Fact check: Are unvaccinated people 4X more likely than the fully vaccinated to catch COVID?

RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) — We’ve loads of numbers to strengthen what specialists have been saying for months: That whereas the COVID-19 vaccines don’t utterly eradicate the possibilities you’ll get sick, they drastically decrease that danger.

North Carolina Division of Well being and Human Companies Secretary Dr. Mandy Cohen earlier this week introduced up a brand new one.

THE CLAIM: Cohen mentioned state information present “unvaccinated individuals are greater than 4 instances — that’s 400 % — extra more likely to get COVID-19 than people who find themselves totally vaccinated.”

THE FACTS: That quantity hinges on the case fee — and with a purpose to determine it out, it’s essential know a number of numbers first.

NCDHHS up to now has launched two counts of breakthrough circumstances, or the variety of circumstances reported in totally vaccinated individuals.

Roughly 7,300 of them between Jan. 1 and July 22, and roughly 16,000 of them between Jan. 1 and Aug. 5. Subtracting them tells us there have been about 8,700 circumstances between July 22 and Aug. 5.


The entire variety of new circumstances reported between these two dates was 36,700, in keeping with the every day updates from DHHS. Taking out the 8,700 leaves 28,000 circumstances amongst these not totally vaccinated.

So now we have our separate counts of circumstances amongst vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. Now we have to know the way large these teams have been on the time.

NCDHHS says there have been 4.9 million totally vaccinated individuals as of Aug. 5, leaving 5.5 million who weren’t.


Then, we divide the variety of circumstances for every group by the whole variety of individuals in these teams, then multiply that by 10,000 to get the per capita case fee.


That fee for unvaccinated individuals is 66 circumstances per 10,000 individuals, in comparison with 18 circumstances per 10,000 individuals for totally vaccinated individuals — or, after some rounding, 4 instances bigger for the unvaccinated than the vaccinated.


CBS 17’s Joedy McCreary has been monitoring COVID-19 figures since March 2020, compiling information from federal, state and native sources to ship a transparent snapshot of what the coronavirus scenario appears like now and what it may appear to be sooner or later. | Truth test: Are unvaccinated individuals 4X extra seemingly than the totally vaccinated to catch COVID?


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