A look at what’s ahead for the Big 12 with departures of Texas, Oklahoma shaking up the conference

Because the Southwest Convention was collapsing below the load of its personal scandal greater than 1 / 4 century in the past, Oklahoma athletic director Donnie Duncan and Texas counterpart DeLoss Dodds had an thought: merge the Massive Eight and selection SWC faculties.

Aside, neither facet had sufficient televisions of their orbit to stay a significant convention. In finalizing the deal, Duncan and Dodds took their thought and pitched it to main advertisers in New York. Their pitch? A convention stretching down the center of the nation that encompassed 16% of the USA inhabitants might promote numerous pickup vans.

That is it. That was the pitch.

Certainly talked about in that prime degree assembly: Texas and Oklahoma can be collectively in a convention for the primary time. The thought took maintain due to that reality. Irony of ironies: The Massive 12’s existence is now in query as a result of Texas and Oklahoma are departing.

The remaining eight groups are decided to remain collectively to the purpose one high-ranking supply informed CBS Sports activities that every one choices are on the desk to salvage the Massive 12. What might that embrace?

  • Leveraging the American in potential discussions of 1 league taking groups from the opposite.
  • Trying West for a potential merger with the Pac-12.
  • Calling BYU and even Boise State to debate their curiosity. (They had been talked about in 2016 throughout the Massive 12’s final growth discussions.)

Geography does not appear to be an element. Look no farther than West Virginia, which is nearly 1,000 miles from its nearest Massive 12 foe.

For now, the Massive 12 appears dedicated to a protracted play because it holds Texas and Oklahoma to their remaining four-year commitments. By then, there may be widespread streaming availability that might open further income streams.

An alternative choice is the eight remaining Massive 12 groups standing agency, collectively, in a bizarre cone of safety. Business analysts agree there are few, if any, accessible faculties that deliver worth to the Massive 12. Conversely, there are few Massive 12 faculties on their very own that may deliver worth to different energy conferences.

The Remaining Eight had been described as nervous following the Texas-Oklahoma defection as one knowledgeable supply described to CBS Sports activities. Nervous however optimistic that — if they will keep collectively – they will gather as a lot cash as potential from current College Football Playoff and Massive 12 media rights contracts within the upcoming 4 years.

That CFP cash alone involves $66 million per 12 months for Energy 5 conferences. Semifinalists get $6 million. New 12 months’s Six bowl appearances are value $4 million per 12 months. Assuming an Oklahoma playoff berth in 2021 with Iowa State going to a New 12 months’s Six bowl, that is a potential haul of $76 million for the Massive 12.

The underside line for a reconstituted Massive 12 is sustaining its Energy 5 designation every time that comes up for dialogue.

Business sources inform CBS Sports activities that the Massive 12 misplaced at the very least 50% of its worth when the Longhorns and Sooners left. Massive 12 faculties presently obtain roughly $37 million per 12 months from ESPN, Fox, bowl video games and the NCAA Tournament. That does not embrace Texas’ Longhorn Community cash and Oklahoma’s regional community income.

With out Texas and Oklahoma, that $37 million goes down considerably. Is there a bunch of colleges or a merger technique that retains the payout within the $15 million to $18 million vary? Whereas that may severely influence present Massive 12 budgets, it is nonetheless a stable payday.

Again to that query of how commissioners will outline the Energy 5 (or Energy 4) for playoff income functions.

Summing up the prospect of such discussions, TCU president Vic Boschini mentioned, “Every little thing is healthier if you’re within the Energy 5 … besides parking.”

That Energy 5 designation is what offers Massive 12 its aforementioned leverage over the American. If we have realized something in realignment, it is to comply with the cash. Regardless of its current trauma, the Massive 12 is working from considerably of a place of energy in the case of the AAC.

That might imply reconsideration of colleges handed over by the Massive 12 in 2016 to maintain the convention complete. If you would like favorites, consider Cincinnati, Houston and UCF.

Texas, Houston’s largest foe in growth, is gone. In three of the final 4 years, both Cincinnati or UCF or each have completed forward of Texas within the last AP High 25. If that appears like a quick snapshot, contemplate Texas is within the SEC regardless of ending exterior the highest 25 in 5 of the final 10 years.

The SEC is shopping for a model and all of the eyeballs that go together with it. UCF needs to be a kind of manufacturers. Earlier than this spherical of realignment was kicked off by the ‘Horns and Sooners, officers from UCF put collectively a 64-page presentation meant to promote the varsity’s worth to Energy 5 conferences.

In that presentation is a few pretty fascinating info.

  • Orlando is the most important U.S. metropolis by which an NFL team resides.
  • Forbes ranked Orlando the top-rated midsize school city forward of Scottsdale, Arizona, and Gainesville, Florida.
  • Florida is the No. 1 recruiting state within the nation. (Giving UCF credit score for that is not truthful, and faculties do not essentially want UCF to recruit in Florida.)
  • Orlando is the nation’s seventeenth largest TV market.

AAC commissioner Mike Aresco summed up the stress between the 2 conferences this week at his league’s media day. “If a convention is not secure, then who is aware of what its future is,” he mentioned.

BYU was talked about 5 years in the past and will come into play once more. The college has a model and is coming off its greatest season in years. Any hope BYU had of becoming a member of the Massive 12 in 2016 was most likely ended when LGBTQ advocacy teams wrote commissioner Bob Bowlsby asking him not to consider the program. On the time, BYU vigorously defended itself.

For now, the Massive 12 is trending towards a protracted exhale. It has time to contemplate its future. Texas and Oklahoma have publicly said their intent to remain within the Massive 12 for the ultimate 4 years of the leagues media rights settlement.

Intent being the important thing phrase. If the 2 superpowers left early, they’d owe the convention tens of thousands and thousands of {dollars} as a result of the Massive 12 in any other case owns their TV rights till 2025. In the event that they keep, it might get ugly on the fields and courts for the defectors, however insults thrown from the stands do not price practically as a lot as a protracted authorized battle.

If the Massive 12 stands pat, it has time to resolve whether or not to develop. The Pac-12 and AAC are nonetheless going to be there 4 years from now. That would go away room for a Pac-12 scheduling alliance to extend income. The 2 sides mentioned such an association following the Massive 12’s failed growth foray in 2016.

A full-on 20 workforce Massive 12-Pac-12 merger would rock the collegiate world. Once more, neglect geography. Consider 4 scheduling pods of 5 to create journey companions.

1: California, Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State
2: Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, USC, Utah
3: Arizona, Arizona State, Baylor, TCU, Texas Tech
4: Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, West Virginia

Everyone seems to be ready for streaming. The tech giants have not absolutely jumped in … but. Plus, streaming requires bandwidth. That makes a distinction in underserved areas like Morgantown, West Virginia, or western Kansas. Each the Pac-12 and Massive 12 are banking on these points being resolved nationally in 4 years when their present media rights offers shall be up.

For now, we’re watching a significant convention battle for relevance in actual time. It final occurred a decade in the past with — shock! — the Massive 12. At that time, following the departures of Nebraska, Colorado (and later Texas A&M and Missouri), ESPN stepped in and paid the league as a lot for the ten remaining groups as it could have for 12.

That must be remembered in any slicing and dicing of ESPN within the newest course of. The Massive 12 owes its previous to Duncan and Dodds. But it surely would not be round in the present day if not for ESPN’s largess a decade in the past. 

https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/information/a-look-at-whats-ahead-for-the-big-12-with-departures-of-texas-oklahoma-shaking-up-the-conference/ | A have a look at what’s forward for the Massive 12 with departures of Texas, Oklahoma shaking up the convention


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