Flag odds, chances, premiership profiles, Geelong most complete side says Nick Riewoldt, On The Couch

St Kilda champion Nick Riewoldt believes Geelong is the one “full” premiership contender this season because the membership pushes to go one step additional than its 2020 marketing campaign.

The Cats on Sunday produced a flag assertion, dismantling reigning premiers Richmond by 38 factors to maneuver into second spot on the AFL ladder after the Western Bulldogs moved to first because of a hard-fought win over third-placed Melbourne.

Port Adelaide, Brisbane and Sydney spherical out the highest six – and contemplating the two-win ladder hole between the sixth-placed Swans and seventh-placed Eagles, the 2021 flag race seems to have narrowed to 6 golf equipment.

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Fox Footy’s On The Sofa on Monday night time profiled the ‘premiership profiles’ of the six golf equipment. The profiles point out a group’s energy throughout 4 areas: Clearances, post-clearance contested possessions, ball motion and defending ball motion.

In line with the Champion Knowledge statistics, most groups have clear strengths and weaknesses. As an illustration, the Bulldogs are the AFL’s finest membership at profitable the ball at clearance then defending opposition ball motion, but they’re mid-table for shifting the ball offensively. And whereas the Swans are the league’s finest ball motion group, they’re mid desk for clearance and post-clearance contested ball numbers.

However one group, Geelong, is evenly balanced throughout the 4 classes, rating among the many high 4 throughout all premiership profile areas.

Jed Bews of the Cats. Image: Michael KleinSupply: Information Corp Australia

The Cats’ rise has been constructed off their defence. Over the previous month, they’ve been ranked first for factors in opposition to, third for opposition scores per inside 50, second for factors in opposition to from turnovers, second for factors in opposition to from stoppages and first for defending ball motion.

“You look throughout the competitors, I don‘t assume we’ve obtained a facet that you simply have a look at and say ‘they’re an ideal group’,” Riewoldt informed On The Sofa.

“I believe in the mean time, there‘s levels of separation between all of these sides in the direction of the highest of the ladder.


“However the one which seemed probably the most full to me are Geelong in the mean time. While you have a look at the profiles, each a part of their recreation in the mean time actually stacks up.

“We all know they‘re an ideal clearance group, their skill to win the soccer as soon as it leaves that space, shifting the footy they’re robust after which having the ability to defend the opposition doing the identical. Whereas I believe the opposite contenders no less than have gotten one flaw inside these inside these classes.”

The Demons have hit a mini rut. After spending 10 of the previous 12 rounds on high of the ladder, the Demons have dropped to 3rd because of profitable simply two of their previous six video games.

Riewoldt, although, isn’t involved about Simon Goodwin’s troops, particularly if they’ll repair up their accuracy in entrance of objectives, for they’ve been ranked 18th for aim accuracy since Spherical 13.

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“It’s not huge alarm bells,” he stated. “I nonetheless throw a blanket over them and the Western Bulldogs by way of their skill to win it.

“They’re nonetheless proper up there within the pointy finish of competition.

“There are a couple of little issues they’ll tinker with, however their recreation seems in fairly good condition. They’re producing photographs at objectives, their skill to maneuver the footy’s good.”

Whereas the Cats are buzzing – they’ve gained 10 of their previous 11 video games – the Swans’ premiership hopes are rising with each win off the again of 4 straight wins.

However of the six contenders, John Longmire’s troops are the second-worst for clearances and worst for post-clearance contested possessions.

“Their clearance and post-clearance contest, I give them an out as a result of they’re the very best stress group within the competitors,” triple premiership Lion Jonathan Brown informed Fox Footy.

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“So sure they could lose clearance, they could lose contest, however their stress is elite and that’s conserving them in it.

However Gerard Healy added: “The premiership profile you’ve obtained to be there with clearance and contest. It’s the one space the Swans want to deal with.”


Western Bulldogs

Clearances: 1st

Put up-clearance contested possession differential: 4th

Ball motion: eleventh

Defending ball motion: 1st

Geelong Cats

Clearances: 2nd

Put up-clearance contested possession differential: 2nd

Ball motion: 2nd

Defending ball motion: 4th


Clearances: eleventh

Put up-clearance contested possession differential: 1st

Ball motion: third

Defending ball motion: sixth

Port Adelaide

Clearances: seventh

Put up-clearance contested possession differential: fifth

Ball motion: sixteenth

Defending ball motion: 1st

Brisbane Lions

Clearances: 4th

Put up-clearance contested possession differential: third

Ball motion: eleventh

Defending ball motion: third

Sydney Swans

Clearances: tenth

Put up-clearance contested possession differential: eleventh

Ball motion: 1st

Defending ball motion: 2nd | Flag odds, probabilities, premiership profiles, Geelong most full facet says Nick Riewoldt, On The Sofa


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