No. 5 Alabama is coming off a shocking loss, so being the staff that stares down the Crimson Tide subsequent is among the extra unenviable positions in college football. Mississippi State would be the staff stepping as much as that problem because it hosts the Crimson Tide at Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday evening.
Alabama fell 4 spots within the polls this week following its 41-38 loss at Texas A&M. It was the second time Alabama performed a real highway sport this season — they opened the 12 months at a impartial web site in opposition to Miami — and it was the second time it struggled. Keep in mind, Florida was a two-point conversion away from forcing a attainable extra time in opposition to Alabama in a 31-29 loss.
Now Alabama is on the highway once more, this time in opposition to a Mississippi State staff that beat the identical A&M staff that beat it. Plus, whereas the Tide had been shedding to the Aggies final week, the Bulldogs had been at house on a bye, getting an additional week to arrange for the Tide.
After all, if Mississippi State is dreaming of an upset, there’s not a lot historical past to recommend it is prone to occur. Alabama and Mississippi State have performed 104 instances in historical past, and Alabama has dominated the collection 83-18-3. Mississippi State hasn’t overwhelmed Alabama since a 17-12 win in Starkville in 2007. That simply occurred to be Nick Saban’s first season and the Tide have reeled off 13 straight wins since.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Have to know
Alabama hasn’t misplaced two video games in a row since 2013: It was the ultimate season earlier than the School Soccer Playoff started. Alabama misplaced to Auburn 34-28 in The Iron Bowl. That, after all, was the notorious Kick-Six sport that knocked Alabama out of the BCS Championship Sport. As an alternative, the Tide went to New Orleans to face Oklahoma within the Sugar Bowl, shedding 45-31. The world started to surprise if the Alabama dynasty had come to an finish. It seems it was a silly factor to think about, however you may wager they will ask the identical query if Alabama loses to Mississippi State this week.
Search for Alabama to run the ball extra: Whereas Saban not often comes out and says issues straight, judging by a few of his feedback following the loss to Texas A&M, he in all probability desires to see the Tide run the ball a bit extra. Brian Robinson rushed for 147 yards on 24 carries within the sport, averaging 6.13 yards per carry, however solely two of his carries got here contained in the 10-yard line. Alabama has been unhealthy contained in the purple zone and in goal-to-go conditions, scoring touchdowns on solely 71.4% of its goal-to-go possessions. That is beneath the nationwide common of 75.3% and ranks 86th nationally. It isn’t the place you’d anticipate finding a staff of this caliber.
Mississippi State has scored seven factors within the final three video games in opposition to Alabama: I discussed how Alabama has dominated this collection all through historical past, however the final three years have been particularly troublesome for the Bulldogs. Within the three seasons since Dan Mullen left for Florida, Alabama has outscored State 103-7. Final season, in Mike Leach’s first sport in opposition to Alabama, the Bulldogs had been held to 200 yards of offense and went 2-for-15 on third down. Additionally they turned the ball over thrice.
How you can watch Alabama vs. Mississippi State stay
Date: Saturday, October 16 | Time: 7 p.m. ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium — Starkville, MS
TV: ESPN | Dwell stream: fuboTV (Attempt free of charge)
Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction, picks
Featured Sport | Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
I haven’t got a excessive degree of confidence on this decide. I am very assured that Alabama will win the sport, however given how badly the Crimson Tide have struggled on the highway, I am not prepared to belief them to cowl a diffusion this massive. With that in thoughts, I do not know what number of factors the Bulldogs might be trusted to attain! My trustworthy recommendation is to avoid this sport until the unfold will get as little as Alabama -14 or as excessive as Mississippi State +20. I doubt both state of affairs occurs. Prediction: Mississippi State (+17)
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