Contrarian Traders Ought to Love Rising Markets

Given the sharp divergence in earnings progress since 2010, the U.S. might look like the higher place to speculate, even when all out there earnings numbers are thought of. Earnings progress, in any case, is a key part of inventory returns, and the U.S. is producing extra of it. Assuming analysts’ estimates for this 12 months and subsequent are dependable, the S&P 500 could have grown earnings 7.3% a 12 months from 1995 to 2022, in contrast with simply 4.4% a 12 months for rising markets. If U.S. corporations have been to keep up that lead, all else equal, anticipated returns can be 2.9 proportion factors a 12 months greater within the U.S. than in rising markets. | Contrarian Traders Ought to Love Rising Markets


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