NFL Week 5 odds, picks: Cowboys roll against Giants in Dallas, Patriots cover as road favorites vs. Texans

We are actually a month into the 2021 common season and, boy, have been we handled to a doozy of a primary 4 weeks. Each which method we turned there gave the impression to be loads of drama unfolding both on the sphere or off. As we glance again on the opening month of the season from out playing nook of the world, it was a powerful begin, rolling to a 32-30-2 ATS file total and we have been particularly robust with our 5 locks of the week over that stretch (13-5-2). In fact, we’ll look to maintain these robust marks rolling as we flip our consideration to the remainder of the season, starting with Week 5. 

Beneath, you may discover my picks for the upcoming slate, that includes a deeper breakdown of my 5 locks of the weeks. 

2021 file

Locks of the Week ATS: 13-5-2
ATS: 32-30-2
ML: 41-23

Newest Odds:

Houston Texans

Each of those groups are 1-3 on the season, however our eyes present us two very totally different golf equipment. The Patriots characteristic rookie quarterback Mac Jones, who at one level accomplished 19 straight passes in opposition to the Buccaneers final week. In the meantime, Houston will roll out fellow rookie Davis Mills, who accomplished simply 11 passes on the day within the Texans’ 40-0 loss to the BIlls. Laying 8.5 factors is a lofty quantity for this New England crew that has struggled to get off the sphere in important moments this season, however the Texans are merely no risk offensively and this needs to be a double-digit win for Invoice Belichick and firm. In spite of everything, the pinnacle coach is 22-6 in opposition to rookie quarterbacks. Belichick-led defenses have additionally allowed simply 9.5 factors per sport of their final six video games in opposition to first-year sign callers (Zach Wilson, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert, Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold, and Josh Allen have been the six QBs). 

Projected rating: Patriots 24, Texans 10
The decide: Patriots -8.5

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Newest Odds:

Seattle Seahawks

Regardless of their win over the 49ers final week, I am nonetheless not an enormous believer on this Seahawks offense. With this line sitting beneath a subject purpose, I really feel comfy that the Rams will at the least preserve issues above that quantity. Los Angeles may even be seeking to bounce again from a Week 4 loss to the red-hot Arizona Cardinals, making this a stable get-right alternative. Sure, Seattle has a implausible file on Thursday video games (8-1-2 ATS of their final 11), however the Rams are merely the higher crew in 2021 and I count on that to think about way more than what earlier iterations of the Seahawks did. 

Projected rating: Rams 30, Seahawks 24
The decide: Rams -2.5

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have been a enjoyable story to start the season as they sit atop the AFC North at 3-1. Whereas they’re definitely a crew on the rise, I see the Packers as a extra full 3-1 membership that’s seeking to compete for a Tremendous Bowl this season. Inexperienced Bay’s offense ranks inside the highest 10 within the league in offensive DVOA whereas the Bengals are twentieth and are presently taking a look at Joe Mixon presumably both lacking or being restricted on this sport as a consequence of an ankle harm. Defensively, it will likely be fascinating to see how Aaron Rodgers assaults this Bengals unit that’s permitting opposing quarterbacks to finish almost 69% of their passes. If that holds true on Sunday, the reining NFL MVP ought to be capable to transfer up and down the sphere fairly simply. 

Projected rating: Packers 28, Bengals 24
The decide: Packers -3

49es at Cardinals

Newest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals

It would not appear to be anybody can cease Kyler Murray and the Cardinals in the meanwhile. Arizona is the lone undefeated crew after the primary month of the season and are outscoring their opponents by almost two touchdowns (13.8 factors) per sport. They will now host a 49ers crew that shall be with out beginning quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and shall be beginning rookie Trey Lance. The No. 3 total decide has proven flashes of his potential all through the early parts of the season, nevertheless it stays to be seen when he is given a full workload. It is laborious to anticipate the teen having the ability to go toe-to-toe with a quarterback as sizzling as Murray is at this level. San Francisco can be 1-5-1 ATS of their final seven conferences.  

Projected rating: Cardinals 28, 49ers 20
The decide: Cardinals -5.5

Newest Odds:

Dallas Cowboys

Whereas the Cowboys are 3-1 on the season, they’re the NFL’s solely 4-0 ATS crew via the primary month. Offensively, they rank third in whole yards of offense and fourth in factors per sport. Whereas Dallas boasting a formidable offense — when wholesome — has been obvious, what’s notable about this 2021 crew is that they’re making performs on protection. Trevon Diggs has a league-leading 5 interceptions on the season and is blossoming right into a legit No. 1 nook.  As for the Giants, they earned their first win of the season in opposition to the Saints in extra time. Whereas Daniel Jones has regarded robust this season, I do not consider New York has the horses to maintain up with Dallas. For what it is price, the Giants are additionally 2-6 ATS of their final eight conferences with the Cowboys. 

Projected rating: Cowboys 33, Giants 23
The decide: Cowboys -7

Remainder of the bunch 

Broncos at Steelers
Projected rating: Broncos 21, Steelers 17
The decide: Broncos +1

Jets at Falcons
Projected rating: Falcons 24, Jets 20
The decide: Falcons -3

Lions at Vikings
Projected rating: Vikings 27, Lions 20
The decide: Lions +8.5

Dolphins at Buccaneers
Projected rating: Buccaneers 30, Dolphins 17
The decide: Buccaneers -10

Saints at Washington 
Projected rating: Saints 24, Washington 21
The decide: Saints -2

Eagles at Panthers
Projected rating: Panthers 26, Eagles 21
The decide: Panthers -3.5

Titans at Jaguars
Projected rating: Titans 28, Jaguars 21
The decide: Titans -4

Bears at Raiders
Projected rating: Raiders 27, Bears 20
The decide: Raiders -5.5

Browns at Chargers
Projected rating: Browns 24, Chargers 21
The decide: Browns +1.5

Payments at Chiefs
Projected rating: Payments 30, Chiefs 28
The decide: Payments +2.5

Colts at Ravens
Projected rating: Ravens 28, Colts 20
The decide: Ravens -7 | NFL Week 5 odds, picks: Cowboys roll in opposition to Giants in Dallas, Patriots cowl as street favorites vs. Texans


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