NFL Week 11 Best Bets: The Vikings Annoy the Packer by Aaron Rodgers and More Picks by Jason La Canfora
I hope you have faded me! The past three weeks have been filled with weird results in the NFL and I’m in for a deep joy. Yes, 1-5 is as bad as it gets. Like New York Jets bad.
I can’t seem to handle a lot of things, and even last week picking up just a single game has been giving me more bad luck. Not even close. But I feel like this kind of wild disparity in the league can’t go on forever and this is something new. Parity may dominate, but the shocking upside will have to slow down at some point, right? I’m old enough to remember six weeks ago when so many teams were beaten and seemingly so overwhelmed that these lines started to spike right from the start.
So the pendulum must eventually swing back and I hope to ride it… Or maybe I’ll never pick a winner again.
Anyway, this is back to trying to get out of this rut. Oh, it’s May 12 again. It seems like a long, long time ago.
Miami Dolphin -3.5
In the last three weeks, Miami’s defense has been in shape. They are starting to deploy more of their athletes with their nickel looks and throw a little more caution into the wind with their flashy looks. According to the PFF, Miami threw a Cover-0 look at Lamar Jackson 19 times last week; only two QBs without Lamar’s name have more than 19 dribbles against Cover-0 all season – Josh Allen (25) and Jalen Hurts (21). And it works pretty well. Jets OL is also bad and new starter Joe Flacco very immutable – it’s a bad combination when two super safety soldiers are attacking your backstage. The Jets offensive staff had a lot of problems. And Tua is a much better choice in QB for Dolphins than Jacoby Brissett, as evidenced by last week, even if Tua hadn’t exercised in a while and was cold. The Jets’ defense is horrible and the 40-batch burgers have been all the rage against them lately. I don’t know that Miami gets there, with some of their injuries and limitations, but something like 24-10 feels right.
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Cincinnati Bengals -1
Just don’t let Maxx Crosby and Yannick Ngakoue wreak havoc here, the Bengals, and you’ll be in good shape. Much Joe Mixon run at the top which is in order. We saw what happened when Chief took what was, and Raid players also had to respect many of the Bengali weapons in the passing game. Goodbye comes at the perfect time so Cincy can recover and get healthy again, while the Raiders are about to lose to the Chiefs, sending them at a crossroads. They haven’t finished a strong season in a long time and Joe Burrow will feel as refreshed and renewed as he has for quite some time. The Bengals’ defense may not be as good as it looks in the first six weeks, but I also don’t believe it can be consistently as bad as it was in the two weeks leading up to the bye.
Minnesota Vikings +1
The Vikings are a hard team to find. But they have talent and they finally got a win over the Packers a year ago, and this is pretty much their season if they want a chance to compete for an NFC North title. Green Bay’s offense has dropped slightly over the past two weeks, in part due to Jordan love have to actually play one of those games, but I’m really wondering about Aaron Rodgers, as COVID-19 can certainly linger in the hearts of players and affect them for weeks after testing positive. The Vikings will sit back in that shell and try to make Green Bay win everything after committing crimes, and I think that will lose Aaron Jones – apart from their other injuries – is a big deal. The Packers’ defense is playing brilliantly, but Minnesota sticks with a high pass rate, Kirk Cousin failed to turn the ball, and Minnesota was also one of the best first-half fouls in NFL; A quick start here will be important for a team that is not playing well at home. I see potential for cash flow here, as Minny’s win wouldn’t surprise me at least. However, if you can bet on some crazy ending, accept it, because that’s been pretty much the weekly scenario for the Vikings.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-11-best-bets-vikings-upset-aaron-rodgers-packers-and-more-of-jason-la-canforas-picks/ NFL Week 11 Best Bets: The Vikings Annoy the Packer by Aaron Rodgers and More Picks by Jason La Canfora