The last game of Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season against rivals NFC West. NS Los Angeles Rams, after a disappointing loss go home for Tennessee Titans last week, traveled to Northern California to participate San Francisco 49ers, who have lost five of their last six games after starting the season 2-0.
This game will mark the launch of Rams for Von Miller and Odell Beckham, while it will also be their first match since losing Robert Woods for the season. LA has the opportunity to gain some grounding on the top team Quantity after Arizona lost Carolina Panthers on Sunday. The 49ers are pretty far out in the playoff race at the moment, but at least they have a chance to play spoiler here.
So can the Rams go back to their winning ways, or will the Niners put them in the losing column again? We’ll find out on Monday night. But first, let’s break the game down.
How to watch
When the Rams have the ball
The Rams suffered a huge loss in practice Friday, as Woods went down for the year with a torn ACL. The signing of Beckham softens the blow a bit as it prevents the Rams from having to dig even deeper into their wide receiver depth chart, but Woods and Beckham are much different players. For instance, the Rams almost certainly won’t be using Odell the same way they did Woods in the running game, and Woods’ facilities and willingness to do the dirty work are part of the reason he become a valuable player because of this. offense.
With Woods absent, it seems more likely Van Jefferson will play more of Woods’ role, while Beckham moves into Jefferson’s role as a pitch stretcher and threat from behind. It’s a role Beckham is well-suited to, but also one he didn’t particularly enjoy playing in Cleveland. Rams pass the ball much more often than Brown, so maybe he’ll be more willing to accept that role because he’ll actually see more goals deep within the field. Matthew Stafford certainly could get the ball there in those plays, as well as those Beckham runs from behind that Woods or Jefferson used to run before Woods was injured.
No matter Beckham’s role in the offence, it seems very likely Cooper Kupp will maintain his position on top of the team’s dissection order. He’s shown great chemistry with Stafford this season, he’s got the deepest knowledge of the offense, he’s the team’s best line runner and now he’s easy too. was the largest and most physically fit in the team’s open-ended starts.
These days Kupp lines up in circumference more often than earlier in his career, but is still often aligned in the groove. The 49ers have allowed 46 catches on 55 goals for positional recipients this season, according to Pro Football Focus, allowing 361 yards and two touchdowns on those passes. That is, uh, not so good. K’Waun Williams was the team’s top pick in the position and he was better than the other defensive linebacks the Niners attempted in the role, but the 5-9, 185-pound Williams was at a marked size disadvantage compared with Kupp, who is quite large for a recipient position (6-2, 208 pounds).
The 49ers’ perimeter defensive backs have left a lot to be desired in coverage this season, leaving them potentially vulnerable to Jefferson and Beckham that could also do some damage. . Josh Norman listed as questionable for this game, but nonetheless he was underperforming for most of the year. Emmanuel Moseley was… okay, but it was easy enough to attack the other 49ers’ starters that you didn’t even have to worry about throwing at him.
The Niners are usually pretty good at occupying the midfield due to their midfielders’ ability to cover and their safety, but Dre Greenlaw has been out since Week 1, Fred Warner There’s a sale going on, and Jaquiski Tartt The majority also don’t play to his usual standards. Looks like at the beginning of this week, tight end Tyler Higbee led to a reduction in the role following the Beckham acquisition; but the Rams don’t currently have the receiver depth to significantly increase their 10-person utilization, so Higbee is likely going to play a near-defying role in the attack. He can also be positioned quite well in this game.
The 49ers blocked the run much more effectively (sixth in Football Outsiders’ Rush defensively DVOA) than the pass (25th), largely thanks to their defense’s ability to pull off attacks in the distance. end area. San Francisco ranks fifth for Adjusted Lines Allowed Per Carry and ninth for the percentage of opponent’s dash attempts stopped at or behind the scenario fence. The Rams have done a great job of managing the ball throughout the season so far, but the advantage they have in the passing game makes it look like they should balance that direction more in this game.
When the 49ers have the ball
This isn’t necessarily a match of strength over strength, but it is certainly a match of preference. The Rams’ defense is designed to encourage opponents to run the ball, and the 49ers primarily want to attack around the area running game. Very few teams in NFL used fewer defenders in the box than the Rams, who lined up with six or less defenders near the line of the game with 23 more defenses than the nearest team despite not having played the game Their 10th week.
Team 49 tends to run into heavier boxes than most teams in the league, so this game will be a change of pace for them. Elijah Mitchell According to TruMedia, overcame more than eight men on 39.3% of carry-ons, the league’s highest percentage of the 49 qualified backrunners. He averaged 5.0 yards per take in those eight-man slots, which ranks as the ninth best among that same group of players. Mitchell has only had 15 passes into the openers this season, but he has averaged 5.53 yards per shot in those plays. It’s a good sign for his ability to go up against the Rams, which should help the 49ers succeed.
San Francisco’s pass game is based on many gameplay and loot action concepts, bringing Jimmy Garoppolo Easier reading and wider throw lane. Garoppolo’s 108.7 passer rating for throw is lower than his 88.1 in straight loose plays. The leveled crossings, however, which were the 49ers’ staple in those plays, did not perform well or frequently against the two high-safety types that formed the basis for the Rams’ defensive moving averages. . It will depend on your preferences Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle to adjust the area and find space for Garoppolo to serve them.
It’s also worth seeing what the Rams decide to do, in terms of relevance, in this matchup. They used Jalen Ramsey in about 40% of his defenses this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Using him there allows him to contribute to a decent run on the defensive front, but may not allow him to contribute as much as a coverage player in games that should be a team priority. . It looks like he’ll obscure either Samuel or Kittle wherever they go, but we can’t rule out the possibility.
Niners usually block things very well up front, but lose processing power Mike McGlinchey could hurt here as Von Miller could launch the Rams on Monday night. Miller has tended to come up from the left of defence during his career, putting him right where McGlinchey usually is. Match him with Aaron Donald up the middle and Leonard Floyd on the opposite side, and the Rams are capable of doing very nasty things to San Francisco’s offensive line.
San Francisco 49ers +3.5
Prediction: Rams 33, 49ers 23
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/49ers-vs-rams-how-to-watch-tv-live-stream-odds-prediction-keys-for-monday-night-football-showdown/ | 49ers vs. Rams how to watch: TV, live stream, odds, predictions, keys to ‘Monday Night Football’ match