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Cowboys at Buccaneers picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for ‘Thursday Night Football’ in Week 1

Nicely, we made it. The 2021 NFL common season is lastly right here because the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to do battle from Raymond James Stadium on Thursday evening. In fact, this recreation has no scarcity of storylines. 

On one aspect you have got the Bucs, who’re coming into this 12 months because the defending Super Bowl champions. After an unprecedented offseason the place they retained all 22 starters from that championship-winning squad, Tampa Bay is now seeking to change into the primary workforce for the reason that 2003-04 Patriots — additionally quarterbacked by Tom Brady — to repeat as Tremendous Bowl champions. As for the Cowboys, Thursday marks the return of quarterback Dak Prescott, who missed the majority of final season after struggling a horrific ankle damage. Dallas is at present checked out as the favourite within the NFC East and a wholesome Prescott for a full common season may assist them dwell as much as that hype. 

Beneath, we will be diving into all of the betting angles that this recreation has to supply, so sit again, loosen up and let’s comb over how we are able to make some cash as we welcome again the NFL for the 2021 season.  

All NFL odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

Easy methods to watch

Date: Thursday, Sept. 9 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Comply with: CBS Sports App
Odds: Bucs -8.5, O/U 51.5

Line motion

Newest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-8.5

Again in Might, this line opened at Buccaneers -6 and the defending champions have solely elevated their benefit all through the summer season. Tampa Bay was at most a 9.5-point favourite in mid-to-late July however dipped again right down to -7.5 by the beginning of recreation week. As this week has progressed, the Bucs have grown to an 8.5-point favourite on the eve of their face to face. 

The choose: Buccaneers -8.5. Tampa has solely added to what was a championship-winning workforce from a 12 months in the past, so it is comprehensible why they’re such heavy favorites on this matchup. It additionally does not harm that the Bucs protection could have a better time disrupting Prescott on this recreation as beginning guard Zack Martin is slated to overlook this contest after touchdown on the COVID-19 reserve record. In the meantime, the Buccaneers offense towards a suspect Cowboys secondary is a transparent mismatch. Final season, Dallas ranked twenty first within the NFL in DVOA towards the cross and is not anticipated to be drastically improved in 2021. 

Key development: Cowboys are 0-4 ATS of their final 4 September contests

Complete: O/U 51.5

Newest Odds:

Over 51.5

Traditionally, there’s a case for the Below to hit right here. The Below is 4-1 in Dallas’ earlier 5 Week 1 matchups. As for the Buccaneers, the Below is 5-2 of their final seven house video games. From a current head-to-head outlook, the Below is 5-0 of their final 5 conferences towards each other. A believable situation for this to unfold could possibly be the Buccaneers exploiting the Cowboys secondary early, making a lead and controlling the clock all through the remainder of the sport with a stable working assault.  

Dak Prescott props

  • Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -160, Below +130)
  • Passing yards: 295.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
  • Speeding yards: 12.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
  • Move makes an attempt: 40.5 (Over -105, Below -125)
  • Completions: 25.5 (Over -125, Below -105)
  • Longest cross completion: 38.5 (Over -120, Below -110)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -125, Below -105)

Within the 4 full video games Prescott performed final season earlier than taking place with that ankle damage within the midst of Dallas’ Week 5 contest with the Giants, the Cowboys quarterback was on a ridiculous clip, averaging 50.3 cross makes an attempt per recreation and 34.3 completions. He was additionally averaging 422.5 yards per recreation and over two passing touchdowns. If he picks up proper the place he left off, he is smashing the Over on all these totals. That stated, it is arduous to essentially anticipate Prescott — who didn’t play in any respect this preseason largely resulting from an damage to his throwing shoulder — to dwell as much as these totals. 

Out of those props, the Below 295.5 passing yards at -115 is the one price focusing on. Tampa Bay’s protection is extraordinarily stout and will be capable of restrict Prescott’s affect by way of the air for the majority of the competition. Whereas he was on a file tempo to start 2020, Prescott hit this Over simply seven occasions (43.7%) throughout his 16 video games performed throughout the 2019 season. 

Tom Brady props

  • Passing touchdowns: 2.5 (Over +140, Below -170)
  • Passing yards: 305.5 (Over, -115, Below -115)
  • Move makes an attempt: 38.5 (Over -125, Below -105)
  • Completions: 25.5 (Over +100, Below -130)
  • Longest cross completion: 39.5 (Over -110, Below -120)
  • Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -110, Below -120)

Brady’s numbers had been spectacular for it being his first season with the Buccaneers, however I do assume it will get misplaced as to simply how snug he grew to become inside this offense. Over his ultimate 9 video games (together with playoffs) to shut out final season, Brady accomplished 64.1% of his passes for two,739 yards, 25 touchdowns, and simply six picks. Once you challenge that over a full 17-game schedule, Brady could be taking a look at over 5,100 yards passing and round 47 touchdowns. After a extra conventional offseason to arrange for the common season, I anticipate Brady and Co. to return out of the gate scorching, particularly when squaring up towards a Dallas secondary that struggled mightily in 2020. Give me the Over 305.5 passing yards at -115. 

Player props to think about

Ezekiel Elliott anytime landing (+113): To start the 2020 season, Elliott scored six whole touchdowns over the primary 5 video games. He is the go-to player for the Cowboys because the goal-line again and has proven the flexibility to be a scoring menace within the passing recreation as properly. 

Ezekiel Elliott 20.5 receiving yards: Over  20.5 (-120). Within the 4 full video games with Prescott to start final season, Elliott averaged 7.5 targets, 5.8 receptions, and 39.8 receiving yards per recreation. 

Chris Godwin 57.5 receiving yards: Over 57.5 (-120). Of the 16 video games (together with playoffs) performed with Brady final season, Godwin hit the Over on this whole 9 occasions. 

Mike Evans 4.5 receptions: Over 4.5 (+120). Within the 20 video games (together with playoffs) Evans has performed with Brady, he has appeared his method a complete of 131 occasions which comes out to a mean of 6.55 targets per recreation. Evans solely went over this whole 9 occasions in these 20 video games final 12 months, but when he is getting stable quantity and is environment friendly towards a poor Dallas secondary, this could possibly be a robust worth play.  



https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/cowboys-at-buccaneers-picks-point-spread-total-player-props-trends-for-thursday-night-football-in-week-1/ | Cowboys at Buccaneers picks: Level unfold, whole, player props, traits for ‘Thursday Night time Soccer’ in Week 1

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