The Indianapolis Colts have rectified an 0-3 begin to win three of their final 4 video games and emerge as a darkish horse within the AFC playoff race. Whereas Indianapolis is just not one of many 11 AFC groups at present over .500, the Colts proceed to surge behind the play of Carson Wentz and Jonathan Taylor.
In come the Jacksonville Jaguars, winners of two of their final three video games after dropping 20 consecutive video games relationship again to final season. Jacksonville has misplaced 12 straight highway video games, one shy of matching the longest streak in franchise historical past — making Sunday’s take a look at towards Indianapolis all of the tougher. The Jaguars are coming off one of many greatest upsets of the season in beating the Buffalo Bills, a workforce thought of a Super Bowl contender to come back out of the convention.
Can the Colts get to .500 for the primary time this yr? Will the Jaguars snap their highway dropping streak? Here is a preview of Sunday’s AFC South conflict.
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Jonathan Taylor vs. Jaguars run protection
Feels odd it is a key matchup given the success of Taylor this yr. Making his case as the very best operating again in soccer, Taylor has 821 yards and eight dashing touchdowns in 9 video games this yr, averaging 5.9 yards per carry. He additionally leads the league with 1,114 yards from scrimmage, rising as the largest menace within the Colts offense.
The Jaguars run protection is among the finest within the league, permitting 3.8 yards per carry (third within the NFL). Jacksonville can counter Taylor’s robust aspect when he carries the ball, permitting simply 3.2 yards per carry when operating backs go to their proper (fourth-fewest in NFL). Taylor averages 6.6 yards per carry when going to his proper, the very best within the NFL.
Colts third-down protection
Indianapolis has not been a great workforce on third down in current weeks. The Colts have allowed their opponents to transform on 44% of their third-down alternatives since Week 6, the eighth-highest fee within the NFL. They will have a chance to rectify that towards Jacksonville, which has a league-worst 29.8% conversion fee on third down.
A part of the failure on third down has been Trevor Lawrence, who has accomplished 43.1% of his passes for 362 yards with one landing to 1 interception (57.8 ranking). Lawrence is simply 13 of 33 on third downs of seven yards or larger.
Indianapolis cannot take Jacksonville evenly, because the Jaguars have gained two of their final three video games — beating Buffalo of their final assembly. Nonetheless, the Colts may be capable to take benefit towards Jacksonville’s protection within the passing recreation. Jacksonville performs largely a zone protection and Wentz has accomplished 68% of his passes towards the zone this yr. This has the makings of a recreation Wentz throws for 3 touchdowns.
Colts 31, Jaguars 20
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