College football picks, games, odds for Week 4: Texas A&M, Iowa State, UCLA on upset alert

Week 4 actually will get faculty soccer cooking as the vast majority of the game heads into convention play. With three weeks beneath our belts, we should always have a greater concept of the place everybody stands. However whether or not it is Indiana touring to a difficult Convention USA locale or a Mountain West college quietly making its triumphant return to rivalry, there’s chaos to be discovered. 

Every week, I am going to carry you 5 potential upsets based mostly on favorable matchups, exterior components or simply good outdated trend intestine really feel. For optimum upset impact, we’ll attempt to hold our upset picks exterior of a area aim’s price of distinction – the larger, the higher. These video games can come from anyplace on the FBS schedule. 

Lock Pod: The Cowl 3 crew break down Week 4 slate and provides picks for Wisconsin-Notre Dame, Texas A&M-Arkansas, Oklahoma-West Virginia, Clemson-NC State, Prime 25 upsets and underdog picks of the week

Our first week of picks received off to a promising begin, however with some unhealthy beats on the finish. Notre Dame operating again Kyren Williams ran for a 51-yard landing to place the sport in opposition to Purdue away – and wreck the plain cowl. On the choose facet, we’d have been above .500 if solely I had been assured sufficient to choose Michigan State and Fresno State outright. 

Week 3 Total
ATS 2-3 2-3
S/U 1-4 1-4

Alas, the one option to make up for it’s to make extra good picks. Right here we go! 

Essential disclaimer: “upset” is decided by Caesars Sportsbook odds, not rankings. All instances ET.

When: Saturday, 12 p.m. | The place: Logan, Utah

Featured Sport | Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos

Why it is listed: Heading into the season, a two-score line made excellent sense. The Aggies have careened downhill since Matt Wells left for Texas Tech – till now. Blake Anderson has the Aggies taking part in explosive, impressed soccer in his first season. Utah State is off to a 3-0 begin with wins over Washington State and a stable Air Force workforce. 

Star extensive receiver Deven Thompkins leads the nation with 454 yards receiving and can present essentially the most harmful talent expertise this Boise State unit has confronted to date. However maybe the most important key to pulling off the upset comes up entrance. Boise State averages simply 2.1 yards per carry. Utah State has given up greater than 5 yards per carry in every of its two FBS video games. One thing’s received to present. If this recreation turns into a shootout, Utah State can sustain. 

ATS: Utah State, SU: Boise State

When: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. | The place: Waco, Texas

Featured Sport | Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Why it is listed: By means of three video games, Iowa State has but to appear like the highest 10 workforce we had been promised coming into the 12 months. The Cyclones mustered simply 16 factors in opposition to FCS Northern Iowa and 17 in opposition to No. 10 Iowa earlier than dropping 48 in opposition to UNLV. The protection has been robust, however persistently inconsistent play from quarterback Brock Purdy has made a multitude of issues. 

Baylor has but to play a significant opponent, however enhancements on the offensive line look encouraging. The Bears quietly have the nation’s top-rated offense by way of three video games and are averaging 8.1 yards per play. It is unlikely that quantity retains up in opposition to the Huge 12’s higher defenses, however the Bears lastly have a reliable offense to enhance one of many Huge 12’s higher defenses. If issues proceed to click on, Baylor could make a press release Saturday. 

ATS: Baylor, SU: Iowa State

When: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. | The place: Arlington, Texas

Featured Sport | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Why it is listed: Texas A&M missed two of its beginning offensive linemen in opposition to New Mexico and the outcomes weren’t encouraging. Towards one of many worst groups within the FBS, the Aggies allowed 4 sacks and earned a go blocking grade of simply 51.5 per PFF. Each starters are thought-about day-to-day and must be again this week. But when there is a workforce that you do not wish to face with questions within the trenches, it is Arkansas. 

The Razorbacks common 7.7 tackles for loss per recreation, together with a whopping 10 in opposition to Texas in a 40-21 upset in Week 2. They made the sport so tough that Texas pulled its younger starter for an skilled backup to cease the bleeding. Whether or not Arkansas can pull off the upset comes down as to whether QB KJ Jefferson can persistently stretch out an Aggies protection that leads the nation in passing protection. If Jefferson passes the check, Arkansas has a path to victory.  

ATS: Arkansas, SU: Texas A&M

When: Saturday, 6 p.m. | The place: Palo Alto, California

Featured Sport | Stanford Cardinal vs. UCLA Bruins

Why it is listed: Stanford has quietly been a special workforce since former blue-chip recruit Tanner McKee took the reins at quarterback. McKee threw Stanford’s lone landing in his remaining drive in opposition to Kansas State after which led wins over Energy 5 foes then-No. 14 USC and Vanderbilt in back-to-back weeks. Stanford has averaged 7.3 yards per play in McKee’s two begins. 

Now, the Cardinal face off in opposition to an overrated UCLA workforce reeling after blowing a number of late leads in opposition to Fresno State. Towards the Bulldogs, the Bruins went away from their elite run recreation and put the sport on QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson‘s shoulders. Stanford hasn’t been nice in opposition to the run, but when they’ll get UCLA off schedule, the offense has been constant sufficient with McKee on the helm to goad UCLA into urgent. 

ATS: Stanford, SU: Stanford

When: Saturday, 8 p.m. | The place: Bowling Inexperienced, Kentucky

Featured Sport | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Why it is listed: It has been a disappointing begin to 2021 for Indiana to say the least. After coming into the 12 months ranked No. 17, the Hoosiers have losses to No. 18 Iowa and No. 8 Cincinnati on the schedule with a matchup in opposition to No. 6 Penn State developing in per week. A highway journey to Western Kentucky might very properly be the form of weird lookahead recreation that might rapidly sneak up on even a proficient Huge Ten squad. 

If you do not know the identify Bailey Zappe, be taught it. The WKU quarterback transferred from Houston Baptist over the offseason – together with the HBU offensive coordinator and three excellent receivers. Zappe ranks No. 2 nationally in passing yards per recreation, together with 435 yards and three touchdowns in opposition to Army. If Western Kentucky’s offense will get off to a sizzling begin, Indiana might rapidly discover themselves careening down the Hill. 

ATS: Western Kentucky, SU: Western Kentucky

Which college football picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 4, and which Prime 25 favourite goes down onerous? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a confirmed pc mannequin that has returned nearly $3,000 in revenue over the previous five-plus seasons — and discover out. | Faculty soccer picks, video games, odds for Week 4: Texas A&M, Iowa State, UCLA on upset alert


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