Jaguars at Bengals picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for ‘Thursday Night Football’ in Week 4

The Jaguars and Bengals will kick off Week 4 within the NFL when these two AFC squads sq. off at Paul Brown Stadium on “Thursday Night time Soccer.” This matchup options the earlier two No. 1 general picks within the NFL Draft in Joe Burrow (2020) and Trevor Lawrence (2021). Whereas each quarterbacks are extraordinarily proficient, the start of their professional careers have been a little bit uneven. In fact, Burrow missed the majority of his rookie marketing campaign final 12 months as a consequence of a torn ACL however has responded effectively in 2021 as he is led Cincy to a 2-1 file. As for Lawrence, his Jags are winless on the season and the previous Clemson phenom has thrown extra picks than touchdowns. He’ll look to attempt to proper the ship to start Week 4. 

On this house, we’ll cowl all of the totally different betting angles that this recreation has to supply. We’ll element the road actions main as much as this contest together with giving our picks for a way we see this recreation unfolding and some of our favourite participant props. 

All NFL odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

The right way to watch

Date: Thursday, Sept. 30 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium (Cincinnati)
NFLN | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Comply with: CBS Sports App
Odds: Bengals -7.5, O/U 45.5

Line motion

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals

This line has stood nonetheless at Bengals -7.5 because it opened up Sunday all the best way till Wednesday afternoon main into the Week 4 opener. On the moneyline, Jacksonville did bump as much as +290 from +285, however that is been the largest shakeup up to now.

The decide: Bengals -7.5. On prime of being winless to start the 12 months, Jacksonville is certainly one of simply 4 groups within the NFL to begin the 12 months 0-3 ATS. The Jaguars offense is simply mustering 17.7 factors per recreation and it leads the league in whole giveaways. Whereas the Bengals aren’t precisely a dynamo within the AFC, they’re a greater operation than what City Meyer is working down in Florida. Cincinnati additionally comes into this recreation contemporary off a street victory in opposition to the Pittsburgh Steelers and boasts a protection that’s permitting the eighth-fewest whole yards per recreation within the NFL. The Bengals are additionally 6-2 ATS of their final eight dwelling video games. 

Key pattern: Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS of their final seven video games.

Over/Beneath whole

The whole on this recreation did jockey a bit this week. After opening up at 46 on Sunday, it briefly dipped right down to 45.5 earlier than taking pictures again as much as 46 on Monday. On Wednesday morning, nonetheless, it sunk again to 45.5. 

The decide: Beneath 45.5. On the charge the Jaguars offense goes, it is arduous to see it carrying sufficient of the scoring load to convey this recreation over. If the Bengals acquire a large lead, they might look to working again Joe Mixon to eat clock on the bottom. Additionally, if Lawrence continues to show the ball over, that creates a whole lot of empty possessions, which can damage this whole. The Beneath can be 4-1 ATS for the Jaguars of their final 5 video games in opposition to groups with a successful file. In the meantime, the Beneath is 7-3-1 for the Bengals of their final 11 video games general. 

Key pattern: Beneath is 5-2 for Jaguars following a straight-up loss. 

Joe Burrow props

  • Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -170, Beneath +140) 
  • Passing yards: 246.5 (Over -115, Beneath -115)
  • Speeding yards: 7.5 (Over -120, Beneath -110)
  • Go makes an attempt: 30.5 (Over -125, Beneath -105)
  • Completions: 20.5 (Over -135, Beneath +105)
  • Longest move completion: 36.5 (Over -110, Beneath -120)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +140, Beneath -170)

I just like the Over on Burrow’s landing passes on this matchup. The Bengals quarterback has a 140.3 passer score within the pink zone this season, which ranks first amongst all quarterbacks (per PFF). He is additionally thrown for a number of touchdowns in each recreation he is performed this season, together with final week when he had three in opposition to the Steelers. That stated, I do lean extra towards the Beneath on his passing yards prop of 246.5. He is actually able to going over that mark, however I am undecided he’ll be in a ton of throwing conditions on this recreation, notably within the second half.  

Trevor Lawrence props

  • Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +120, Beneath -150)
  • Passing yards: 254.5 (Over -115, Beneath -115)
  • Speeding yards: 15.5 (Over -120, Beneath -110)
  • Go makes an attempt: 37.5 (Over -115, Beneath -115)
  • Completions: 22.5 (Over +105, Beneath -135)
  • Longest move completion: 36.5 (Over -110, Beneath -120)
  • Interceptions: 1.5 (Over +120, Beneath -150)

I like the Over on Lawrence’s completions whole of twenty-two.5 at +105. The Bengals protection is permitting 68.2 % of passes thrown in opposition to it to be accomplished and is averaging 30 completions allowed per recreation by the primary three weeks. With the Jaguars anticipated to be trailing, that ought to solely imply extra move makes an attempt for Lawrence. 

Participant props to contemplate

Marvin Jones whole receptions: Over 5.5. (+115). Jones has gone over this whole with six catches in every of his final two video games and leads the workforce in targets. He’ll get the quantity to go over right here as long as he is environment friendly. 

Joe Mixon dashing makes an attempt: Over 20.5 (+100). Mixon is second within the league in dashing makes an attempt, solely trying as much as Derrick Henry in Tennessee. With the Bengals anticipated to have a lead, the veteran again ought to have loads of carries, notably within the second half. 

Ja’Marr Chase anytime landing (+105). May as effectively trip this prepare till it slows down. Chase has 4 touchdowns by the primary three weeks, together with two final week in Pittsburgh. | Jaguars at Bengals picks: Level unfold, whole, participant props, traits for ‘Thursday Night time Soccer’ in Week 4


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