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Is the Packers offense really as bad as it looked last week? Plus, best bets for Monday night

Sunday evening was a humbling expertise for me. You see, whereas I not share DFS recommendation within the e-newsletter (an excessive amount of of it was “out of date” by the point video games started), that does not imply I’ve stopped enjoying DFS. No, I am nonetheless a daily participant in relation to each the NBA and NFL. I haven’t got time to commit as a lot consideration to it as those that do it professionally, so I depend on projections from websites focusing on such issues, and I then add my very own findings and opinions to provide you with lineups.

For the Sunday fundamental slate of the NFL, I spent loads of time through the week tinkering to search out the perfect lineups after which I despatched them on the market. By the point the mud settled, I had made an impressive revenue of $7.50 on the slate. After all, there’s greater than the primary slate on Sunday! I entered contests for the Sunday evening recreation as nicely, following the identical methodology I at all times do. I enter a contest, put in a placeholder lineup with none thought, after which put together the lineups I intend to make use of. However there was one small drawback final evening.

I forgot to enter my lineups. We had firm on the home final evening, and so they received misplaced within the shuffle of being a human being. It wasn’t till the sport started that I noticed my mistake and have become indignant with myself for throwing cash away.

After which the placeholder lineup that I used to be now caught with throughout a number of entries and contests went out and gained $350. So, for these retaining rating, hours spent making ready netted me $7.50. Not making ready gained me $350. As I mentioned, it was a humbling expertise. A worthwhile one too.

All proper, let’s hope tonight’s Monday Evening Soccer recreation is half as humbling however twice as worthwhile as Sunday evening’s was.

All instances Jap, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook


The Scorching Ticket

Lions at Packers, 8:15 p.m. | TV: ESPN

Newest Odds:

Beneath 48.5

The Decide: Beneath 48.5 (-110): In all truthfully, I am a little bit terrified of taking the below tonight after how poorly the Packers offense performed final week. There’s an opportunity that Aaron Rodgers comes out seeking to set the world on hearth in a highlight recreation to close everyone up after he threw for under 133 yards with two interceptions in a 38-3 loss to the Saints final week. Nonetheless, I am going to simply should dwell with that concern as a result of every thing else tells me to take the below on this spot tonight, as I’ve it being a couple of subject objective too excessive.

Whereas I do not assume the Packers offense is almost as dangerous because it seemed final week, I am not completely satisfied it is an elite unit, both. On the opposite aspect, Detroit’s offense scored 33 factors towards San Francisco final week, however 21 of them got here after the 49ers had constructed a 38-10 lead and went right into a defensive shell. I do not anticipate Inexperienced Bay to do the identical, nor do I anticipate Detroit to play the identical manner they did on the finish of that recreation.

Jared Goff threw the ball 57 instances final week, however 28 of these passes got here within the first three quarters. He threw 29 passes within the fourth. Having Goff drop again to cross will not be within the recreation plan for a Detroit group that is a double-digit underdog on the highway. The Lions are much more more likely to try to management the clock with their run recreation to maintain issues shut. I can not say how efficient they’re going to be, however a minimum of I am going to even have 15 mph winds blowing by Lambeau Discipline serving to the trigger both manner.

Key Development: The below is 4-1 within the final 5 conferences.

This is what SportsLine is saying in regards to the recreation: SportsLine’s R.J. White is 43-13 along with his final 56 against-the-spread picks involving the Packers, which is a ridiculous win charge, and he’s looking to keep it going with a pick for tonight’s game.


💰 Extra MNF Picks


Getty Photos

The Decide: Aaron Rodgers Over 6.5 dashing yards (-115) — This has lengthy been considered one of my favourite prop bets, because it cashes at a excessive charge. Aaron Rodgers is likely one of the smarter scramblers on the QB place, and he is nonetheless athletic sufficient to search out yards once they’re there. Since taking up as starter manner again in 2008, Rodgers has averaged 17 dashing yards per recreation with the Packers. Now, as you’d anticipate, that whole has diminished in recent times as Rodgers has aged — however not an excessive amount of.

Since Rodgers turned 35 in 2018, he is averaging 12.5 dashing yards per recreation. Final season he rushed for a minimum of seven yards in 10 of Inexperienced Bay’s 16 regular-season video games, together with 25 dashing yards in two video games towards the Lions. With the prop set the place it’s, all we’d like is Rodgers scrambling for one first right down to win the wager, and it occurs much more typically than the prop suggests.

Key Development: Aaron Rodgers has averaged 12.5 yards dashing per recreation during the last three seasons.

The Decide: Jared Goff Beneath 1.5 touchdowns (-145) — The Packers have been one of many extra zone-heavy defenses within the NFL. Final yr, the Packers had been in zone 69% of the time, which was tied with Washington for the ninth-highest frequency within the NFL. Joe Barry has been calling the protection for just one recreation, however the Packers had been in zone 70% of the time towards New Orleans final week. This isn’t nice information for Jared Goff.

In his NFL profession, Goff has the next completion charge towards zone protection than man (68% to 55.8%), extra yards per try (7.96 to 7.45) and a barely increased passer ranking (89.8 to 89.4). Now, you are most likely questioning why his passer ranking is just barely higher, contemplating how significantly better these different numbers are. The reply is straightforward. Goff’s landing charge towards man is a robust 5.96%. Towards zone coverages, it is only one.63%. That is an enormous drop-off, and Goff has thrown extra interceptions (29) towards zone defenses than he has touchdowns (26) throughout his profession. Odds are Detroit’s touchdowns will come through the bottom or a damaged play tonight.

Key Development: Jared Goff has thrown extra interceptions than touchdowns towards zone defenses throughout his profession.

🔒 SportsLine Decide of the Day: SportsLine’s Superior Projection Mannequin, which is up nearly $7,900, has five strong player prop bets for the Week 2 Monday Night Football Game between the Lions and Packers.


⚾ MLB Beneath Parlay

That is for these of you with a robust want to wager baseball tonight. This parlay pays +250.

  • Rays/Blue Jays Beneath 7.5 (+100)
  • A’s/Mariners Beneath 8.5 (-133)



https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/is-the-packers-offense-really-as-bad-as-it-looked-last-week-plus-best-bets-for-monday-night/ | Is the Packers offense actually as dangerous because it seemed final week? Plus, finest bets for Monday evening

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