NFL Week 7 odds, picks: Bengals shock first-place Ravens, Colts upset 49ers on Sunday night

I am unsure what all-time low is within the NFL, however I believe we noticed at the very least six groups hit it in Week 6. The Dolphins misplaced to a group that hadn’t gained in 399 days, the Browns went full Browns, the Broncos misplaced to a group that was being coached by a particular groups coordinator and the Lions seem like presumably the worst group in NFL historical past. 

Additionally, the Giants set soccer again 70 years and Washington obtained destroyed on the day it determined to honor Sean Taylor. Notice to Washington: If you are going to retire somebody’s uniform, you need to notify your followers greater than three days upfront and likewise possibly maintain the ceremony throughout a sport that you just even have an opportunity of successful. 

I used to be going to listing all the things Washington obtained mistaken about with this Taylor ceremony , however this man did a a lot better job, so I will simply let him do it. 

Alright, I’ve spent manner an excessive amount of time speaking about unhealthy groups, so let’s get to the Week 7 picks earlier than somebody will get bodily unwell like I did on Sunday whereas watching the Texans offense. 

Truly, earlier than we get to the Week 7 picks, this is a fast reminder that you may try the weekly picks from each CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. On a totally unrelated notice, in the event you’re like me and you want signing up for random issues on the web, then I might extremely counsel that you just join CBSSports.com’s NFL publication, which I am really in control of.  

If you wish to subscribe, all you have to do is click here and enter your email address. When you try this, you will begin receiving a day by day NFL e-mail from me and I promise it will likely be all NFL content material and will not embrace any commentary on previous episodes of “Gossip Woman.” I’ve a distinct publication for that. 

Since I am now working a publication, you may be considering that I will be manner too busy to podcast, however nope, I am by no means too busy to podcast. 

For the remainder of the season, I will be becoming a member of Will Brinson and Ryan Wilson three days per week (Monday, Tuesday and Friday) on the Decide Six Podcast, which is our day by day NFL podcast right here at CBSSports.com. You’ll be able to hearken to Tuesday’s episode under. The rationale you are going to wish to hear is as a result of we spent practically some severe time dissecting the insane end of Monday’s sport, which noticed the Titans beat the Bills 34-31. 

If you do not have time to hear now, ensure to click here so you can subscribe and hear later. As soon as the podcast reaches 700 million subscribers, I’ll cease asking you guys to subscribe, I promise, so let’s get it there. 

Alright, let’s get to the picks. 

NFL Week 7 Picks

Denver (3-3) at Cleveland (3-3)

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox/NFL Community/Amazon)

I as soon as learn “The Canterbury Tales” in highschool, which I am solely mentioning proper now as a result of up till three days in the past, it was the longest factor I had ever learn in my life. Nonetheless, that honor now belongs to the Browns harm report.

I needed to watch an episode of “Gray’s Anatomy” earlier than studying that listing simply so I might determine all of the physique elements listed. The Browns had been coping with a bunch of accidents throughout Sunday’s loss to the Cardinals and so they would possibly really be even worse this week. Browns coach Kevin Stefanski has already introduced that Kareem Hunt will not be taking part in and on prime of that, there’s an opportunity that Nick Chubb (calf) may also miss the sport. 

If each guys are out, which means the Browns offense is mainly all the way down to a one-armed quarterback (Baker Mayfield) and a working again who you have by no means heard of, which is not a fantastic mixture. Additionally, based mostly on that harm report, I am not even 100% certain the Browns are going to have sufficient gamers to area a group. THERE ARE 20 PLAYERS LISTED. On the charge the Browns are going, they’ll have maintain open tryouts at a neighborhood highschool simply to have sufficient gamers for Thursday’s sport.

If each groups had been utterly wholesome, I might choose the Browns. Nonetheless, each groups should not utterly wholesome. 

The choose: Broncos 20-17 over Browns

Cincinnati (4-2) at Baltimore (5-1)

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

I am unable to keep in mind the final time the Bengals performed in a considerably essential sport this late within the season. Positive, it isn’t really that late within the season, however do not inform that to Bengals followers. For the previous 5 years, the Bengals have mainly been eradicated from the playoffs by the point Week 7 rolled round, BUT NOT THIS YEAR. This 12 months, the Bengals might finish Week 7 in a TIE FOR FIRST PLACE within the AFC North if they will beat the Ravens.

The truth that the Bengals are good this season is one thing that nobody noticed coming. Simply kidding, I saw it coming, and based mostly on a fast search of the web, it seems there are about 4 different folks on Earth who additionally thought the Bengals would begin the 12 months 4-2. 

The largest shock of the season for the Bengals thus far has been their protection. For those who watched the protection play final 12 months, they had been completely atrocious. Think about watching Derrick Henry play soccer towards a bunch of elementary college children and you will have an thought of simply how unhealthy the Bengals protection was final 12 months. They’re undoubtedly higher this 12 months, however I will not understand how a lot better till I see them play towards the Ravens  and that is as a result of the Ravens have the one offense within the NFL that the Bengals cannot determine. Within the final three conferences between these two groups, the Ravens have gone 3-0 whereas averaging 38 factors per sport.

For the primary time in perpetually, the Bengals really match up fairly nicely with Baltimore. The Ravens have given up the third-most move yards within the AFC this 12 months and the Bengals have a quarterback who can benefit from that. On the opposite facet of the ball, the Ravens are averaging 155.2 yards per sport on the bottom, which is the fourth most within the NFL, however the Bengals ought to have the ability to gradual them down. Cincinnati is considered one of simply eight groups within the league this 12 months surrendering fewer than 100 speeding yards per sport. 

I believe what I am making an attempt to say right here is that I’ve talked myself into selecting the Bengals. 

The choose: Bengals 27-24 over Ravens

Detroit (0-6) at L.A. Rams (5-1)

4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

Probably the most high-profile divorce in Los Angeles this 12 months did not contain a celeb or anybody on the “Actual Housewives of Orange County,” it concerned Jared Goff and the Rams. Sadly for Goff, the divorce is not figuring out so nicely on his finish thus far. Goff’s state of affairs is mainly the equal of me getting dumped by my spouse, who then strikes out to Los Angeles to marry a film star whereas I find yourself dwelling with 12 cats in a small rental in Detroit. I am guessing you possibly can determine who Goff is in that state of affairs. 

This sport could not have come at a worse time for Goff. Not solely is his group 0-6, however I am fairly certain his new head coach already needs to commerce him away similar to his previous coach did. 

For those who skip to the 17-second mark in that clip, you see Dan Campbell take an extended pause after being requested about Goff. This wasn’t simply any pause, both, this was the kind of pause you must calm your self down so you do not say something you will remorse for the remainder of time. 

The factor that is even worse for Goff is that he has to face Aaron Donald for the primary time. Goff has much less mobility than a hamster caught in tremendous glue. The Rams defensive position goes to eat him alive and though I wish to say I do not imply that actually, I am unable to make sure.

Goff has by no means gained a sport with out Sean McVay as his coach — he is 0-13 — and I do not see that altering this week. As for Matthew Stafford, I might say that is his Super Bowl, however then I might have to choose him to lose, as a result of he is by no means gained a playoff sport. Stafford goes to get the final chuckle on his previous group, though the Lions are so unhealthy this 12 months that any chuckle at their expense feels imply, so possibly he will not chuckle. Both manner, I am selecting the Rams to roll to an enormous win. 

The choose: Rams 41-17 over Lions

Indianapolis (2-4) at San Francisco (2-3)

8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

The NFL might have flexed this sport out of Sunday evening, however they determined to not, which is why I needs to be in control of the NFL. If it had been as much as me, I might let followers vote to flex one sport per 12 months and based mostly on the response on Twitter, that is the sport that everybody would flex. 

I really like this man’s enthusiasm, however I hate the thought. I imply, have you ever ever seen the Bengals play in prime time? We undoubtedly needn’t transfer them to Sunday evening. To be sincere, I really like that this did not get flexed and that is as a result of it is probably the most intriguing video games on the schedule. 

We’ve got two groups that each had excessive expectations going into the 12 months, however now, each of them have shedding data and I will go forward and say that the loser of this sport is not going to make the playoffs. 

The issue with selecting this sport is that I do not know who the 49ers quarterback goes to be. I believe it will be Jimmy Garoppolo. If Garoppolo was nearly as good at soccer as he’s good-looking, the 49ers can be undefeated this 12 months, however sadly, that is simply not the case. Nonetheless, I do suppose that Garoppolo is a greater quarterback than Carson Wentz, though which may not matter, as a result of the Colts offense would not revolve round Wentz. 

Over the previous few weeks, Jonathan Taylor — to not be confused with my private hero from 1994, Jonathan Taylor Thomas — has been the key to the Colts success. Over the previous three weeks, Taylor has been averaging 147 whole yards per sport and the Colts have gone 2-1 in these video games (They might have gone 3-0 in these video games if that they had introduced a wholesome kicker to Baltimore). If Taylor goes off once more, this looks like a Colts upset ready to occur, but when the 49ers bottle him up, we’d see a Sunday evening blowout. 

The prediction right here: Taylor goes off and the Colts squeak by in an upset that may have 49ers followers calling for Garoppolo to be traded. 

The choose: Colts 26-23 over 49ers

New Orleans (3-2) at Seattle (2-4)

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

It took six weeks, however I lastly picked a Washington sport appropriately, which implies we’re lastly all the way down to only one group this 12 months that I have never been ready to determine: The New Orleans Saints. 

We’re seven weeks into the season and I nonetheless have but to choose a Saints sport appropriately. I am 0-5 selecting their video games this 12 months and each week I get barely extra irritated by the truth that I am unable to choose any of their video games appropriately. I blame the complete factor on Jameis Winston. At any time when I believe he will throw seven interceptions in a sport, he throws seven touchdowns. Once I suppose he will throw 5 touchdowns, he throws seven interceptions. The one clarification that is sensible at this level is that he is clearly mocking me. 

The mistaken picks are getting out of hand and I am in all probability going to be ranting about it loads till I really get one proper so that you guys ought to really be hoping that I finally get one proper. 

• In Week 1, I picked the Packers to beat the Saints, which made sense in my head as a result of when a group quarterbacked by Aaron Rodgers is dealing with a group quarterbacked by Jameis Winston, I’m taking Rodgers’ group 100% of the time. The Packers misplaced 38-3. 
• In Week 2, I believed, “Wow, the Saints regarded actually good towards the Packers, so I will choose them to beat the Panthers this week.” The Saints didn’t win that week. As a matter of truth, they obtained beat so unhealthy (26-7) that I forgot they beat the Packers in Week 1.  
• In Week 3, the Saints had been taking part in the Patriots and I did not suppose there was anyway they had been going to have the ability to go into Foxborough and steal a sport on the street, particularly after shedding by 19 factors to THE PANTHERS. As soon as once more, the Saints had the final chuckle after beating the Patriots 28-13. 
• In Week 4, I believed I had a lay-up: I picked the Saints to beat the Giants, who’re horrible. The Saints had been WINNING this sport 21-10 with seven minutes left, however in some way managed to lose. I am assuming it is as a result of I picked them to win. After this loss, I banned myself from ever visiting New Orleans. I do not should be there. 
• In Week 5, I outsmarted myself. The Saints had been taking part in Washington and though my intestine stated, “Go along with New Orleans,” I by no means hearken to my intestine as a result of if God needed us to hearken to our intestine, he would have put our mind there. Possibly our mind needs to be there, as a result of as soon as once more, I whiffed on the choose.
• In Week 6, I picked the bye to beat the Saints and as all of us noticed, New Orleans gained once more. 

What I am making an attempt to say is that no matter I choose right here, you need to assume the alternative goes to occur. If I choose a low-scoring sport, assume it will be a shootout. If I say there is not any manner Geno Smith can lead the Seahawks to a win, assume Seattle goes to win by 40. 

The opposite wrench being thrown into this choose is that it is a Seahawks prime-time sport. Have you ever ever watched a Seahawks prime-time sport? THEY’RE ALL CRAZY. I’ve by no means watched a Seahawks prime-time sport that wasn’t loopy and the craziest factor that might presumably occur this week is for me to get a Saints choose proper, at the very least that is what I am telling myself.  

The choose: Saints 19-16 over Seahawks

NFL Week 7 picks: All the remainder

Packers 31-20 over Washington
Chiefs 33-30 over Titans
Falcons 24-17 over Dolphins 
Patriots 23-16 over Jets
Panthers 22-19 over Giants
Raiders 30-23 over Eagles
Cardinals 31-16 over Texans
Buccaneers 23-20 ver Bears

BYES: Payments, Cowboys, Vikings, Steelers, Chargers, Jaguars

Final Week

Finest choose: Final week, I predicted that that Jaguars would finish their 20-game shedding streak by beating the Dolphins 23-20 in London and guess what occurred? THE JAGUARS ENDED THEIR 20-GAME LOSING STREAK BY BEATING THE DOLPHINS 23-20 IN LONDON. My prediction for the sport was so on level that I briefly contemplated retiring from making NFL predictions ever once more. 

I predicted the Jaguars to attain 23 factors as a result of I believe that is how previous the woman was that City Meyer was noticed with. Simply kidding, I picked that quantity as a result of the Dolphins are unhealthy and I knew 23 factors would beat them. Anyway, I will not be retiring and that is largely as a result of I’ve determined that I am unable to retire till I lastly choose a Saints sport appropriately, which hopefully occurs in some unspecified time in the future earlier than January.

Worst choose: At 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, I used to be making an attempt to bask within the awesomeness of my excellent Jaguars prediction, however let me inform you, there is no such thing as a such factor as basking on Twitter as a result of there’s at all times somebody round to throw chilly water in your face and that is what this man did. 

I might say that selecting the Chargers to beat the Ravens was the worst determination that anybody on the earth has made this month besides I do know it isn’t as a result of somebody OK’d this remake of “Dwelling Alone.”

If I wish to watch a nasty Christmas film, I will watch the Hallmark Channel or I will watch “Christmas with the Kranks.”

Lastly, in the event you guys have ever questioned which groups I am really good at selecting, this is a fast look: 

Groups I am 6-0 selecting this 12 months: Texans, Jaguars, Buccaneers, Colts, 49ers (5-0)

Groups I am 0-5 selecting this 12 months: Saints. 

Picks Document

Straight up in Week 6: 10-4
SU general: 63-31 (63-26 selecting video games that did not contain the Saints)

In opposition to the unfold in Week 6: 7-7
ATS general: 46-45-3

IMPORTANT NOTE: Ryan Wilson is an absurd 61-30-3 towards the unfold this 12 months and if you wish to know which groups he is selecting to win in Week 7, then be sure to click here. I do know what you are considering and sure, I’ve considered copying his picks, however possibly he needs to be copying me as a result of my straight-up picks are higher. Suck it, Wilson. 

Actual rating predictions: 2
Actual rating, mistaken winner: 2

Yow will discover John Breech on Facebook or Twitter and if he isn’t doing a type of issues, he is in all probability really studying The Canterbury Tales since he solely learn the CliffsNotes model in highschool.