touchdowns with zero interceptions. The 49ers appear to be they will have Jimmy Garoppolo again for this recreation, however I nonetheless like Indianapolis to drag off the highway upset right here. San Francisco’s bread and butter on offense is operating the soccer, and stopping the run is what the Colts do greatest, rating No. 1 within the NFL towards the run when it comes to DVOA.
Projected rating: Colts 24, 49ers 21
The decide: Colts +4
Las Vegas Raiders
I am man sufficient to confess I used to be flawed in regards to the Raiders final week. I envisioned a disjointed affair in Denver within the aftermath of the Jon Gruden scandal, however they have been fairly resilient and dropped 34 factors. I am going to again them this week as they tackle an Eagles group that continues to look misplaced offensively from play to play. Whereas extraordinarily gifted, Jalen Hurts must be extra constant passing the soccer earlier than actually feeling assured in leaning in the direction of the Eagles on a week-to-week foundation. Each of those groups are tied for second within the NFL in fewest yards per play allowed, so this may very well be low-scoring affair, however I am superb with laying a discipline aim towards this shaky offense.
Projected rating: Raiders 27, Eagles 20
The decide: Raiders -3
Miami struggled in London and allowed the Jaguars to win their first recreation of the season, however I like this bounce-back alternative at house towards Atlanta. The Falcons protection ranks thirtieth within the league in DVOA, giving Tua Tagovailoa one other tender opponent as he performs in his second recreation since getting back from damage. The second-year quarterback was stable towards Jacksonville and may solely get higher as he continues to shake off the rust. The Dolphins have additionally performed nicely at house towards groups with dropping data, proudly owning an 8-1 ATS mark over their final 9 video games below that circumstance.
Projected rating: Dolphins 24, Falcons 21
The decide: Dolphins +2.5
Each groups are limping into “Thursday Night time Soccer,” significantly on the quarterback place. Each signal-callers are anticipated to play, however Baker Mayfield has an injury to his left shoulder and Teddy Bridgewater reportedly has a foot injury. Cleveland has been particularly banged up and won’t have operating backs Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb due to calf accidents. Given how banged up the Browns are (20 gamers listed on the preliminary damage report), I am going to gladly take the field-goal bump with Denver, which may very nicely pull off the upset as nicely.
Projected rating: Broncos 23, Browns 20
The decide: Broncos +3
Remainder of the bunch
Washington at Packers
Projected rating: Packers 31, Washington 21
The decide: Packers -9.5
Chiefs at Titans
Projected rating: Chiefs 28, Titans 26
The decide: Titans +5.5
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/nfl-week-7-odds-picks-lamar-jackson-ravens-handle-bengals-dolphins-colts-pull-off-upsets/ | NFL Week 7 odds, picks: Lamar Jackson, Ravens deal with Bengals; Dolphins, Colts pull off upsets