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Bears at Buccaneers picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for Tom Brady vs. Justin Fields

The Buccaneers and Bears will sq. off at Raymond James Stadium within the late afternoon window on Sunday. These two NFC squads went toe to toe final season and it was the Bears who got here out on high in Chicago. That was additionally the sport the place Tom Brady went viral for forgetting what down it was on the ultimate play of the sport. Nicely, that loss did not appear to rattle Tampa Bay a lot because the Bucs went on to win the Super Bowl and are seemingly within the driver’s seat to contend for a Lombardi Trophy but once more after beginning the 12 months off 5-1. In the meantime, the Bears are a a lot totally different crew than they had been a season in the past, particularly below heart with first-round rookie Justin Fields now main the way in which. 

On this house, we will particularly check out all of the totally different betting angles that this sport has to supply. Together with the unfold and complete, we’ll dive into various participant props that catch out eye for this matchup and reveal which method had been a leaning. 

All NFL odds by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

The way to watch

Date: Sunday, Oct. 24 | Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)
Observe: CBS Sports App
Odds: Buccaneers -12.5, O/U 47

Line motion

Newest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-12.5

Tampa Bay opened as a double-digit favourite with the unfold initially sitting at Buccaneers -10.5, however bumped as much as 12.5 within the aftermath of Week 6. That benefit did go as excessive as 13.5 however has since settled again right down to 12.5 heading into the weekend. 

The choose: Buccaneers -12.5. Chicago has largely discovered success this season by leaning on the bottom sport. Over the past three weeks, the Bears’ 34 speeding makes an attempt per sport are the second-highest in the entire NFL. That proves to be an enormous mismatch when taking a look at a Buccaneers entrance seven that’s dominant towards the run. Tampa Bay is permitting a league-low 54.8 speeding yards per sport this season and that has been even higher during the last three weeks (46 yards per sport). With the Bucs being able to remove Chicago’s key space of assault on offense, they need to be capable of clear this huge unfold. 

Key development: Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS of their final seven dwelling video games. 

Over/Underneath complete

The entire has been dragged down a bit after opening at 48.5. It did climb to 49 for a second however has since dipped all the way in which to 47 by Friday. 

The choose: Underneath 47. I do not see a transparent path to the Bears discovering consistency on offense on this matchup. Whereas Tampa Bay’s secondary will be had, Fields has solely gone over 200 yards passing in one in all his 4 begins. The Bucs can at all times dangle 40 on an opponent, however this may very well be a sport the place they lean on Leonard Fournette within the second half to churn out a victory after build up a stable cushion. 

Key development: Underneath is 5-0 within the Bears final 5 video games. 

Participant props to think about

Darnell Mooney longest reception: Over 20.5 (-120). Mooney has seen 5 targets this season 20-plus yards down the sphere with an ADOT of 23.4. He is hauled in three of them for a median of 39 yards per reception. The Bucs have allowed 28 catches of 20-plus yards this season, which is the second-most within the NFL. 

Leonard Fournette complete speeding yards: Over 63.5 (-115). Fournette has gone over this complete in every of his final three video games and Chicago simply let the Packers complete 154 yards on the bottom on 5 yards per carry final week. 

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