Chiefs vs. Bills odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from proven model on 124-82 run

The Kansas City Chiefs entered the 2021 NFL season having misplaced a complete of six common season video games over the earlier two campaigns. 5 of the defeats – together with each of their setbacks in 2020 – got here at dwelling, with 4 of them being by fewer than 9 factors. One among Kansas Metropolis’s two losses this yr came about in its personal stadium, additionally by only one rating. The Chiefs (2-2) hope to supply a greater lead to Week 5 as they host the Buffalo Bills (3-1) on Sunday Night time Soccer. 

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is about for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas Metropolis is a three-point favourite within the newest Chiefs vs. Payments odds from Caesars Sportsbook, whereas the over-under for complete factors scored is 56.5. Earlier than locking in any Payments vs. Chiefs picks and NFL predictions, see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The mannequin, which simulates each NFL recreation 10,000 occasions, is up virtually $7,900 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years in the past. It went a scorching 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks final season, returning greater than $800. The mannequin additionally enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an unimaginable 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season.

The mannequin additionally ranked within the prime 10 on NFLPickWatch 4 of the previous 5 years on straight-up NFL picks and beat greater than 94 % of CBS Sports activities Soccer Choose’em gamers 4 occasions throughout that span. Anybody who has adopted it’s manner up.

Now, the mannequin has set its sights on Bills vs. Chiefs. You’ll be able to head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, listed below are a number of NFL betting lines and tendencies for Chiefs vs. Payments:

  • Chiefs vs. Payments unfold: Kansas Metropolis -3
  • Chiefs vs. Payments over-under: 56.5 factors
  • Chiefs vs. Payments cash line: Kansas Metropolis -150, Buffalo +130
  • KC: The Chiefs are 1-7 in opposition to the unfold of their final eight dwelling video games
  • BUF: The Payments are 1-5 ATS of their final six conferences with Kansas Metropolis

Featured Sport | Kansas Metropolis Chiefs vs. Buffalo Payments

Why Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs can cowl

Kansas Metropolis is second within the NFL in complete offense (427.5 yards) and ranks first in yards per play (6.9) and touchdowns by the air (14). Patrick Mahomes threw 5 of them within the Chiefs’ 42-30 victory at Philadelphia final Sunday as he improved to 40-10 as a starter within the league. The previous NFL MVP joined Corridor-of-Famer Ken Stabler (40-9-1) as the one quarterbacks through the Super Bowl period to win 40 of their first 50 profession begins.

Mahomes was spectacular in final season’s victories in opposition to Buffalo in Week 6 of the common season and the AFC Championship Sport. The 26-year-old accomplished 50-of-64 cross makes an attempt for 550 yards with 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions within the two triumphs. Mahomes threw for 325 yards within the postseason victory, with 290 of them gained by Tyreek Hill (172) and tight finish Travis Kelce (118), who hauled in two of the star quarterback’s three TD passes.

Why Josh Allen and the Payments can cowl

Buffalo has received 12 of its final 14 common season video games, with a lot of the victories coming with relative ease. The Payments have posted every of their final 10 wins by 10 or extra factors, with the final six coming by not less than 20. In addition they have been dominant on the highway of late, turning into simply the fifth crew in NFL historical past to win three immediately contests by 28 or extra factors.

The Payments have scored not less than 35 factors in every of their final three video games, all victories, whereas permitting a complete of 21. Final Sunday, Buffalo’s top-ranked protection restricted Houston to solely six first downs and 109 complete yards. The Payments additionally created 5 turnovers, intercepting Texans rookie Davis Mills 4 occasions whereas forcing a fumble.

Easy methods to make Chiefs vs. Payments picks

SportsLine’s mannequin is leaning beneath on the whole, with each groups projected to mix for 55 factors. The mannequin additionally says one facet of the unfold hits in properly over 50 % of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Payments on Sunday Night time Soccer? And which facet of the unfold hits in properly over 50 % of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Bills vs. Chiefs spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that’s 124-82 on its NFL picks, and discover out. | Chiefs vs. Payments odds, line, unfold: Sunday Night time Soccer picks, predictions from confirmed mannequin on 124-82 run


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