Justin Fields to start for Bears: How first-round QBs of the last five years fared in their first starts

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After sitting behind Andy Dalton for 2 weeks, Justin Fields will make his debut because the Bears‘ beginning quarterback on Sunday. Coach Matt Nagy informed reporters this week that Dalton will return as Chicago’s starter when wholesome, nevertheless it’s unclear when he’ll be cleared to swimsuit up following a knee harm … and if Nagy will change his tune as soon as Fields showcases his personal skills. Bears followers are undoubtedly excited to get an prolonged take a look at the Windy Metropolis’s first-round choose, however Fields will not essentially have a straightforward highway to victory in Week 3, with the Browns set to play host to his first profession begin.

Then there’s the monitor document of rookie QBs making their first begins. Here is a take a look at how every first-round QB of the final 5 years, plus Fields’ first-round companions of 2021, fared of their first official motion with QB1 duties:

2021 Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) Week 1

28-51, 332 yards, 3 TDs, 3 INTs, 70.1 ranking

L, 37-21

2021 Zach Wilson (Jets) Week 1

20-37, 258 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 82.9 ranking

L, 19-14

2021 Mac Jones (Patriots) Week 1 29-39, 281 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 102.6 ranking L, 17-16
2020 Joe Burrow (Bengals) Week 1 23-36, 193 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 66.1 ranking L, 16-13
2020 Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) Week 7 12-22, 93 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 80.3 ranking W, 28-17
2020 Justin Herbert (Chargers) Week 2 22-33, 311 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 94.4 ranking L, 23-20
2019 Kyler Murray (Cardinals) Week 1 29-54, 308 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 75.2 ranking T, 27-27
2019 Daniel Jones (Giants) Week 3 23-36, 336 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INT, 112.7 ranking W, 32-31
2019 Dwayne Haskins (Washington) Week 9 15-22, 144 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT, 86.2 ranking L, 24-9
2018 Baker Mayfield (Browns) Week 4 21-41, 295 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs, 70.7 ranking L, 45-42
2018 Sam Darnold (Jets) Week 1 16-21, 198 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 116.8 ranking W, 48-17
2018 Josh Allen (Bills) Week 2 18-33, 245 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 63.3 ranking L, 31-20
2018 Josh Rosen (Cardinals) Week 4 15-27, 180 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 88.5 ranking L, 20-17
2018 Lamar Jackson (Ravens) Week 10 13-19, 150 yards, 1 INT, 70.1 ranking, 119 rush yards W, 24-21
2017 Mitchell Trubisky (Bears) Week 5 12-25, 128 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 60.1 ranking L, 20-17
2017 Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) Week 17 22-35, 284 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 76.4 ranking W, 27-24
2017 Deshaun Watson (Texans) Week 2 15-24, 125 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT, 75.9 ranking W, 13-9
2016 Jared Goff (Rams) Week 11 17-31, 134 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT, 65.8 ranking L, 14-10
2016 Carson Wentz (Eagles) Week 1 22-37, 278 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INT, 101.0 ranking W, 29-10
2016 Paxton Lynch (Broncos) Week 5 23-35, 223 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 81.0 ranking L, 23-16

Predictably, it is a combined bag. Some first-rounders got here out with rousing success (see: Carson Wentz, Sam Darnold, Daniel Jones), and others appeared gradual out of the gate (see: Jared Goff, Dwayne Haskins). However a very powerful takeaway might be the mixed document of those first-time starters: 7-12-1. That is not horrendous, contemplating most of those gamers had been drafted early to rebuilding groups, nevertheless it’s clearly below-average, and it isn’t like there are lots of routs among the many seven wins; solely Darnold, Wentz and Tagovailoa began in victories by multiple rating.

In different phrases, even when Fields is a transcendent expertise (and loads of these one-time rookies now are), historical past suggests he alone will not immediately halt the Bears’ struggles, no less than within the win column. Chicago’s present supporting forged, and the Browns’ expertise on the opposite facet of Week 3’s recreation this Sunday, backs that up. That is to not say Fields cannot/will not be in for an exhilarating debut — he positive flashed his athleticism in restricted snaps relieving Dalton these previous two weeks. However it’s to warning in opposition to expectations of a decisive Bears upset throughout the rookie’s first actual motion underneath heart.

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