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Bears vs. Browns picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends as Justin Fields makes first-career start

It will likely be the Cleveland Browns who’ll get to see Justin Fields‘ debut as an NFL starter up shut. With Andy Dalton injured, the Chicago Bears will flip to their rookie first-round decide to begin the sport underneath heart as they appear to upset the Browns on the highway in Week 3. Each of those groups enter this matchup trying to transfer to 2-1 on the season, so this recreation definitely is not missing any storylines. 

On this house, nonetheless, we’ll particularly be taking a look at all of the completely different betting angles that this recreation has to supply. Beneath, we’ll comb over the road motion all through the week to see which manner the winds are blowing and, after all, give our tackle how we see this recreation taking part in out. We’ll additionally spotlight plenty of our favourite participant props. Prepared? Let’s get to it and win some cash! 

All NFL odds by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

The right way to watch

Date: Sunday, Sept. 26 | Time: 1 p.m. ET
Location: FirstEnergy Stadium (Cleveland, Ohio)
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Observe: CBS Sports App
Odds: Browns -7.5, O/U 44.5

Line motion

Newest Odds:

Cleveland Browns
-7.5

Cleveland opened as a 7.5-point favourite, however that quantity did dip all the way down to -7 on Tuesday. That held till Thursday when it ticked again as much as its authentic quantity at Browns -7.5 and has stood agency since. There was additionally a interval Wednesday the place you may have taken the Bears and the factors at +100. 

The decide: Browns -7.5. It was a lackluster begin for the Browns final week towards Houston, however they had been in a position to get issues collectively and pull out the win. I see this as a recreation for Cleveland to get reenergized towards an inferior Bears staff. Whereas Fields’ first begin definitely warrants some pleasure, the general offense didn’t look good with him underneath heart final week. That is not totally his fault however merely highlights that Chicago has an extended option to go earlier than with the ability to be counted on weekly. In the meantime, all 4 rookie quarterbacks have been unable to cowl of their first begin this season. 

Key pattern: Bears are 1-5 ATS of their final six video games as a highway underdog. 

Over/Below whole

The full opened at 46.5, however that quantity has solely gone down with Fields being solidified because the starter for Chicago. On Wednesday, this whole began its dip by taking place to 46, and by the top of the day Friday, it was all the way down to 45. This quantity has even gone all the way down to 44.5 on Saturday on the eve of this head-to-head. The idea right here may merely be the Bears taking it gradual with their rookie quarterback, who’ll be going up towards a proficient protection within the Browns.

The decide: Over 44.5. This quantity has been dragged down fairly a bit with not quite a lot of religion being put within the Bears offense. Whereas Fields may battle in his first-ever begin, I do not envision a situation the place’s he utterly incapable of transferring Chicago’s offense down the sphere. Even when they cannot discover the top zone simply twice, the Browns offense is able to taking us the remainder of the best way to hit this over. 

Key pattern: Over is 4-1 in Cleveland’s final 5 video games. 

Participant props to contemplate

David Montgomery 16.5 speeding makes an attempt: Over 16.5 (+100). There’s a situation the place Fields chews into Montgomery’s touches, however I see Matt Nagy leaning on him early to permit his rookie quarterback to get his toes moist. Cleveland’s protection is fairly stingy towards the run (77.5 yards allowed per recreation), however we’re in search of quantity fairly than effectivity right here for Montgomery, who totaled 20 carries final week. 

Odell Beckham Jr. 45.5 receiving yards: Over (-115). Welcome again, OBJ! The Browns receiver sat out Cleveland’s first two video games of the yr as he continued to recuperate from a torn ACL he suffered final season. Now, he has no harm designation ought to be a full go in Week 3. On high of Beckham returning to full power, he may see an elevated goal share with Jarvis Landry on IR. In his seven video games performed final yr, Beckham went over this whole 4 instances. 

Baker Mayfield 19.5 completions: Over (-130). Mayfield has been extremely environment friendly to start the season, main the league in completion share. This whole toes the road of his season common of 20 completions per recreation, however I am leaning in the direction of him going over which he did seven instances final season.   



https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/information/bears-vs-browns-picks-point-spread-total-player-props-trends-as-justin-fields-makes-first-career-start/ | Bears vs. Browns picks: Level unfold, whole, participant props, traits as Justin Fields makes first-career begin

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