NFL Week 10 picks, odds, best bets: Aaron Rodgers downs Russell Wilson, Chiefs cover vs. Raiders in prime time

What an absurd week within the NFL. It was a type of Sundays you’ll be able to’t actually rationalize, and one which makes you wish to watch out the subsequent week. The Denver Broncos utterly dominated the Dallas Cowboys, who suffered their first loss towards the unfold this season, and Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have been defeated by City Meyer and the Jacksonville Jaguars in a field-goal battle. Nobody may have predicted that.

Trying forward at this week, can the Payments bounce again towards the legendary Mike White? And can Colt McCoy once more begin for the Arizona Cardinals and register one other win towards the lowly Carolina Panthers? How will Aaron Rodgers look coming off of COVID-19 and his dramatic week off the sphere? It is positive to be one other wild weekend. 

Let’s bounce into the picks. Peep the season stats beneath. 

Prime 5 picks report: 26-19
General ATS report: 67-68-1
Straight up report: 86-50
2020 ATS report: 125-120-9 (2 official picks missed as a result of COVID rescheduling)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Tennessee Titans
-3

Since their shocking loss to the New York Jets, the Titans have gone 5-0. Their final 4 wins have been spectacular, coming towards the Payments, Kansas City Chiefs, Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Rams. They have been underdogs in all 4. Tennessee is now 7-2 towards the unfold this yr they usually simply maintain successful.

This Sunday may very well be a letdown spot towards a superb protection, however there are two developments that made me wish to make the Titans a greatest wager: One, Trevor Siemian will not be a authentic beginning quarterback, and two, I believe there’s one thing occurring with Alvin Kamara. On Tuesday, Nick Underhill of NewOrleans.Football reported that the Saints tried out three working backs, and that he had heard whispers Kamara had gotten banged up. Certain sufficient, Kamara didn’t follow on Wednesday as a result of a knee damage. He’s clearly crucial participant on offense for the Saints, and with out him, this line ought to transfer. 

The decide: Titans -3 
Projected rating: Titans 24-16

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals
-10.5

Kyler Murray might return this week, however I do not even care. Colt McCoy beat the 49ers final week by greater than Murray did earlier within the yr (14 factors). He did not have an ideal recreation however he had the assist of two under-appreciated working backs in James Conner and Eno Benjamin, in addition to a protection that’s taking part in nice ball. 

The Panthers misplaced Sam Darnold for a number of weeks, however with how he is been taking part in which may be a superb factor. P.J. Walker will get the beginning, however he does not have a terrific offensive line to guard him. Carolina’s final two losses have come by a minimum of 18 factors, and the Panthers are averaging simply 9.3 factors per recreation over their final three contests. 

The decide: Cardinals -10.5 
Projected rating: Cardinals 30-10

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Inexperienced Bay Packers
-3

It will not be official till Sunday morning, however it seems just like the Seahawks and Packers could have their beginning QBs again this week. Inexperienced Bay has gained 9 straight house conferences, together with postseason, towards Seattle. That nine-game shedding streak to the Packers on the highway is the longest highway shedding streak in Seahawks historical past vs. a single opponent.

The Packers are 8-1 towards the unfold (3-0 at house), they usually recorded in all probability their most spectacular ATS victories during the last two weeks. A pair weeks in the past, the Packers upset the beforehand unbeaten Cardinals with out their prime three receivers, after which Jordan Love lined the unfold towards the Chiefs final Sunday. Getting Russell Wilson again is essential for the Seahawks, however I believe this Packers crew is among the greatest within the NFL. 

The decide: Packers -3 
Projected rating: Packers 28-21

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Newest Odds:

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
-2.5

I hate making the Chiefs a greatest wager, I actually do. They’re 2-7 towards the unfold this season, however are a minimum of 2-2 on the highway this yr. The Raiders have had an emotional yr with the losses of Jon Gruden and Henry Ruggs III, however it looks like an on-field downfall may very well be coming. They have been in a position to run previous the Broncos and Philadelphia Eagles, however misplaced a lead within the second half towards the New York Giants on Sunday. The Chiefs alternatively may very well be prepared to begin a win streak. The protection has noticeably improved. They allowed a median of 32.6 factors per recreation over their first 5 contests this season, however have allowed simply 16 factors per recreation during the last 4. 

The decide: Chiefs -2.5 
Projected rating: Chiefs 27-23

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

Newest Odds:

Los Angeles Rams
-4

Each of those NFC West groups are coming off of embarrassing losses, however the 49ers’ loss to the Cardinals was way more embarrassing for my part. Colt McCoy and James Conner made the 49ers look foolish, and did so with out many essential gamers like Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins and A.J. Green. The 49ers have gained the previous 4 video games on this rivalry, however San Francisco enters this recreation on an eight-game shedding streak at house. Just like the Cardinals, the Rams are undefeated on the highway this season.

Matthew Stafford had his worst recreation as a Ram on Monday night time, however I’ve religion he can bounce again. It is also price mentioning that the L.A. protection didn’t play dangerous in any respect final week. They allowed simply 194 yards of whole offense to the Titans, and solely two landing drives that have been a minimum of seven performs lengthy. Rams turnovers ruined this matchup. The way in which I take a look at it, the Rams are the significantly better crew. 

The decide: Rams -4 
Projected rating: Rams 27-20

Different Week 10 picks

Ravens (-7.5) 28-17 over Dolphins
Payments 27-17 over Jets (+12.5)
Buccaneers (-9.5) 28-16 over Washington
Colts (-10.5) 30-14 over Jaguars
Steelers (-9) 20-10 over Lions
Cowboys 30-23 over Falcons (+9)
Browns (+2.5) 26-23 over Patriots
Chargers (-3) 26-21 over Vikings
Broncos (-2.5) 29-25 over Eagles