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Kamala Harris is on her way to be the next Dan Quayle

NSHis Thanksgiving, the knives were used for Kamala Harris. This week, she became the first woman to hold the post of acting president, as power was briefly transferred to her. Joe Biden was anesthetized. However, rumors swirl that Biden will not run for re-election (he and his team vehemently insist he will), and there was growing concern that Harris – who had more her fair share of blunders and mistakeslack of political instinct to lead Democrats into the promised land.

Biden’s selection of Harris as his running mate in 2020 has several political implications. She helped unite the group and balance the tickets. Indeed, they win. But by the end of 2021, Biden’s needs had changed. The Virginia presidential election, along with the vote that followed, shows that many suburbanites are turning away from a Democrat they consider too progressive. At the same time, Biden faces serious challenges, including rising inflation, One border crisissupply chain troubles, violent crime rate, and more.

The things he tried to get Harris to help him with, starting with immigration, were unsuccessful. All in all, Harris’ performance only contributes to the impression that this is an administration that isn’t quite ready for prime time. If Harris was the bridge to the future, that bridge would lose its weight.

But is the objection fair? In a recent discussion for Bloggingheads.TV, my friend Bill Scher, a freelance columnist for Washington monthly and Politics is clear indeed, reminds me that being a vice president is a tough gig. As John Nance Garner famously quipped, this job is not worth a “bucket of warm water.” You don’t want to overshadow the president, and you can’t really be different from him, so by definition it’s nearly impossible to sound like a strong leader. You go to a funeral. You get ungrateful projects. This is why, despite frequently rising to the presidency (think LBJ or Gerald Ford), they often don’t. gourd to their boss’s immediate success.

The most recent exception is George HW Bush, who was just elected to Ronald Reagan’s third term. But is he a useful role model? 40% less approval rating (and lower Harris’s that), Biden doesn’t look the same as Gipper. But if somehow things go back to the way they did for Reagan after going through a recession and running into tough midterm elections in 1982, Harris might be in a good position to try. and repeat Bush’s feat in 2028.

But even in the highly unlikely history of a repeat event, it’s worth noting that Bush still had to fight for the Republican nomination in the crowded 1988 primaries, still having to overcome the odds. through the “fake” factor that the media labeled him, and still had to wage an active negative campaign against a discredited Democratic opponent, all to defy history.

But that was not Harris’s only challenge. Scher points out that there are essentially two models for veeps. The first is an old DC hand who provides credits and “insider” experience for tickets. The second is the reverse situation, where the president is the insider and the moderator balances the ticket by some other quality, such as age, identity or charisma.

In recent history, the former model has much more popular. Walter Mondale, Al Gore, George HW Bush, Dick Cheney, Biden, and Mike Pence themselves all have more DC experience than their respective principals.

This model also seems to be the better one, in terms of promoting the image of the vice president. In this scenario, veep has generally built up a lot of friends and contacts in the media and bureaucracy. As the president slips up, other elites can fantasize about what more capable and healthy things would become if (fill in the blanks) were to run the show.

The most recent example of a Harris model is Dan Quayle. Now, in 2021, we can see Quayle as the man who saved democracy by telling Mike Pence he had no right to refuse to certify Joe Biden’s voters. But for most of my life, Quayle (unfairly in my opinion) was a political conduit.

Quayle was a rising star in the US Senate before becoming Bush’s life partner. Even as Quayle sought out the Republican nomination on his own in 2000, the former boss’s immortal son, “Dubya,” barged in and took the only card he really had to. play: the notion that he is the next and correct Heir of 41 clear.

Since modern history offers a small sample size for this model of vice president, another (similar) recent example is John McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin. McCain, like Biden, has a wealth of insider experience. What he needs is youth and energy — and conservative credibility to keep the base running happily. So he chose Palin.

The crux of all this, of course, is that Kamala Harris (a) is doing a job that is inherently unappreciated, and (b) represents the archetype of vice presidents that historically have not worked. good for the person in charge of this position.

The deck is stacked against her. Complicating things even further is the fact that her boss is considered old and possibly on her way out the door, meaning her expectations for maturity are high while the academic path is very high. slope.

While this may help you empathize with her situation, that doesn’t mean Harris is a good choice — or that she’s fit to inherit the leadership mantle. Biden hit himself by promising to pick a woman, which eliminated half of his picks in the first place. Harris has not had a long and distinguished career in the US Senate, and her 2020 presidential campaign has been rather lackluster.

The main problem of Harris that strikes me as being almost indescribable. It is almost impossible to determine why she turned down so many people. Yogi Berra, that great baseball philosopher, once had a saying about how “If people don’t want to go to the ballpark, no one will stop them”. That might be the best way to summarize Harris’s underlying problem. No matter how much they try to package Kamala’s products, people – including Democrats in the 2020 primaries – still haven’t bought what she’s selling.

Yes, I’m sure there are some racist and sexist people against her for those reasons. All in all, though, to the extent her identity harms her, it’s because people place high hopes on her becoming a transformative leader. There’s a lot of pressure on Harris to be this great historical figure, and that’s a lot to survive.

In today’s media environment, what makes the president a true political athlete, and possibly Harris – despite being given so many opportunities to shine – has not been.

This reminds me of the NFL, where having an “elite” franchise quarterback seems to be the key to winning, however, the track record for determining which college QB will rise on the occasion. This seems to be mixed up. Harris is like one of these players. Sometimes she shows bright flashes, and there is hope that with a little time on the sidelines holding a clipboard, along with plenty of practice and representation, she can mature into the future. future. Now, however, she’s starting to look like a bust. And some fans were looking for a better draft option.

Maybe they will be proven wrong. As I have just described, there are many obstacles in her path. These obstacles can obscure our vision. But I wouldn’t bet on it. If Kamala Harris is the last, best hope for the Democrats, the last hurdle standing between us and another Trump presidency — and she might be — then God help us.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/kamala-harris-is-on-her-way-to-becoming-the-next-dan-quayle?source=articles&via=rss Kamala Harris is on her way to be the next Dan Quayle

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