Jets at Colts how to watch: Pick, TV channel, live stream, what to know for ‘Thursday Night Football’

It is laborious to consider, however we’re already in Week 9 of the 2021 NFL season. 

This has been one of many wildest weeks of NFL news in fairly a while, and a few of it has a dramatic impact on one in every of Thursday evening’s two groups. The Tennessee Titans lead the AFC South by three video games over the Indianapolis Colts, however they only misplaced Derrick Henry for the foreseeable future. If the Colts are to make up floor, they’ve to start out proper now, in opposition to the New York Jets (coming off their second win of the season!) on “Thursday Night time Soccer.”

Let’s check out the matchup, in addition to how one can watch the sport. 

The way to watch

Date: Thursday, Nov. 4 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click here)
Observe: CBS Sports App
Odds: Colts -10.5, O/U 45.5

When the Jets have the ball

So… Mike White, huh? The White Lotus went 37 of 45 for 405 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions in opposition to a Cincinnati Bengals protection that had beforehand seemed fairly rattling good and had most lately been seen shutting down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens

White’s efficiency was fairly fascinating, as a result of whereas he undoubtedly made some good throws, the Jets virtually completely requested him to verify down and get the ball into the arms of short-range targets, who then did work the ball of their arms. White averaged 9.0 yards per try, however his common go traveled simply 3.7 yards downfield, in keeping with TruMedia. So, he ended up getting 68.4% of his passing yardage complete from yards that had been gained after the catch. He did not throw any deep (20-plus yards within the air) passes, however truly went 5 of 6 for 75 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception on intermediate throws between 11 and 20 yards downfield. That is fairly spectacular. 

The excellent news for the Jets is that the Colts have gotten stress on a considerably-below-average 29.7% of opponent dropbacks this season, which suggests they’re going to assist the Jets negate their greatest weak spot (go safety) simply by being unable to make the most of it within the first place. Additionally, Indy’s zone-heavy protection is designed to remove massive performs down the sphere and encourage checkdowns, which performs into what White apparently desires to do anyway. He is focused operating again Michael Carter on 22 of his 77 go makes an attempt throughout his two appearances this season, change-of-pace again Ty Johnson one other 10 occasions, and slot man Jamison Crowder 12 occasions. Each different participant has mixed for 33 targets — a 42.8% share. 

The Colts have been among the finest defenses at limiting yards after the catch, although. Simply 46.3% of passing yards gained in opposition to Indianapolis’ protection have come after the catch, the eighth-lowest share within the league. Opponents have additionally thrown downfield in opposition to them on simply 8.2% of go makes an attempt, the NFL‘s fifth-lowest mark. In different phrases, the Colts take away the whole lot deep, encourage opponents to throw quick, after which do a greater job than virtually every other squad of rallying to the ball and limiting features. New York must rely on Carter, Crowder, and probably Elijah Moore to evade tackles that different pass-catchers have struggled to keep away from all through the season. 

It appears wildly unlikely that the Jets will be capable of push the Colts round within the trenches and run the ball at them, contemplating Indy’s No. 1 rating in Soccer Outsiders’ rush protection DVOA and New York’s Twenty sixth-ranked run-blocking unit. 

When the Colts have the ball

The matchup on this facet of the ball comes down to 2 questions: Can Carson Wentz keep away from making a back-breaking mistake, be it a turnover or an premature sack — or will he even need to?

Jonathan Taylor is averaging over 6 yards per carry throughout the Colts’ final 5 video games, racking up six touchdowns on the bottom and one other on a display screen go. The Indianapolis offensive line is getting more healthy, with Quenton Nelson and Braden Smith again within the lineup. (Though Nelson is listed as questionable, per the group’s harm report). 

The Jets have the NFL’s Twenty third-ranked run protection by DVOA, however it’s very hit and miss. They’ve stopped runs at or behind the road of scrimmage 21% of the time, per Soccer Outsiders, the sixth-best mark within the NFL. But when they do not get a stuff, they sometimes get gashed. They’ve allowed an explosive run on 8.9% of opponent carries, a fee that ranks contained in the bottom-10. That is probably due to how typically the Jets stack the field to cease the run: 28.2% of opponent rush makes an attempt have come in opposition to 8-man packing containers, per TruMedia, the NFL’s eighth-highest share. (Taylor ranks 18th amongst 50 qualifiers in yards per carry in opposition to 8-man packing containers, a very good signal for the Colts on this matchup).

The anticipated success for the Colts operating the ball takes some stress off of Wentz right here. He is performed pretty effectively since arriving in Indianapolis, however his irritating tendency to carry the ball too lengthy has come together with him from Philadelphia. It is too typically resulted in sacks, fumbles, and baffling choices, and he is lucked his means out of some turnovers that ought to have been made. If he does go to the air, although, the Jets do not likely have anybody who can cowl Michael Pittman Jr. The one fear is New York’s surprisingly frisky entrance having the ability to generate sufficient stress to drive Wentz into dangerous choices.

Prediction: Colts 24, Jets 17 | Jets at Colts easy methods to watch: Decide, TV channel, dwell stream, what to know for ‘Thursday Night time Soccer’


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