Fantasy Football draft prep: Injuries could make Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Dak Prescott ADP values

There have been some distinguished issues that occurred within the NFL since our first take a look at the CBS Sports activities Common Draft Place final week here. Dak Prescott’s shoulder turned an issue, and the Colts acquired dangerous information about accidents to Carson Wentz and Quenton Nelson. Saquon Barkley’s timeline to return additionally acquired worse, and several other different gamers are battling nagging accidents.

It has led to some motion with the ADP, which exhibits you guys are reacting to the information. And that is factor. However you additionally do not wish to overreact initially of August. Generally, an harm can drive down a participant’s price ticket, and that would work in your favor.

For instance, because of Wentz and Nelson every present process foot surgical procedure, which may hold each out for the beginning of the season, Jonathan Taylor has dropped into Spherical 2 because the No. 14 general participant off the board. He is the No. 10 operating again, and that is a secure spot for him given the uncertainty of when his beginning quarterback and star offensive lineman will return.

However if you happen to inform me that I can get a participant with Taylor’s upside in Spherical 2, particularly if Wentz and, extra importantly, Nelson can return earlier than October then I am shopping for that every one day.

Ought to Taylor drop a number of spots behind guys like Nick Chubb and Austin Ekeler? Most likely. However that does not imply he is somebody to keep away from — not less than not but. If Wentz and Nelson are out till the tip of October or worse then it is a concern, however up to now the studies have been optimistic, not less than for Wentz.

Simply proceed to watch the ADP, and you’ll gauge for your self while you wish to purchase inventory in Taylor — or anybody for that matter. Keep in mind, the ADP is only a information. This isn’t a crutch that can assist you draft your Fantasy crew. If there is a participant you want, you needn’t anticipate his ADP to draft him.

That is simply draft room knowledge to point out you when gamers are being chosen within the majority of leagues on CBS Sports activities. You possibly can see all the record, damaged down by place right here.

Let’s check out another ADP speaking factors by place. Hopefully, there’s some issues you may study from this knowledge as we get nearer to your Draft Day.


The quarterback ADP appears to be like higher this week after our first glimpse of the info, though Patrick Mahomes continues to be going at 10.54 in Spherical 1. Final week, Josh Allen was a first-round decide, however he is fallen into Spherical 2 at 14.58. I would favor to draft Mahomes in Spherical 3 on the earliest, with Allen not less than one spherical later.

Lamar Jackson has moved forward of Justin Herbert into the No. 3 spot, and hopefully we’ll see Herbert proceed to slip. I just like the second-year quarterback quite a bit, however he should not be drafted within the prime 5 of his place as of now.

Kyler Murray is available in at No. 5, and Aaron Rodgers has moved as much as No. 6. It is easy to grasp why Rodgers is rising because the offseason drama of him wanting out of Inexperienced Bay is behind him, however I would not draft Rodgers at his ADP at 40.9.

Russell Wilson is the No. 7 quarterback in ADP, and Prescott has slipped to No. 8. He isn’t practising because of a shoulder pressure, however he plans to be prepared for Week 1. Following his ankle harm final season, Fantasy managers could be involved, however I’d be thrilled if Prescott’s ADP falls.

He is a top-five quarterback if wholesome, and so long as he is prepared for the beginning of the season, I will probably be focusing on Prescott quite a bit on Draft Day. 

Operating backs

The NFL Community reported that Barkley won’t play till Week 3 as he continues to get well from final 12 months’s knee harm, however that hasn’t scared off Fantasy managers. Barkley’s ADP stays within the first spherical at 10.83, and he is the fifth operating again off the board.

I am hopeful Barkley can return at full energy and be prepared for Week 1, however there ought to be some concern that he is nonetheless not 100%. I’d quite draft Aaron Jones, Ezekiel Elliott, Chubb and Ekeler forward of Barkley, however I nonetheless like Barkley as a top-15 general decide. Like Taylor, the extra Barkley slips on Draft Day, the higher it’s to your Fantasy crew.

Essentially the most fascinating group of operating backs this season are those being drafted from the center of Spherical 2 to the center of Spherical 5. These guys are Najee Harris (ADP of 19.25), Joe Mixon (21.19), D’Andre Swift (24.94), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (28.71), Antonio Gibson (31.0), J.K. Dobbins (31.58), David Montgomery (38.8), Chris Carson (41.67), Josh Jacobs (43.27), Miles Sanders (44.04), Travis Etienne (46.64), Mike Davis (52.64) and Myles Gaskin (56.22).

Harris and Mixon are worthy of second-round picks, and each have top-10 upside. I like Edwards-Helaire and Gibson as Spherical 2 picks, and each have breakout potential this 12 months. If you may get both one within the third spherical then contemplate {that a} steal.

Swift may also be a breakout candidate, however he’s beginning to make me nervous. The presence of Jamaal Williams, particularly within the passing recreation, may very well be an issue, and Swift missed observe time this week with an injured groin. Hopefully, it does not develop into something severe.

Dobbins can also be a breakout candidate, and I’d draft him in Spherical 2 in non-PPR (Spherical 3 in PPR). And I am beginning to come round on David Montgomery with the information of Tarik Cohen (knee) not near practising. 

Carson is a strong No. 2 operating again in Spherical 4, however Jacobs and Sanders really feel like bust candidates. Offseason competitors for each will probably be an issue, and these are two operating backs I are inclined to keep away from. I like Gaskin higher than each.

I would favor to draft Etienne and Davis in Spherical 5, and Etienne has extra upside in PPR. James Robinson may very well be an issue for Etienne, however he ought to be a big issue within the passing recreation.

Broad receivers

Justin Jefferson (shoulder) gave us a big scare at observe Friday, however he is anticipated to be tremendous. His ADP was regular by way of the weekend at 27.49 because the No. 6 huge receiver, however we’ll see if he begins to fall. Once more, he may find yourself as a cut price, and I’ve no downside drafting him in Spherical 3.

Julio Jones has additionally missed observe time this week with an undisclosed harm, however his ADP hasn’t modified both. He is being drafted in early Spherical 5 at 49.98 general because the No. 15 huge receiver, and that is a tremendous spot for him. But when he continues to overlook observe time then I’ll drop Jones behind Cooper Kupp (ADP of 53.85) and Tyler Lockett (54.96) in my rankings.  

Kenny Golladay (hamstring) is anticipated to overlook 2-3 weeks, and we’ll see what that does to his ADP. He is at present the No. 25 receiver off the board at 73.27. I do not thoughts Golladay in Spherical 7 in PPR, however I’d a lot quite have a number of guys going after him, together with Diontae Johnson (73.46), Tee Higgins (73.47), JuJu Smith-Schuster (75.31) and Chase Claypool (75.76), amongst others.

Marquise Brown’s ADP is at 114.42 because the No. 44 receiver off the board, and we’ll see if the hamstring harm he is coping with drops him even additional. Some guys going after him that I’d quite have embrace Jaylen Waddle (114.58), Antonio Brown (119.19), Michael Gallup (121.58), Mecole Hardman (130.26) and Mike Williams (135.0).

I additionally may see myself rating Rashod Bateman (136.09) forward of Brown if he continues to overlook time. Bateman will hopefully set up a fast rapport with Lamar Jackson, who’s again at observe after being positioned on the reserve/COVID-19 record.

Two different receivers it’s best to regulate who will probably be potential massive ADP risers embrace Elijah Moore (137.14) and Darnell Mooney (142.23). Each are having strong coaching camps, and each are sleepers I will probably be drafting quite a bit this 12 months.

Tight ends

The highest six tight ends are locked in, and solely an harm will transfer Travis Kelce (ADP of 10.58), George Kittle (24.66), Darren Waller (33.47), Kyle Pitts (50.49), Mark Andrews (52.54) and T.J. Hockenson (67.58) from these spots, no matter order. For me, I’ve it ranked Kelce, Waller, Kittle, Hockenson, Andrews and Pitts in PPR, with Andrews forward of Hockenson in non-PPR.

The following tight finish off the board is Dallas Goedert at 85.09, however that is the place Fantasy managers wrestle with the place. I hope the Eagles transfer Zach Ertz, which continues to be a risk, but when he stays in Philadelphia, it is exhausting to draft Goedert because the No. 7 tight finish.

I ranked the tight ends 7-12 based mostly on who I feel has probably the most upside, which incorporates Noah Fant (93.34), Adam Trautman (130.25), Irv Smith (119.17), Goedert, Logan Thomas (124.82) and Tyler Higbee (100.82) in PPR. In non-PPR, I’ve Smith forward of Fant.

As you may see, Smith, Trautman and Thomas are large worth picks this 12 months, which is why it’s best to wait on a good finish if you happen to miss on the highest three and even the highest six guys. I additionally like Jonnu Smith (141.42) at his worth, and he is my No. 13 tight finish no matter format. 

So which sleepers, breakouts and busts must you goal and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five efficiency? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and discover out. | Fantasy Soccer draft prep: Accidents may make Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Dak Prescott ADP values


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