Good day, everybody. Dan Schneier (@DanSchneierNFL) right here and it is crunch time for you in preparation on your closing Fantasy Football drafts this weekend. The primary two rounds of the draft are pretty straight ahead, however after that’s when issues get difficult. So right now, we’ll attempt to deal with the very best worth draft decide in every of the 5 following rounds after the primary two.
Initially of every week from now till the top of the Fantasy season, I will be organizing a panel of types asking questions of our FFT crew and they are going to be delivering solutions. We’ll hear from Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Chris Towers, Heath Cummings and Adam Aizer. In case you have any burning questions you wish to be answered, attain out to me on Twitter @DanSchneierNFL. If the questions are good, I am going to work them into the weekly panel.
*We’ll be utilizing CBS Sports activities ADP information.*
Additionally, mark your calendars as a result of tonight is the Fantasy Football Today Draft-A-Thon. Listed below are the small print:
- Dwell at 6 p.m. ET on CBS Sports activities HQ and the FFT YouTube web page till midnight.
- We’re elevating cash for our buddies at St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital with a ton of cool giveaways and particular experiences and objects to bid on.
- We’ll have a ton of business friends and pro gamers becoming a member of from the Fantasy business and elsewhere to assist us out.
- We’re answering your questions stay all evening lengthy that will help you prepare for the most important draft weekend of the yr.
It is going to be a ton of enjoyable and it is all for an awesome trigger, so be sure you subscribe to our YouTube channel so you don’t miss it.
With out additional ado, let’s dive into this week’s questions:
1. Who’s your favourite Spherical 3 (ADP 25-36) worth?
Adam: Each WR being drafted on this spherical — Justin Jefferson, Keenan Allen, A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin — is a superb worth. Jefferson and Brown stand out particularly. These two have reputable potential to complete as prime three WRs. I do not see fairly as a lot upside for Allen or McLaurin, however they are not far behind. For the report, Allen, Brown and Jefferson had been all prime 10 WRs per recreation in 2020 and Brown and Jefferson could possibly attain a brand new degree in 2021. Jefferson had the very best rookie WR season in historical past. Brown has been extremely environment friendly in his two NFL seasons. Allen was on tempo for 118 catches when Justin Herbert was his QB. McLaurin will get an enormous QB improve this season. When you draft your first WR in Spherical 3 and it is one in every of these guys, you are off to an awesome begin.
Dave: If you wish to have an edge over at the least half of your league, it is advisable put money into a high quality tight finish. Darren Waller is well worth the early-round decide based mostly on ending because the No. 2 tight finish in complete PPR factors every of the previous two seasons. Final yr, he amassed a preposterous 26.3% goal share from his quarterbacks, greater than what Travis Kelce acquired from Patrick Mahomes. He additionally was second in your complete league in each red-zone targets (22) and red-zone receptions (18). That is not about to alter it doesn’t matter what enhancements the Raiders suppose they’ve made to their passing video games. Discovering a difference-maker at a skinny place in Spherical 3 is a present. I would be comfy taking Waller earlier than the top of Spherical 2.
Jamey: I might draft A.J. Brown in Spherical 2, so getting him in Spherical 3 is considerably of a steal. He ought to stay the No. 1 receiver for the Titans forward of Julio Jones, and hopefully Brown is wholesome for a lot of the season. He is scored at the least 15 PPR factors in 9 of his previous 13 video games, and he has top-three upside heading into this yr. Brown must be going forward of DK Metcalf, who has a Spherical 2 ADP. I additionally like him forward of George Kittle and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who even have a Spherical 2 ADP.
Chris: James Robinson. We’ll see the place Robinson settles, however his 34.4 ADP on CBS is correct in keeping with his 33.4 ADP in NFC drafts because the Travis Etienne damage news broke. That’s merely far, far too low. Robinson was a top-20 decide previous to the NFL draft — after the Jaguars had signed Carlos Hyde — and now we’re dropping him a round-plus for being in the identical state of affairs? Will Robinson repeat his 2020 numbers? Maybe not, however he does not have to be a top-six again to be an awesome worth right here. I’m willing to take Robinson in the second round, but when I can get him within the third, I am thrilled.
Heath: A.J. Brown has the upside to be the No. 1 broad receiver in Fantasy as early as 2021 and he is following the Tyreek Hill path to get there. Brown’s elite effectivity is matched solely by his bodily capability, and the addition of Julio Jones solely makes me extra sure he will not see a serious statistical regression. I’ve him projected for 1,400 yards and 12 touchdowns, however I do not consider that’s the ceiling.
Please verify the opt-in field to acknowledge that you just want to subscribe.
Thanks for signing up!
Regulate your inbox.
There was an error processing your subscription.
2. Who’s your favourite Spherical 4 (ADP 37-48) worth?
Adam: David Montgomery is the primary decide of this spherical and he looks as if the very best worth by far. The following RBs off the board are Josh Jacobs, D’Andre Swift, Myles Gaskin and Mike Davis. Montgomery is clearly forward of these RBs for me. Actually, I believe Montgomery is an early Spherical 3 decide, so having him obtainable in Spherical 4 is a steal. There are some issues with Montgomery that may’t be neglected. He averaged 3.65 ypc within the first 25 video games of his profession, however 5.2 ypc in his most up-to-date six video games. These six video games had been in opposition to largely straightforward competitors. However I really like him in Spherical 4 as a result of he does not have plenty of competitors for touches and I assume he’ll have a good position within the passing recreation.
Dave: I do not perceive why folks aren’t excited to draft Allen Robinson. Is it as a result of Andy Dalton is beginning for the Bears in Week 1? That is truly an improve over what Robinson’s handled for his total profession, and the rookie behind Dalton figures to be an excellent larger improve! Robinson has seen over 150 targets in every of the previous two seasons, posting at the least 15.5 PPR factors per recreation in 2019 and 2020. When Justin Fields takes over, anticipate Robinson to see a bevy of catchable targets, larger than the 69% he had in 2020. There is not any doubt about his standing in Fantasy Soccer, however the buzz different wideouts have created has type of overshadowed Robinson. That is left him as a terrific worth in Spherical 4.
Jamey: There’s loads to love about this spherical when trying on the CBS Sports activities ADP, however Robert Woods must be thought-about a Spherical 3 decide based mostly on his upside with the addition of quarterback Matthew Stafford. That ought to assist Cooper Kupp additionally, however Woods has the next ceiling given the extra manufacturing you may get from him on the bottom. He might be a top-10 PPR receiver this yr. When you begin your crew RB-RB then you need to love touchdown Woods as your potential No. 1 broad receiver, particularly if he is obtainable in Spherical 4.
Chris: You are going to discover a theme right here — all of my favourite values from right here on out are broad receivers. That is consistent with analysis I did earlier this offseason about what the perfect Draft Day plan is, based mostly on historic outcomes. Working backs are good values within the first two to a few rounds, after which after that it is a complete crapshoot. Which implies broad receivers are going to are typically higher values from that time on, and that is the case right here. Within the vary the place Robinson goes, you are selecting between him or Josh Jacobs (low pass-catching ceiling), D’Andre Swift (presently injured), Myles Gaskin and Mike Davis, each of whom have questions on how a lot they will be used. Robinson alternatively, is a reputable, confirmed elite Fantasy broad receiver, a confirmed high-volume alpha who could have the very best QB he is ever performed with in Justin Fields. He’s a top-six wide receiver and a top-21 player for me, and a straightforward decide right here.
Heath: D’Andre Swift was one in every of my favourite breakout candidates in Spherical 2, so I really like him in Spherical 4. Sure, the groin is regarding, however now it is priced in. Anthony Lynn has constantly been among the many prime 5 in alternatives created for operating backs and Swift confirmed us final yr that he can produce even on a foul offense. Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler are the one operating backs I’ve projected for extra catches than Swift.
Please verify the opt-in field to acknowledge that you just want to subscribe.
Thanks for signing up!
Regulate your inbox.
There was an error processing your subscription.
3. Who’s your favourite Spherical 5 (ADP 49-60) worth?
Adam: The 2 TEs on this spherical — Mark Andrews and Kyle Pitts — stand out as nice values. If you’re not going to take a QB like Dak Prescott or Tom Brady in Spherical 5, you then’re taking a look at plenty of WRs with query marks or the aforementioned TEs. For essentially the most half, I just like the WRs on this spherical (Chris Godwin, Tyler Lockett, Adam Thielen, Julio Jones and DJ Moore), however they carry some threat. That is one in every of your final possibilities to get a distinction maker at TE, so go forward and take Mark Andrews or Kyle Pitts. I even suppose T.J. Hockenson is justifiable right here. Of these three, I am going to take Andrews. He may lead the Ravens in targets and I would be shocked if he did not lead the Ravens in landing catches. The accidents at WR for Baltimore may result in an unbelievable begin for Andrews.
Dave: Chris Godwin had 15-plus PPR factors in seven of 12 video games and 13-plus PPR factors in 9 of 12 final yr. That is some good consistency with a pleasant, protected ground. However the true brilliance to Godwin’s recreation was the connection he constructed with Tom Brady. Get this — Brady had eight video games in 2020 with at the least 25 Fantasy factors (six factors for passing touchdowns). One was with out Godwin; of the remaining seven, Godwin amassed 15-plus PPR factors in six. The correlation is that when Brady has a giant recreation, Godwin’s a part of the rationale for it, and Brady figures to have a bunch of huge video games this yr. It additionally feels good to know that Godwin averaged 7.1 targets per recreation within the 11 video games, together with the playoffs, Antonio Brown was round for. That is a protected expectation for a protected PPR receiver you will get in Spherical 5.
Jamey: Tyler Lockett was irritating final season with six video games of at the least 17 PPR factors and 7 video games with eight PPR factors or fewer. Nonetheless, he stays a major goal for Russell Wilson and really had three extra targets than Metcalf final yr (132-129). Hopefully, Seattle’s revamped passing assault below new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron will assist Lockett be extra constant, and he has top-10 upside in all leagues. As you may see by way of Spherical 5 based mostly on simply the picks I’ve listed, the receiver spot is extraordinarily deep this season.
Chris: Julio Jones (55.8). And Jones’ ADP is falling in response to issues a few decrease leg damage that has restricted him for a lot of coaching camp. Nonetheless, he is been making progress in apply since and coach Mike Vrabel informed reporters he expects to have Jones again in time for Week 1. It isn’t an awesome signal for a 32-year-old who has struggled with accidents lately, however that threat is already nicely baked into his value at this level. Jones was pretty much as good as ever when he was on the sphere final season (11.3 yards per goal), and he’ll see much less defensive consideration than ever enjoying alongside A.J. Brown. He will not get the 150-plus targets we have gotten used to, however he ought to proceed to be one of the vital environment friendly gamers within the NFL catching passes from Ryan Tannehill. I really like him as an upside play in Spherical 5.
Heath: Many of the quarterbacks are being drafted too early in CBS leagues, so after I see Dak Prescott in Spherical 5 I wish to leap throughout it. Prescott was the No. 1 QB in FPPG final yr although he solely performed a half in one in every of his 5 video games. Since Kellen Moore took over as offensive coordinator, Prescott has averaged 329.6 passing yards per recreation. If he does that over 17 video games, he’ll break Peyton Manning’s single-season report.
4. Who’s your favourite Spherical 6 (ADP 61-72) worth?
Adam: Darrell Henderson has fallen far sufficient! I believe Spherical 6 is an efficient time to take him. I nonetheless anticipate him to be the starter so long as he isn’t injured (which is all the time a threat with Henderson) and the Rams have a tendency to supply plenty of speeding TDs for his or her RBs below Sean McVay. One other RB on this spherical – Javonte Williams – is fascinating when contrasting him to Henderson. When you’re trying to get off to a extra strong begin and wish some security, you need to take Henderson. When you love your crew or belief your capability to get RB depth later within the draft and also you need a potential second half league-winner, Williams is your man. Maybe I am counting out Melvin Gordon too rapidly, however I really feel just like the Broncos moved up within the NFL Draft to take Williams for a purpose. He’s a tackle-breaking machine and somebody with massive upside that I think will likely be realized later within the season.
Dave: One of the best PPR receiver worth on Draft Day is Diontae Johnson. I can not consider the worth tag for a possible 100-catch man who proved once more this preseason that he is the very best all-around expertise within the Steelers passing recreation. JuJu Smith-Schuster is a dependable short- and mid-range goal from the slot, and Chase Claypool has some dominant traits, however Johnson strikes quick, beneficial properties separation from everybody simply and nonetheless has the belief of his quarterback regardless that he had 15 drops final yr. I believed the Steelers offensive line protected Ben Roethlisberger nicely this preseason and should not fairly be the legal responsibility on passing downs that we feared this offseason. And even with Najee Harris taking loads of touches, there ought to nonetheless be a big dose of targets for Johnson most weeks. I believe it is good worth to take him in Spherical 5, however our ADP screams wonderful worth if you will get him in Spherical 6!
Jamey: I am torn on a number of gamers to checklist for this spherical, together with Diontae Johnson, Damien Harris and Jerry Jeudy, however I went with T.J. Hockenson given his price ticket in comparison with guys like Mark Andrews and Kyle Pitts. In PPR, Hockenson is likely to be the very best of this trio given his anticipated goal share in Detroit. If you would like the final of the Tremendous Six tight ends (Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Kittle, Andrews, Pitts and Hockenson) then you may wait till Spherical 6 to get one in every of my favourite breakout candidates this yr in Hockenson.
Chris: Jerry Jeudy (71.8). Jeudy’s ADP is skyrocketing, up 14 spots within the final week, but it surely’s nonetheless to not the purpose the place I am frightened of taking him. He’s a fifth-rounder for me, which is aggressive, however I believe Jeudy is price it. He is a dynamic playmaker with the ball in his arms who additionally has the power to get open down the sphere, and that mixture is what makes him such a particular expertise. I am not apprehensive in regards to the drops remaining a problem, and whereas Teddy Bridgewater is not the highest-ceiling quarterback, he ought to present some stability for Jeudy, who may very nicely emerge as a top-10 broad receiver this yr. He is that gifted.
Heath: The Sony Michel commerce actually scared folks off of Darrell Henderson, who has fallen again into Spherical 6 in ADP. This makes me extra enthusiastic about Zero_RB builds as a result of I anticipate Henderson to be a strong RB2 for so long as he stays wholesome and there must be little doubt he has top-12 upside. This Rams offense has averaged 18 operating again touchdowns per season over the previous three years.
Who’s your favourite Spherical 7 (ADP 73-84) worth?
Adam: One other spherical with unbelievable WR worth. After I see that Chase Claypool, Tee Higgins, Ja’Marr Chase, Kenny Golladay, Courtland Sutton and Michael Thomas are nonetheless on the board right here, it makes me really feel higher if I skipped out on the WRs in Rounds 4-5. My favourite on this group is Higgins. In his previous six video games earlier than Joe Burrow’s damage, Higgins was on a 16-game tempo of 85 catches, 1,408 yards and 5 TDs on 123 targets. He reached 70 or extra receiving yards in 5 of these six video games. Sure, he has plenty of goal competitors, however Higgins would most likely have been a Spherical 3 or 4 decide in Fantasy if the Bengals had not drafted Chase. Getting Higgins in Spherical 7 is just too good to go up. Actually, all of those WRs may return nice worth and end within the Prime 20. When you’re contemplating beginning your crew with two RBs, the WRs obtainable in Spherical 7 ought to offer you extra confidence in that technique.
Dave: It is one factor to appear to be a rookie and have a few drops right here and there. It is one other whenever you’re a top-five total decide and your final 4 preseason targets are all dropped. However I am selecting to disregard the butterfingers in meaningless preseason video games (with three throws from a backup quarterback) and opting to go together with Ja’Marr Chase’s game-breaking talent set from his days with Joe Burrow at LSU. The type of pace and separation he had in faculty was on show within the preseason, simply with out the ball in his arms. Chase has the pedigree of a prime Fantasy receiver, however the narrative about how dangerous he is regarded has sunk his ADP. Take benefit — and if folks make enjoyable of you for taking Chase, you may remind them that in 2019, he had 121 targets and dropped 5 of them.
Jamey: Courtland Sutton made his return to the sphere in Denver’s third preseason recreation in opposition to the Rams after lacking final season with a torn ACL. He regarded good and completed with two catches for 27 yards and a landing on three targets. Hopefully he is wholesome all yr, and he ought to kind a prime tandem with Jeudy. And Sutton may simply be the Broncos’ finest receiver this season. The hope is Teddy Bridgewater can assist all of those guys, together with Noah Fant as nicely, however I really like Sutton’s value in Spherical 7 given his upside.
Chris: Michael Thomas (87.4). Let’s simply preserve chasing upside, and few broad receivers have greater than Thomas. I had him as a top-five WR earlier than his damage, and with Jameis Winston confirmed because the Saints starter, I nonetheless suppose he has that type of upside. Clearly, the damage injects a ton of threat — we noticed his ankle points derail his 2020 season — however when you will get final yr’s consensus No. 1 WR at 31 now, there isn’t any purpose to search for causes to not. Determine you may fill in for him till he is wholesome, and if he hits, you’ve got acquired a first-round caliber player.
Heath: Ja’Marr Chase’s slide down draft boards might not be full, he might fall into Spherical 8 in some drafts, and I am going to nonetheless be taking him. 4 preseason drops should not change your thoughts about him. Neither ought to reviews that his snaps is likely to be restricted early within the season. The identical factor occurred to Justin Jefferson and A.J. Brown early of their rookie seasons. Chase has league-winning upside within the second half even when he will get off to a gradual begin. Wager on the man who produced 1,780 yards and 20 TDs as a 19-year-old within the SEC.
So which sleepers, breakouts and busts do you have to goal and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five efficiency? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and discover out.
https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/soccer/news/fantasy-football-draft-prep-q-a-ffts-favorite-value-picks-to-target-in-rounds-3-7-of-your-drafts/ | Fantasy Soccer draft prep Q&A: FFT’s favourite worth picks to focus on in Rounds 3-7 of your drafts