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Exclusive: Covid vaccines fail to reduce excess US mortality in 2021

Since the “breakfast pace” of launching a Covid vaccine in December 2020, Americans have repeatedly heard the chorus they are “safe and effective”. However, there is ample evidence that they “neither safe nor effective“In totality.

One of the most direct metrics for assessing the effectiveness of vaccines against the Covid virus, as well as variants such as Delta and Omicron, is excess mortality. While there are mask and lockdown regulations in place in 2020, vaccines have introduce on January 4, 2021. Therefore, it is a major new tool to combat Covid that was introduced in 2021. Thus, it provides an excellent proxy variable for assessing the impact on mortality rates. excessive death.

The Centers for Disease Control interprets the value of excess mortality when assessing all-cause mortality. This is relevant because we want to take a holistic approach to the effects of the Covid response, such as vaccination rates, as well as lockdowns, vaccine regulation, and regulation of the virus. mask.

“Estimates of excess deaths can provide information on the mortality burden that may be related to the COVID-19 pandemic, including those directly or indirectly attributable to COVID-19. The excess number of deaths is usually defined as the difference between the number of deaths observed during specific time periods and the number of expected deaths during the same time period”.

All-cause mortality is a bigger picture than just focusing on the excess mortality of Covid. This is because it helps us assess whether people are dying as a result of Covid response policies, such as rising suicide rates, missing out on important health checks. and other public health trade-offs.

What we found from the examination of the evidence provided by the CDC itself was that the vaccine did not reduce excess mortality; especially the percentage of excess deaths in each reporting period compared to the same period of the previous year.

NS CDC website shows excess mortality from 2018 to present (but expected average based on 6 years of data, CDC notes). Below are the excess mortality rates for each weekly reporting period.

As you can see, from January 2021 to the present, the peak is around the time of President Biden’s inauguration on January 20th, followed by a drop in the weekly death count, then a wave of The second occurs with a Delta variant spike.

While there’s no option available to directly compare weekly rates from year to year by percentage, you can download raw data and sort weekly reports to find these metrics.

Weekly average excess mortality, expressed as a percentage in 2020: 15.65% higher than average. In 2021, that number is 16.31% higher than the average.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also provided the overall excess mortality rate. NS OECD shows that the US has an excess death toll (% change from average) of -0.3% in 2020. This is so far 44.1% in 2021.

Interestingly, one can find excess mortality rates for other countries, provided by the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development). Let’s sample a few countries by year for Excessive Mortality (% Change vs. Average):

  • Australia: 0.5% (in 2020). 4.6% (in 2021)
  • Austria: -10.8% (in 2020). 8.4% (in 2021)
  • Iceland: 24.5% (in 2020). -1.7 (in 2021).
  • Germany: -1.8% (in 2020). 29.2 (in 2021).
  • Canada: 2% (in 2020). 9.9% (in 2021).

Let’s put under the microscope the countries that are notorious for opposing mandatory mask policies:

  • Sweden: -7.8% (in 2020). 16.7% (in 2021).
  • Denmark: -0.4% (in 2020). ten%. (In 2021).
  • Norway: -6.8% (in 2020). -10.3% (in 2021).

It is likely that 2021 ends up worse than 2020 in terms of all-cause excess mortality in many countries, regardless of the vaccine.

It further contextualizes this data to read new reports from the UK, which is more reliable and transparent with its data than the US, that ‘the UK Government’s own data does not support vaccine efficacy/safety claims.’ This conclusion was achieved by Norman Fenton of the University of London.

“In one previous post we argue that the most reliable long-term measure of the efficacy/safety of a Covid-19 vaccine is age-adjusted all-cause mortality,” wrote Fenton. “If, over a reasonably long period of time, fewer vaccinated people die from any cause, including Covid-19, than the unvaccinated, then we can conclude that the benefits of The vaccine outweighs the risk. We also show that, to avoid confounding effects of age, it is important to have data for each age group available and not aggregate data because, obviously, aggregated data can overstate vaccine mortality if more older people, with a shorter expected duration of mortality, are included. “

“NS The latest report of the Office for National Statistics on the mortality rate due to Covid vaccination status provides data on all deaths – Covid-related and non-Covid between January and July 2021 for unvaccinated and other vaccinated populations (‘within 21 days of first dose’, ’21 days or more after first dose’,” second dose’), “he noted before providing his analysis.

“It turns out that, even using this age-adjusted mortality rate, mortality is currently higher among vaccinated individuals than in unvaccinated individuals,” concludes Fenton. .


“The age-adjusted mortality rates for unvaccinated cases for the weeks 1 to 26 of 2021 are graphed below. Overall, the graph shows that, over time, the weighted mortality rate for those vaccinated has steadily increased, and by week 16 (April 23, 2021), has surpassed this rate for to the unvaccinated,” commented Fenton.

Fenton also referenced the data to show that there was a significant difference in all-cause mortality when classified by vaccination status.

“When the ONS data broke down the data over time for the three immunizations (those within 21 days of the first dose, 21 days after the first dose, and those after two doses), we were also able to plot mortality for each of these categories,” noted Fenton. “The mortality rate, for week 26, through July 2nd, for the unvaccinated is about 25 deaths per 100,000.”

“But there is a big difference between the mortality rates of different types of vaccination deaths,” he added. “For example, for people 21 days after the first dose, the equivalent mortality rate is about 89 deaths per 100,000 people (a number that has increased sharply since January), while for those given two doses had about 15 deaths per 100,000 people in the same July period. ”

Matthew Crawford, a statistician who analyzed the numbers, conclude that “United Kingdom Data Modeling Shows No All Cause Death Benefit for Covid-19 Vaccine”:

“Are vaccinated people going to die at two to three times the rate of unvaccinated people in the UK as Alex Berenson’s recent article suggests? ‘ Crawford asked.

“Let’s be clear: Alex Berenson done brilliantly and bravely during the pandemic. I follow his work and recommend you do the same. He certainly digs into the data better than most journalists, although we shouldn’t expect him to be everything and everything. He doesn’t have to be perfect and you don’t have to agree on everything to understand how important his work is.. I’m writing this before I analyze the data. However, I will note that my first instinct is to think [twice] The vaccinated cohort have an older age profile than the Unvaccinated cohort. So we Candlestick expect to see a higher death rate than all causes in that group. This means that what we are seeing is the illusion of data aggregation commonly known as Simpson’s Paradox, which I wrote several times before (here and here),” Crawford commented. Then statisticians dug into the UK numbers.

“Alex” [Berenson] was wrong to suggest that the data was visible prima facie higher mortality in the vaccinated cohort due to vaccines,” commented Crawford. “However, the result is quite interesting! It’s hard to look at these graphs and it’s easy to determine which cohort has a higher mortality rate in the mid-2021 months! So I took the excess mortality from each cohort for each week, and accumulated and charted them”:

“The cumulative trends go back and forth and it seems reasonable to dismiss any difference as statistical noise. But when we calculated the smallest overall benefit observed at the end of 28 weeks for the vaccinated group, there were only 5 deaths per million doses (more than $6 million per life saved). ),” Crawford concluded.

Let’s be clear: This is not an ‘anti-vaccination’ article. I took the Covid photos and the results are good. Millions of people may not have had that experience. But the one-size-fits-all approach to universal immunization is flawed because it ignores the diversity of risks for different ages and health profiles, as well as the potential for natural immunity. The CDC estimates that between 146.6 million and 190 million people have had a ‘pre-infection’ and survived, thus possessing natural immunity.

New guidance that Americans should receive a “booster” when they have completed the initial series of Covid shots to be “fully vaccinated” earlier this year is an implicit admission of failure. Announced that vaccine companies are contemplating a “relaunch“Doing the Omicron variation is like an admission of failure. Vaccines may be available save Thousands of people’s lives are at stake, but the damage that Covid’s policies have done to the nation as a whole is dire.

Furthermore, preventive therapy is marketed as a “vaccine”. Don’t stop the spread. Therefore, the rationale behind promulgating vaccine regulations as a matter of “public health” policy is questionable. Ethically, the decision to take any medication is not between the patient and the doctor.

Overall, the Covid response policies that are attributed to experts have failed miserably. The data backs up this review.

https://smartzune.com/exclusive-covid-vaccines-failed-to-lower-americas-excess-mortality-rates-in-2021/ Exclusive: Covid vaccines fail to reduce excess US mortality in 2021

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