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NFL Week 10 odds, picks: Russ cooks in return for Seahawks, plus Browns and Eagles win as road dogs

I am coming off a 1-2 week within the column, however so far as I am involved, Week 9 of the NFL season was a rousing success. It would not matter whether or not I had a shedding week or that the Chicago Bears misplaced to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night time. All that issues is how Justin Fields performed late within the sport.

You need to perceive; as a Bears fan, I have no idea what it’s prefer to root for an NFL team with a quarterback I belief. One of the best I’ve had in my lifetime was Jay Cutler. Whereas I firmly consider Cutler was underrated by most, when it got here right down to profitable time, I was all the time extra involved about Cutler making the game-ending mistake than I used to be assured he’d make the game-winning play.

So watching Fields play effectively in opposition to San Francisco in Week 8 after which lead the Bears on a landing drive to take the lead late on the highway in a prime-time sport whereas tossing lasers all around the subject, that is all that issues. When Matt Nagy did the sometimes dumb Matt Nagy factor by choosing a 65-yard subject aim try as an alternative of a Hail Mary, I did not even care that the kick ended up 10 yards quick. I would lastly have a QB value believing in.

I’ve additionally obtained three picks for this week value believing in.

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.

Talking of rookie quarterbacks, whereas Justin Fields is clearly on a path to being the best QB of all time, it is arduous to argue that Mac Jones hasn’t been essentially the most constant rookie QB within the NFL this season. And that hasn’t stopped me from betting in opposition to him and the Patriots when favored. The Pats are 3-3 ATS as favorites this season however have coated their final two. The factor is, these covers have come in opposition to the Jets and Panthers — two groups with a really questionable QB scenario. The Browns don’t have that, and with or with out Nick Chubb, I contemplate them reside canine this weekend.

The Patriots’ protection has not been nice in opposition to the run, and it is on the coronary heart of what Cleveland does offensively. Plus, we noticed how effectively this workforce carried out final week in opposition to Cincinnati with out the Odell Beckham distraction. Moreover, like most younger QBs, Jones has struggled when pressured. That is not nice information contemplating he’ll be dealing with a Cleveland protection that ranks second within the league in stress fee (34.2%).

Newest Odds:

New England Patriots
-2.5

Prediction: Browns 24, Patriots 21

Which picks are you able to make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down arduous? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,600 since its inception.

We all know Russell Wilson will likely be again for Seattle this weekend, and we will assume that Aaron Rodgers will in all probability be again for the Packers. Properly, even when Rodgers is again, I like Seattle getting three factors right here, and there is nonetheless an opportunity Rodgers will not play, which makes Seattle much more interesting! Wilson will not be the one participant Seattle will get again this weekend, both, as Chris Carson has been designated to return off injured reserve. Which means Seattle is getting wholesome on the proper time. In the meantime, Rodgers cannot be across the workforce till Saturday on the earliest, so he will not have been practising with the workforce or engaged on the sport plan even when he’s taking part in.

Now, he is nonetheless Aaron Rodgers, and he is been there some time, so I do not suppose the affect will likely be that extreme, however it may result in a slower begin, which may be all we’d like. Nor does it damage my confidence that the Packers’ protection has been principally mediocre this season and has actually struggled within the crimson zone. When you may’t maintain opponents to subject targets, it is harder to cowl spreads as a favourite.

Newest Odds:

Inexperienced Bay Packers
-3

Prediction: Packers 24, Seahawks 23

We wager the Broncos +10 final week, and it seems we must always’ve wager the cash line. Oh effectively, I am not anticipating Denver to shock the world two weeks in a row. I am far more comfy taking them in an underdog function than as a favourite, which they’re right here. And I get why. The Eagles haven’t been nice this season, however they’ve been higher in latest weeks.

I get the sense that Nick Sirianni has began to determine what works finest with Jalen Hurts and is discovering a extra wholesome stability on offense. Maybe that is why an Eagles workforce that averaged just one.96 factors per possession in its first 5 video games is scoring 2.92 factors per possession during the last 4. Additionally, it is potential that shedding Miles Sanders has been a blessing in disguise for this Eagles offense within the crimson zone. The mix of Hurts and Jordan Howard has been far more efficient across the aim line. With Howard the final two video games, the Eagles have scored touchdowns on six of their seven goal-to-go conditions. They had been at solely 62.5% by means of their first seven video games with Sanders.

Newest Odds:

Denver Broncos
-2.5

Prediction: Eagles 27, Broncos 21

Document

Models

Final Week

1-2

-1.25

Season

16-11

+3.75



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