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College football odds: Miami, Penn State among best win total bets to make ahead of 2021 season

With the school soccer season kicking off in lower than two weeks, it is previous time to begin fascinated by some wagering choices for the 2021 marketing campaign. Whereas hammering the over on the season win whole in your alma mater is one strategy, it won’t be essentially the most financially savvy technique for these really trying to flip a revenue.

To assist followers determine among the finest win whole bets in college football, the oldsters at SportsLine got here up with suggestions primarily based on 1000’s of normal season simulations. Letting the computer systems information your cash is a greater choice than counting on blind instinct and hatred of your faculty’s rivals.

So what are among the finest season win whole bets in school soccer? The picks beneath take us everywhere in the nation, together with into Group of 5 territory and away from among the extra polarizing performs involving the game’s prime tier. However for these primarily in energy convention motion, there are some ACC and Massive Ten performs to ponder as properly. 

Under is the complete listing of the very best win whole bets to make primarily based on SportsLine simulations by analyst Stephen Oh with team-by-team breakdowns offered by Jacob Fetner.

Prime Unders

Akron beneath 2.5 wins (-160)

Projected Document: 1.7-10.3

Akron is a mixed 1-17 over the past two seasons with the Zips’ lone win final season coming at dwelling in opposition to a Bowling Inexperienced staff that completed 0-5. Akron does play FCS Bryant at dwelling, which ought to give them one win, but it surely’s very troublesome to see them successful two different video games. Our sims have Akron-Bowling Inexperienced as a 50-50 sport, however this assembly is in Bowling Inexperienced this season. In Akron’s different 10 video games, we’ve them successful in lower than 10% of simulations. Getting QB Kato Nelson again might make them higher, however I see them as a max two-win staff this season. The MAC has a bunch of stable groups this 12 months, but it surely’s clear that Akron and Bowling Inexperienced are on the backside. Video games at Auburn in Week 1 and at Ohio State in Week 2 will not assist construct any confidence heading into convention play.

Appalachian State beneath 9 wins (-110)

Projected Document: 8.3-3.7

App State has had a minimum of 9 wins in each season since 2015, however I like this wager as a result of I feel if the beneath does not hit there’s a good probability that it pushes. Final season, Shawn Clark turned App State’s third coach in three seasons and went 9-3 in his first season, however he had the good thing about a three-year starter at QB in Zac Thomas on his roster. The Mountaineers went 8-3 within the common season and had single-digit victories over each Georgia Southern and Georgia State as properly. This season, App State has highway video games at Miami, Louisiana and Georgia State, and so they even have video games in opposition to Coastal Carolina and Marshall on the schedule. App State returns a ton of manufacturing, however the lack of Thomas is large. Former Clemson and Duke QB Chase Brice seems to be just like the attainable starter this season, however his 10-15 TD-INT ratio is regarding. I feel 8-4 or 9-3 is probably going, however I do not see them successful 10 video games. The beneath is the secure wager right here and a great worth.

Arkansas beneath 5.5 wins (-115)

Projected Document: 5.2-6.8

Arkansas began to show issues round final season, however regardless that they seemed a lot improved, they completed simply 3-7. The Razorbacks have 4 wins or much less in 4 consecutive seasons, so successful 6+ video games can be fairly the turnaround. The Razorbacks have three comparatively simple nonconference video games in opposition to Rice, Georgia Southern and Arkansas Pine-Bluff, however their different 9 video games come in opposition to SEC opponents and Texas. The Razorbacks do return most of their starters on each side of the ball, nonetheless. They need to exchange QB Feleipe Franks, however KJ Jefferson seems to be like a greater than ample choice. Your complete OL returns and must be robust provided that second-year coach Sam Pittman was a longtime OL coach. Even with all these items returning, a leap from three to 6 wins is difficult to attain, particularly with a staff that hasn’t had a lot success. Six video games come in opposition to Texas, Alabama, Texas A&M, LSU, Georgia and Ole Miss, so they’re probably going to must beat Auburn, Mississippi State and Missouri to achieve six wins. I feel 5-7 is the almost certainly consequence for this staff and like the percentages at -115.

California beneath 6 wins (-120)

Projected Document: 5.3-6.7

California has been among the best defensive groups within the nation since coach Justin Wilcox took over, however the offense has struggled to be constantly productive. The Golden Bears scored simply 20 PPG final season and went 1-3. Cal went 8-5 in 2019, however 5 of these wins have been by 10 factors or much less. This season, they’ve two robust nonconference video games at dwelling in opposition to Nevada and on the highway at TCU to kick off the season. Cal additionally has convention highway video games at Washington, Oregon, Stanford and UCLA this season. Our sims have Cal being a five-win staff, and I feel that appears about appropriate when going by way of the schedule. Six wins and a push may be very attainable, however I do not see this staff going 7-5.

Georgia Tech beneath 5 wins (-110)

Projected Document: 3.8-8.2

Georgia Tech is coming off back-to-back three-win seasons, however they’ve some pleasure surrounding this system with the younger offensive expertise on the staff. QB Jeff Sims and RB Jahmyr Gibbs is a enjoyable tandem within the backfield, however they’ve plenty of work minimize out for them if they’re going to win 5+ video games. After beginning off the season with video games they need to win in opposition to Northern Illinois and Kennesaw State, the Yellow Jackets play Clemson after which at UNC to kick off ACC play. They play convention highway video games at Clemson, Duke, Virginia, Miami and Notre Dame, after which end the season with a sport in opposition to Georgia. After beginning 2-2 final season, GT went simply 1-5 to shut out the season. I might see them enhancing this 12 months and successful 4 video games, however I feel they’re a minimum of a 12 months away from placing up 5+ wins.

Maryland beneath 6.0 wins (-125)

Projected Document: 3.4-8.6

Maryland’s hype coming into the season facilities round Taulia Tagovailoa being the QB, however his four-game pattern dimension is small and had only one landing to 6 interceptions in opposition to precise good defenses in Northwestern and Indiana final season. The Terps’ main returning rusher had simply 86 yards final season, and so they misplaced a ton of linemen to the switch portal this offseason. In seven years between Maryland and New Mexico, coach Mike Locksley has a mixed 8-43 document. I simply do not see how the oddsmakers have the road at six wins. Whereas I feel they may do higher than the three.4 wins our sims mission, I simply do not see them successful greater than 5 video games.

Miami beneath 9.5 wins (-155)

Projected Document: 7.7-4.3

The Hurricanes went 8-3 final season and seemed like a very completely different staff with D’Eriq King at QB, however this line appears too excessive for me. Miami began 8-1 final season earlier than getting blown out at dwelling in opposition to UNC after which shedding of their bowl sport to Oklahoma State, but it surely additionally had very shut calls in opposition to NC State, Virginia and Virginia Tech final season. The Hurricanes open this season in opposition to Alabama in Atlanta after which additionally play UNC on the highway later within the season. Assuming they lose each of these video games, there’s a very small margin of error if they’re going to go 10-2.

Penn State beneath 9 wins (-130)

Projected Document: 7.8-4.2

After beginning final season 0-5, the Nittany Lions completed the season with 4 consecutive wins to go 4-5 within the shortened season. Penn State does have 11 wins in three of the final 5 seasons, however I feel it is a most nine-win staff, and that’s if Sean Clifford performs like he did in 2019 quite than how he performed in 2020. Penn State opens the season at Wisconsin after which has a nonconference sport in opposition to Auburn in Week 3. The Nittany Lions even have highway video games at Iowa and at Ohio State, plus Ball State in Week 2 of the season shouldn’t be going to be a cakewalk. I feel that is an eight-to-nine-win staff and the beneath is a secure wager.

Prime Overs

BYU over 6.5 wins (-130)

Projected Document: 9-3

Whereas BYU misplaced No. 2 general draft decide QB Zach Wilson and can have a way more troublesome schedule, I’m shocked that the road is at simply 6.5 wins. A giant purpose for the Cougars’ success final season was their robust protection which ranked 4th within the nation at 15.3 OPPG, and their protection must be very robust this season led by a terrific LB group. The offense did lose Wilson and a handful of beginning O-Linemen, however the Cougars return a ton of key skill-position gamers together with RB Tyler Allgeier and three of their top-four main receivers from final season. At QB, Jaren Corridor seems to be to be the favourite to win the beginning job, however they’ve stable depth behind him as properly if he does not work out. I feel BYU seems to be like an eight-win staff this season.

Arkansas State over 3.5 wins (-160)

Projected Document: 5.2-6.8

The final time Arkansas State had lower than 4 wins was all the best way again in 2004. Butch Jones takes over as coach, and whereas he did not have the success that Tennessee followers hoped he would have, he did lead the Vols to nine-win seasons in two of his final three seasons. He spent the previous couple of seasons on Nick Saban’s workers at Alabama, which may solely have helped him turn out to be a greater coach. The Pink Wolves added a handful of Energy 5 transfers this offseason and have already got key items returning equivalent to QB Layne Hatcher and RB Marcel Murray. I feel this staff ought to win 4 video games this season.

Charlotte over 4.5 wins (-120)

Projected Document: 5.9-6.1

Charlotte had shedding seasons in its first 4 seasons after making the leap to the FBS earlier than Will Healy took over as coach and led them to seven wins in his first season. The 49ers went simply 2-4 however performed six highway video games as they handled COVID, so I am prepared to throw out the outcomes. Charlotte returns eight starters on offense together with fifth-year senior QB Chris Reynolds. The protection misplaced extra items, however they added a handful of Energy 5 transfers which ought to assist. Taking a look at their schedule, Charlotte has a comparatively simple slate taking part in within the Solar Belt, and the 2 Energy 5 groups it performs, Duke and Illinois, are beatable. I feel it is a five-to-six-win staff.

Illinois over 3.5 wins (-145)

Projected Document: 4.7-7.3

Bret Bielema returns to the Massive Ten the place he had a ton of success with Wisconsin. Bielema’s time within the SEC was much less profitable, however he led Arkansas to 3 bowl video games in 5 seasons. Arkansas has simply seven wins mixed within the three seasons since they fired Bielema. Illinois does have the items on its roster to have success, however whether or not or not they present up on Saturdays shall be essential. They’ve an skilled quarterback in Brandon Peters, a gifted RB1 in Chase Brown and probably the most underrated OL teams in school soccer. The protection regressed a ton final season, however LB Jake Hansen and his 242 profession tackles returns for his ultimate season of eligibility. Michigan, Michigan State and Ohio State are all noticeably absent from the Illini’s schedule, whereas Northwestern, Rutgers, Charlotte, Maryland, UTSA and Nebraska are all winnable dwelling video games in response to our sims. I feel Bielema can put up 4 or 5 wins in his first season at Illinois.

SMU over 6.0 wins (-150)

Projected Document: 8.5-3.5

That is one other line that I simply do not perceive very a lot. The juice is on the over, however I am shocked the road is not at seven wins. The Mustangs are 17-6 over the past two seasons. Shane Buechele is gone however SMU brings in Oklahoma switch Tanner Mordecai, who’s the favourite to be named the starter. Mordecai competed for the beginning job at Oklahoma earlier than shedding the battle to Spencer Rattler, however he might breakout at SMU like Buechele did after transferring in from Texas. The Mustangs are loaded with talent gamers round Buechele. RB Ulysses Bentley, WR Reggie Roberson, WR Danny Grey, WR Rashee Rice and one other Oklahoma switch, TE Grant Calcaterra, ought to make for an explosive offense. They begin the season with three very winnable video games in opposition to Abilene Christian, North Texas and Louisiana Tech earlier than dealing with off in opposition to TCU. I feel it is a seven-to-eight-win staff, and I just like the probabilities of a push if the over does not hit.

Western Kentucky over 5.5 wins (-105)

Projected Document: 6.7-5.3

WKU struggled out of the gate final season however gained three out of its final 4 video games to shut the season. The Hilltoppers managed to win 5 video games final season regardless of rating a hundred and fifteenth in scoring out of 128 groups at simply 19.0 PPG. Tyson Helton introduced in offensive coordinator Zach Kittley over from Houston Baptist alongside along with his QB, Bailey Zappe, who averaged 415 yards/sport in 4 video games final season. Kittley was an assistant at Texas Tech when Patrick Mahomes was the QB and may have a enjoyable air raid assault at Western Kentucky. WKU additionally adopted a brand new tactic of getting a recruiting class comprised of largely transfers. I feel that would repay, and I would not be shocked in the event that they end at or close to the highest of the Convention USA. I really like the over right here.



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