Chargers at the Broncos how to watch: TV, streaming, odds, picks as AFC West rivals battle in tight split race

The AFC West is one of two tournaments where every team with a record of .500 or better will advance into Week 12, making every match between the teams important as November draws to a close. The Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos are both in two games of Chief of Kansas City in an open race with seven weeks to compete – for the first time this year, squared.

Denver this season is 5-0 when holding the opponent under 17 points. The Broncos are 0-5 as they allow 17 pluses, making this divisional showdown an intriguing one against a team of Chargers who have scored 17 pluses in nine of this year’s 10 games. The Broncos have won seven of their last eight meetings in Denver, but the Chargers are leading 5-1 since Week 15 of last season.

Will the Broncos slow down the Chargers’ offense? Can Los Angeles continue to succeed on the road? Here is a preview of the AFC West confrontation:

How to watch

Day: Sunday, November 28 | Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
TV: CBS | Current: Paramount + (try free)
Monitor: CBS Sports App
The odds: Charger -2.5, O/U 47.5

Important matches

Justin Herbert against coverage

Herbert’s numbers in the face of the coverage are better than when he is facing the man, but it would be wise for Broncos to go into the human majority of this game. The Broncos line up in men’s coverage with 43% in their defensive moments and 52% in area coverage, which is the second most evenly split in NFL. It was good news for Denver against Herbert, who was better at the area than against the humans.

Herbert completed 71% of his passes in coverage, averaging 8.0 yards per attempt. He threw nine touchdowns to four interceptions with a passer rating of 99.3. Within the man’s defense, Herbert completed just 59% of his passes and averaged just 7.0 yards per effort. He threw 5 touchdowns to 3 interceptions for a score of 83.5.

If the Broncos go to the bulk of this game, Herbert can easily pick them out.

Charger vs Broncos in third defense

Breach of Chargers has one of the best third or lower conversion rates in the NFL, as Los Angeles ranks sixth in conversion rates from third down at 45%.Denver has one of the best conversion rates from third to worst in the league, allowing 44% of third drop to be converted (sixth worst in the league).

The advantage goes to the Charger in the third drop conversion – just look at the numbers. Charger has the second worst third defense in the league, allowing 47% of third takedowns to be converted by opposing offenses. Fortunately for Los Angeles, Denver converted only a 35% chance down their third, the fifth-lowest percentage in the NFL.

These situations are where the Charger has the upper hand over the Broncos.

Guess

Latest rate:

Denver Broncos + 2.5

Broncos will have to stop Austin Ekeler in the running game for a shot that beat the Chargers, especially since the last game Denver played, it allowed Philadelphia to rush 216 yards. Ekeler averaged 4.7 yards per take this season, seventh-highest among RBs with more than 100 executions. He has a 28% tackle avoidance rate (sixth highest among qualified running defenders) and averages 3.1 yards of contact per dash (ninth highest among qualified running defenders). standard).

Denver allowed 4.4 yards per take, the 11th highest in the NFL. Their back runs have a 28% tackle avoidance rate (15th lowest in the NFL) and average 2.9 yards of contact per dash (10th highest in the NFL). If Denver can slow Ekeler, it has a chance to win this.

Both Herbert and Ekeler will have a high duty to slow down, even when facing a strong defence. Denver may not have the offensive firepower to keep up.

Point: Charger 27, Broncos 20