NFL Week 5 odds, picks: Panthers rebound vs. Eagles, Bills upset Chiefs, Cardinals remain unbeaten

One other huge week! #DajaniDimes goes 11-5 in opposition to the unfold and 3-2 for my high 5 picks. I can not lie, I am fairly upset with how the “recreation of the century” went down. I used to be advised Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had been going to play soccer in Foxboro. Apparently they missed their flight out of Tampa, as a result of Tom Brady didn’t seem like Tom Brady, and I am not going guilty it on the rain. Ought to have coated the unfold.

Anyway, we have now one other unimaginable slate of soccer video games to look at this weekend. I like that we get two NFC West matchups once more this week, because the Los Angeles Rams kick off Week 5 in opposition to the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday evening, after which the San Francisco 49ers tackle the red-hot Arizona Cardinals. There’s an opportunity Trey Lance could also be making his first official begin as properly. 

Let’s go forward and bounce in. Peep my season stats beneath. 

Prime 5 picks report: 11-9
General ATS report: 35-29
Straight up report: 41-23
2020 ATS report: 125-120-9 
(2 official picks missed attributable to COVID rescheduling)

All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

Newest Odds:

Carolina Panthers

The Eagles are coming off of a double-digit loss to the Kansas City Chiefs — who’ve a horrible protection. The Panthers alternatively have the No. 3 protection within the league. This Panthers franchise has turned over a brand new leaf with Matt Rhule, and Sam Darnold has been taking part in pretty properly. One way or the other he is now a dual-threat quarterback working pace choices within the pink zone. He leads the NFL with 5 dashing touchdowns and had two final week. Darnold has additionally turned up the Panthers’ passing recreation. D.J. Moore leads the NFL in 20-plus yard receptions (eight), and is within the high 4 in receptions with 30 and receiving yards with 398.

Philly has flopped over its final three video games. The Eagles misplaced a defensive matchup to the 49ers in Week 2 after which misplaced their final two video games by double digits. Carolina had a wake-up name final week in opposition to the Dallas Cowboys, however now return to their house followers for the primary time because the season opener. The Eagles protection is struggling. Over the past two weeks they rank lifeless final within the league in common factors allowed per recreation, common dashing yards allowed per recreation and third-down proportion. I’ll lay the factors with Carolina at house.

The decide: Panthers -3.5 
Projected rating: Panthers 27-23

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady has gotten previous the New England matchup and now it is on to larger and higher issues. It needs to be a aid for him ultimately, despite the fact that he did not play properly. Now, he and the Buccaneers are introduced with a get-right spot in opposition to a struggling group. I am 2-2 ATS choosing video games involving the Buccaneers, however I believe I can get again into the inexperienced this week. 

Nobody desires to learn any superior stats about this matchup. I believe everybody believes the Buccaneers will win this recreation, however will they cowl the unfold? Jacoby Brissett is not excellent and he has to function behind a foul offensive line. Then the protection has allowed 25 performs of 20-plus yards, which is essentially the most within the NFL. The Dolphins misplaced by 10 factors to the Indianapolis Colts at house final week, I will take the Buccaneers to roll.

The decide: Buccaneers -10 
Projected rating: Buccaneers 30-17

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals are the final remaining undefeated group within the NFL, and a divisional matchup in Week 5 looks like the right time for them to endure a loss. I agree with that narrative, however I am not excessive on the 49ers. They could not end the job in opposition to the Green Bay Packers or Seahawks at house and now they do not know who the beginning quarterback shall be. Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a calf contusion final week and mentioned after the sport that he hoped he can be out “just a couple weeks.” Now, head coach Kyle Shanahan says he has a chance to play Sunday, nevertheless it’s unknown if he’ll follow. I say if Garoppolo performs Sunday, he will not be 100%. If he does not play, then in comes the rookie Lance. Lance did not play properly in aid of Garoppolo final Sunday, however I assume you can argue the sport plan did not match him. Both means, rookie quarterbacks do not fare properly of their first profession begins, and Lance should play in opposition to the most popular group within the NFL. 

The decide: Cardinals -5.5 
Projected rating: Cardinals 27-20

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Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have received three straight and are rolling proper now. This week, they get to construct on that momentum at house in what needs to be an emotional recreation. The final time the Cowboys hosted the Giants, Dak Prescott suffered his grotesque season-ending ankle damage. A cause the Cowboys needs to be taken severely this season is due to the emergence of the protection. Because of star cornerback Trevon Diggs, the Cowboys have recorded a takeaway in 11 straight video games, which is the second-longest lively streak within the league behind the Dolphins.

The Giants appeared to get again heading in the right direction final week in opposition to the New Orleans Saints with nice video games from Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley, however when it comes all the way down to it, the Cowboys are only a higher squad. “America’s Crew” has received seven of their final eight video games in opposition to the Giants in Dallas. Throw in the truth that Prescott is scorching and taking part in for revenge and that makes me wish to lay the factors with the Cowboys.

The decide: Cowboys -7 
Projected rating: Cowboys 31-23

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Newest Odds:

Buffalo Payments

Right here it’s, the sport of the week. Within the grand scheme of issues, this matchup is extremely vital. In line with the NFL, that is the ninth time in 10 seasons that groups who performed in the latest AFC Championship are assembly the next 12 months. Over the earlier eight rematches, the winner has gone on to the Tremendous Bowl 5 occasions, and received all of it 4 occasions.

Sure, the Chiefs obtained again on monitor with a win over the Eagles final week, however this protection is extremely worrisome. They rank final in yards per play allowed (6.9), second-to-last in factors allowed per recreation (31.3), second-to-last in whole yards allowed per recreation (437.8) and third-to-last in dashing yards allowed per recreation (146). As for the Payments’ offense, properly, they’re destroying defenses. Buffalo has scored 118 factors during the last three weeks, which is essentially the most within the NFL. Josh Allen is clearly nice, nevertheless it’s the emergence of the bottom recreation that has me extra bullish on this group. The Payments are fifth within the NFL in dashing (145.3 yards per recreation), and have three gamers over 100 dashing yards. Solely two different groups within the NFL can say they’ve three gamers over 100 dashing yards.

The Chiefs do have home-field benefit, however the Payments have received 13 out of their final 17 regular-season video games on the highway. They’ve received 4 right away from Buffalo and have scored 34 factors in every of them! Are the Payments the higher group proper now? Proper now, sure, I believe so. 

The decide: Payments +2.5 
Projected rating: Payments 31-27

Different Week 5 picks

Rams (-2.5) 24-20 over Seahawks
Falcons (-3) 24-14 over Jets
Vikings 25-21 over Lions (+9)
Broncos (+1) 24-23 over Steelers
Patriots (-9) 28-17 over Texans
Titans (-4.5) 27-20 over Jaguars
Bengals (+3) 28-23 over Packers
Saints (-2) 23-20 over Washington
Browns (+1.5) 26-24 over Chargers
Raiders 23-21 over Bears (+5.5)
Ravens (-7) 31-23 over Colts | NFL Week 5 odds, picks: Panthers rebound vs. Eagles, Payments upset Chiefs, Cardinals stay unbeaten


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