NS Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Giants in New York will end in Week 11 as these NFC teams prepare for the “Monday Night Football” game at Raymond James Stadium. While Tampa Bay enters this game atop the NFC South, the Bucs have suffered two losses in the past few weeks and are sandwiched between Week 9 of the team. Last time, they were limited to only 19 points against Washington like brave cat throwing two interceptions in the first quarter helped put the Bucs in the hole early. Meanwhile, the Giants are saying goodbye and are looking for ways to stay positive after the defeat Raiders back in Week 9.
Below, we will specifically take a look at the different bets that this rush hour match is available to us. We’ll take a look at how the lines have moved during the week leading up to Monday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with some of our favorite player props. we.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers -11
A quick glance at this line before Week 10 has suggested that the Bucs are rated as a 12.5 point favorite over New York. However, that number began to drop shortly after Tampa Bay’s loss to Washington, dropping to the Bucs -11.5 and to -11 Monday morning. That number has topped throughout the week.
Choice: Buccaneers -11. I bet the Washington loss was more of a light-shifting moment for Tampa Bay to readjust and get back on track than it was to become something bigger. Returning to Raymond James Stadium will also be a positive development for the Bucs as all three of their ATS wins of the year have come at home. In the last three home matches, the Bucs are ahead of their opponents by an average of 28.6 points and an average of 43.6 points per game if fouled. Each of those wins went to below-average teams, which is exactly the kind of opponent they will face in New York on Monday.
Main trend: The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
Over / Below total
The total changed slightly after opening at 50. It fell to 49.5 midweek but has since risen to 50 on Friday.
Choice: Over 50. I’m leaning slightly above, as the Bucs average 40.5 points per game at the top of the league this season. New York was also able to find the end zone with slightly more success on the road (23.3 points per game) than MetLife Stadium (17.2). With the Giants also set to have several injured players back for this competition, that raises the ceiling for their offense and scoring results for this game.
Main trend: The Buccaneers’ scoreline is 6-1 in their last seven home games against a team with a losing record.
Tom Brady Props
- Passing to the ground: 2.5 (Over +120, Below -150)
- Passing the pitch: 296.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Total number of interceptions: 0.5 (Over +105, Below -135)
- Complete: 26.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
- Attempts to overcome: 37.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Completed the longest pass: 37.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
Brady is averaging 4.5 touchdowns per home game this season. Meanwhile, the Giants have allowed elite midfielders (Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott) throws more than two touchdowns in games this season. With those metrics in mind, we’ll be counting on Brady’s breakout support especially at +120.
- Passing to the ground: 1.5 (Over +140, Below -170)
- Passing the pitch: 240.5 (Above -115, Under -115)
- Total number of interceptions: 0.5 (Above -150, Under +120)
- Attempts to overcome: 34.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
- Quick plunge: 20.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
Jones has only made it past this space four times this season, but if the Giants continue with Tampa Bay’s attacking behavior, the midfielder will likely need to step back and throw it more than usual. This season, opposing midfielders are averaging 39.3 passes per game (the third most in NFL), trailed only by 44.3 league-leading passes by opposing signal callers at Raymond James Stadium.
The props players need to consider
Leonard Fournette total number of rush attempts: Over 14.5 (-120). Before the skaters lost these two games, the Buccaneers were feeding Fournette football. During the season, he averaged 12.4 dashes per game, but if Tampa can take the lead, he’ll match plenty of second-half executions against a massive defence. 122.6 yards per game going into Week 11.
Rob Gronkowski Total score received: Over 29.5 (-115). Gronkowski is expected to return on Monday from a rib injury. In the three full games he’s played this season, he easily overtakes this received prop. As long as he’s officially completely clear, Brady probably won’t waste any time visiting this fancy target.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/giants-at-buccaneers-predictions-point-spread-total-player-props-trends-for-monday-night-football/ Buccaneers Giants Predictions: Score Spread, Totals, Player Props, Trends for ‘Monday Night Football’