Iowa vs. Wisconsin odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Heartland Trophy predictions from proven model

The ninth-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes will attempt to keep within the hunt for the Huge Ten West title after they go to Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday to face the Wisconsin Badgers. The Hawkeyes (6-1) suffered a disappointing 24-7 loss to Purdue however had every week to get better and put together for this battle for the Heartland Trophy. Iowa is tied on the prime of the division with Minnesota and can meet the Gophers in two weeks. First, it must get previous the Badgers (4-3), who’ve received three straight and ran wild in opposition to Purdue in a 30-13 victory final week. The Boilermakers had moved to No. 25 after their win in opposition to the Hawkeyes, and Wisconsin’s three losses have come in opposition to ranked groups.

Kickoff in Madison, Wis., is about for midday ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Badgers as three-point favorites within the newest Iowa vs. Wisconsin odds, and the over-under for whole factors scored is 36.5, the bottom whole of the season so far. Earlier than making any Wisconsin vs. Iowa picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each FBS college football sport 10,000 instances. Over the previous five-plus years, the proprietary pc mannequin has generated a surprising revenue of just about $3,900 for $100 gamers on its top-rated college football picks in opposition to the unfold. It additionally enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated faculty soccer aspect picks. Anybody who has adopted it has seen big returns.

Now the mannequin has dialed in on Iowa vs. Wisconsin and simply revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s CFB picks. Now, listed below are the college football odds and traits for Wisconsin vs. Iowa:  

• Iowa vs. Wisconsin unfold: Badgers -3
• Iowa vs. Wisconsin over-under: 36.5 factors
• Iowa vs. Wisconsin cash line: Iowa +145, Badgers -170
• Iowa: The Hawkeyes are 12-8 ATS vs. ranked opponents since 2016.
• Wisconsin: The Badgers are 29-26-2 ATS as a favourite since 2016.

Featured Recreation | Wisconsin Badgers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Why Iowa can cowl

Iowa has coated the unfold in 5 straight on the street, and the underdog is 10-4 within the final 14 conferences. The Hawkeyes protection has been top-notch, creating turnovers and never permitting factors. Opponents are scoring simply 14.3 per sport (third in FBS), and Iowa is second within the nation with 20 takeaways. That spells bother for Wisconsin, which has turned the ball over 28 instances in its final 12 video games. The Badgers rating simply 21.1 factors per contest (a hundred and tenth), and their solely offense is on the bottom, however the Hawkeyes rank seventh in opposition to the run (89.7 yards per sport).

The Hawkeyes can be rested and have few accidents, whereas the Badgers have a prolonged checklist of hobbled gamers. UW has confronted Iowa 4 instances as an unranked group prior to now 20 years and misplaced every time. The Hawkeyes cruised to a 28-7 win within the final assembly, holding the Badgers to 225 whole yards. Iowa QB Spencer Petras threw for 211 and working again Tyler Goodson had 106 yards. Turnovers are prone to play a giant function Saturday, and whereas the Hawkeyes coughed the ball up 4 instances in opposition to Purdue, they’d solely 5 turnovers by means of the primary six video games. 

Why Wisconsin can cowl

Wisconsin has received seven of the previous 9 conferences and holds a 48-44-2 edge within the all-time sequence. It’s 10-6 in opposition to the unfold in its previous 16 when coming off a victory, and it ran by means of the Boilermakers final week. Purdue had minus-13 speeding yards whereas the Badgers put up 290, with Chez Mellusi working for 149 and Braelon Allen including 140 on simply 12 carries. Iowa is hard in opposition to the run, however the Badgers common 218.4 yards per sport on the bottom (nineteenth in FBS). Mellusi and Allen have mixed for 1,120 yards (5.6 per carry) and 9 touchdowns.

The Badgers protection is much more stingy in opposition to the run. It’s the finest within the nation, permitting 53.3 speeding yards per sport. The unit additionally yields simply 18.4 factors (seventeenth in FBS) on common. It faces an Iowa offense that ranks a centesimal or decrease in all yardage statistics, and the Hawkeyes rating simply 28 per sport (seventy fifth) regardless of getting assist from three defensive TDs. The Badgers picked off three passes final week, and Leo Chenal had 3.5 sacks. Fellow linebackers Jack Sanborn (34 tackles) and Nick Herbig (3.5 sacks) additionally make massive performs all around the discipline.            

make Wisconsin vs. Iowa picks

SportsLine’s mannequin is leaning below on the purpose whole, projecting the groups to mix for 29 factors. It additionally has an against-the-spread decide that cashes in 70 p.c of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see that pick.

So who wins Iowa vs. Wisconsin? And which aspect is masking 70 p.c of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 26-11 run on top-rated picks, and discover out.